Monday, February 13, 2012

ISPS Handa Women's Australian Open Saturday and Sunday: Jessica Korda Wins 6-Way Playoff

Picking up where Tony Jesselli left off, let me add my congratulations to 18-year-old Jessica Korda, who showed incredible grit and composure all week at Royal Melbourne in the ISPS Handa Women's Australian Open, but particularly over the last 10 holes of regulation and the 2 holes of a 6-way playoff, as she secured her 1st career win on the LPGA in only her 16th start as a member of the greatest women's tour on the planet against an all-star cast.

Even if you watched the Golf Channel coverage, you may not have picked up on how wild Korda's final round--and really her entire weekend--really was.  Due to time constraints (no preempting a Phil-Tiger showdown, ladies!), the tv coverage picked up late on the back 9.  So we missed seeing Korda birdie 3 of her 1st 8 holes on Sunday to get to -7 for the week, bouncing back in a big way from her 2 bogeys over her final 5 holes Saturday that had cut her 3rd-round lead to 1 over Hee Kyung Seo (who also started hot Sunday with 2 birdies in her 1st 6 holes), So Yeon Ryu, and Nikki Campbell.  But if Korda had trouble maintaining her lead on moving day, the pressures of the final round--and the difficulties of Royal Melbourne--made the previous day's struggles seem like a walk in the park.  Even as the JLPGA's Campbell was imploding with her 2nd double on the front, world #1 Ya Ni Tseng was reeling from her 2nd huge number of the week--a triple on the 4th to go with her snowman on the 7th back on Friday--and Ryu was struggling to get her game into gear exactly one Sunday after she had opened the door for Christel Boeljon to take the LET season-opener, disaster struck the American teenager, as she followed up a double bogey on 9 with a bogey on the 10th.  All of a sudden, Korda was trailing Seo by 1.  Yet she turned around and birdied the 11th right after Seo bogeyed it, retaking the lead for the moment.

But the rest of the field responded to Korda's troubles at the turn like sharks sensing blood in the water.  Earlier in the day, Caroline Hedwall (69) and Anna Nordqvist (68) had shown the way, turning in 2 of the most impressive rounds of the week to move from T25 after 54 holes to T12 and T10, respectively.  It was too little, too late for them, but not for players like Ryu, who birdied the 12th and 13th to draw even with her playing partner Seo at -4; Tseng, who birdied 3 in a row midway through the back to claw her way back to -2; Stacy Lewis, who had made 3 birdies between the 7th and 12th to get to -3 and was looking for more from 5 groups ahead of Korda and Campbell; Brittany Lincicome, who like Korda had birdied 3 of her 1st 8 holes, like Korda had cooled off midway through her round, and like Korda had bounced back with a birdie (this one to get to -3 with only the 18th left to play from 3 groups ahead of Korda); and Julieta Granada, who made her 4th birdie of the day on the 15th to get back to -3 from 4 groups ahead of Korda's. 

At first, Korda responded to this onslaught with equanimity, parring the 12th and 13th to maintain her 1-shot lead on Seo and Ryu.  But then she bogeyed her next 3 holes in a row to drop all the way back to -2.  Fortunately for her, others ran into trouble, too, on the back.  Jenny Shin, whose bogey-free 33 on the front had lifted her to -2 for the week, could only manage 1 more birdie on the back that was offset by her bogey on the par-5 12th.  Katie Futcher, who had fought her way to -3 by the turn, doubled the 12th and bogeyed the 14th to drop out of contention.  Tseng's run--and hopes for her 3rd-straight Women's Australian Open title--ended with consecutive bogeys on 15 and 16.  And 1st Lewis, then Granada, and then Lincicome failed to find another birdie and ended their weeks at -3.  Even Seo and Ryu, reprising their duel at the 2011 U.S. Women's Open, were trading pars back and forth as the tv coverage Americans were allowed to see finally kicked in.  Even when Korda took advantage of her length, almost hitting the par-5 17th in 2 and making a gutsy up-and-down to fight back to -3, it seemed like a nice consolation prize at the time, like a mental toughness award for a teenager who needed more experience in contention to really learn how to win.

But all of a sudden 1st Seo and then Ryu missed tricky little par saves on the 18th, 3-putting to fall back to -3.  And Korda found herself with a medium-length putt to win the tournament outright.  When she missed it, the LPGA had its 1st 6-way playoff since--well, since the final round of Q-School!  In the playoff, Seo, Ryu, and Lincicome drew lots to put them in the 1st threesome, while Lewis, Granada, and Korda ended up in the 2nd.  Everyone else in the playoff had at least one LPGA win under their belts and several were major winners.  Down the stretch in regulation, the tournament had had a major-like feel, as not only the Ryu-Seo duel but also the Lewis-Tseng duel from last season kept coming to my mind.  And on the 1st playoff hole, Lincicome reminded us all of her dramatic win at the 2009 Kraft Nabisco Championship--although sticking a wedge as she did on the 18th at Royal Melbourne was a little less impressive than what she did on the 18th at Mission Hills.  But the golf gods were not on Lincicome's side yesterday, as her well-struck 5-footer did what looked like a 330 and ended up coming right back at her.  A few minutes later it was Lewis's turn to putt for the win, after her approach skidded right past the flag and ended up about 10 feet past the hole, but she couldn't convert it, either.  Lincicome had another great chance the 2nd time around, but this time she couldn't even hit the hole. It was starting to look like a battle of attrition when Ryu became the 1st to leave the playoff with a bogey her 2nd go-around (and 3rd in her last 4 tries on the 18th, going back to Saturday) and nobody in the final threesome could get their approaches within 20 feet.  But that's when lightning struck.  As Korda put it afterwards,
I was thinking really clearly. I had one concept in my head...I was really calm. I knew what the putt did because I'd had it before and it did not move. I was a little higher up and more to the right. I knew the line and I knew the speed. All I had to do was just hit it. It started breaking. I thought, "Oh my goodness no, don't lip out, don't break too early." I don't even know what side of the hole it hit. I was overwhelmed by everything.

In the end, only Granada had a chance to extend the playoff, but she couldn't do it.  So Korda becomes the 3rd-youngest player to win a full-length LPGA event, the LPGA's rookie class of 2011 takes its 2nd victory in a row in 2012, and only Phil's stirring victory at Pebble Beach could possibly have overshadowed this finish.  But it can't hide how much some of the LPGA's best struggled at Royal Melbourne:  Ji-Yai Shin was +2, Suzann Pettersen +5, Morgan Pressel and Angela Stanford +7, Brittany Lang +9, Cristie Kerr +12, and Karrie Webb +13, while the likes of Inbee Park, Sun Young Yoo, and Sophie Gustafson missed the cut. 

Looks like a lot of players will welcome the much-friendlier confines at Siam Country Club, where Pettersen and Ai Miyazato both have won with tournament-record scores of -21 in recent years.  This week's Honda LPGA Thailand is the season opener for Na Yeon Choi, Paula Creamer, Shanshan Feng, Natalie Gulbis, Maria Hjorth, In-Kyung Kim, Catriona Matthew, Ai-sama, Mika Miyazato, Se Ri Pak, Momoko Ueda, Michelle Wie, and Amy Yang--plus we'll get to see how Ariya and Moriya Jutanugarn, the top 2 amateurs in the world not named Lydia Ko, stack up against the best of the LPGA.  Here's hoping Tseng recovers from her stomach bug soon.  I have a feeling it's going to be a very competitive season!

Korda Got It Done, In Tournament Number One

What a start to the 2012 LPGA season!
A huge congratulations goes out this week to 18-year-old Jessica Korda, who won the ISPS Handa Women's Australian Open in a 6-player playoff.

For those of you who did not watch the telecast (maybe because of the tape delay), you missed one of the greatest LPGA tournaments ever! The Royal Melbourne Golf Course was one of the toughest courses the ladies have ever had to play. The cut, which came in at 7 over par, proved how difficult the course played. The only course I could compare this to in recent years is Oakmont, where Paula Creamer came away victorious 2 years ago. Korda struggled last season as a rookie, never contending in a single tournament. Her best finish last year was a tie for 19th place.

Last year brought a number of first-time winners. Stacy Lewis making her first win a major, taking down Yani Tseng comes to mind. Sandra Gal's win on the 72nd hole defeated Jiyai Shin at the Kia Classic. Lexi Thompson became a 16-year-old first time winner at the Navistar Classic, and Hee Young Park stunned an all-star field with her victory at the Titleholders. This stunning victory by Korda, in my mind at least, is as shocking as any of those.

Titleholders Update:
Jessica Korda, Stacy Lewis, and Brittany Lincicome become the first three members to qualify.

Rolex Ranking Mover of the Week:
Jessica Korda Moves from #285 to #82

Hard to believe stat of the week:
Beatriz Recari was one of only 3 LPGA players to play all 23 tournaments last year. She did not have a top 10 finish. She finished tied for 10th this week.


Oh, My My:
Ji Young Oh missed her 10th consecutive cut.
Angela Oh missed her 8th cut in a row.

Extra Stuff:
Song-Hee Kim, who's 2011 struggles were well documented, shot 80-78=158 and missed the cut by 5 strokes. Surely not the start she was hoping for.

Juli Inkster had surgery performed on her elbow. She will likely miss most, if not all of the 2012 season. I certainly hope she will make it back, as it would be a shame if she went out this way.

Honda LPGA Thailand preview:
The tour moves to Thailand this week, here are some details:

Course: Siam Country Club, Pattaya Old Course
Location: Chonburi, Thailand
Defending Champion: Yani Tseng
2011 Winning Score: 66-71-70-66=273 (-15)

Final Field: 70 players
Par: 72
Yardage: 6477 Yards
Purse: 1.5 Million

In spite of its limited field of 70 players (up from 60 last year), this is a very strong field. The only player among the top names that appears to be missing is So Yeon Ryu. My strength of field rating is 62%, up from 48% last week.

Here is the television schedule:
Feb 16 12:30-2:30 PM ET GC
Feb 17 12:30-2:30 PM ET GC
Feb 18 3:00-6:00 PM ET GC
Feb 19 3:00-6:30 PM ET GC

Once again because of the 12-hour time difference, the broadcast will not be live. I remind you once again to stay away from the LPGA website, which will have results posted before the telecast. I will hold off on posting any spoilers until after the telecast is completed.






Saturday, February 11, 2012

The Best of the LPGA: Final (Belated) 2011 Edition

Sorry for the long delay in my updating of my August 2011 Best of the LPGA ranking.  I've been waiting for Hound Dog to come out with his final 2011 Top 70, but I'll just have to go with his latest one (from September 2011) in finally putting mine together.  In what follows, I'll be combining HD's ranking with Tony Jesselli's 2011 Player of the Year ranking, the 2011 LPGA money list, and the most recent Rolex Rankings (which assigns points based on results over the previous 104 weeks on the LPGA, JLPGA, KLPGA, LET, and SymetraTour) and Golfweek/Sagarin Rankings (which ranks players based on relative finishes over the previous 52 weeks on the LPGA, JLPGA, LET, and SymetraTour). I'll be using these 5 very different systems to divide LPGA players into tiers, then using my own judgment to rank them within each tier. So here goes!

[Update 1 (2/12/12, 8:08 pm): Man, I forgot to include Thomas Atkins's final 2011 top 100 ranking!  He puts Karrie Webb, Catriona Matthew, and Maria Hjorth much higher than I do.  Given that I don't have time to redo mine in light of his, I'll be sure to include his in my "consensus top 30" ranking that I base the scoring for the 2011 LPGA Prognostication Derby on.  When I finally get around to scoring it, that is!]

Last ranking, I admitted we're living in the Tseng Dynasty.  This one, I'm admitting that Ya Ni is in a class of her own.

1. Ya Ni Tseng: #1 money ($2.92M), #1 RR (16.25), #1 GSPI (68.78), #1 HD, #1 TJ (357.48). More on exactly how dominant her 2011 was in a bit....

So who are Tseng's most dangerous rivals in her Imperial Court? Let's just say they're about as barely separated this year as the LPGA's super-elite were in 2010.

2. Suzann Pettersen: #5 money ($1.32M), #2 RR (9.32), #4 GSPI (69.68), #2 HD, #4 TJ (177.56). Hard to argue with her 2 wins in 2011.
3. Na Yeon Choi: #3 money ($1.36M), #3 RR (9.13), #3 GSPI (69.53), #6 HD, #5 TJ (159.28). I'm moving her up 6 spots from last ranking mostly on the strength of her win.
4. Stacy Lewis: #4 money ($1.36M), #10 RR (6.06), #6 GSPI (69.78), #3 HD, #2 TJ (203.86). Will this be her peak or will she keep rising?
5. Cristie Kerr: #2 money ($1.47M), #4 RR (8.94), #8 GSPI (69.95), #4 HD, #3 TJ (178.58). I've said it before and I'll say it again, she needs to start winning again to start closing the gap on the Empress!
6. Paula Creamer: #9 money ($926.3K), #5 RR (7.47), #2 GSPI (69.40), #8 HD, #8 TJ (141.46). I've said it before and I'll say it again, watch out for her once those putts start dropping!
7. Brittany Lincicome: #6 money ($1.15M), #9 RR (6.12), #7 GSPI (69.80), #5 HD, #10 TJ (129.82). Has she just begun to tap her true potential or was 2011 a career year?

It's hard to get onto the Imperial Court, but with top 10s in at least 3 of the 5 systems I'm tracking, a familiar name is the closest to returning there!


8. Ji-Yai Shin: #15 money ($720.7K), #7 RR (6.77), #5 GSPI (69.75), #10 HD, #17 TJ (99.40). She never won in 2011 but I wouldn't bet against her returning to the winner's circle in 2012.

With at most 2 top 10s in the 5 systems, these players need just a little more consistency in their excellence to join Tseng's lead chase pack, but they'll really need to get it going to make their way onto the Imperial Court.

9. In-Kyung Kim: #11 money ($886.0K), #8 RR (6.23), #11 GSPI (70.24), #12 HD, #6 TJ (151.92). Another great player who couldn't buy a win in 2011, but she was the most consistent among this tier of golfers.
10. Ai Miyazato: #8 money ($1.01M), #11 RR (5.97), #26 GSPI (70.86), #9 HD, #14 TJ (104.10). That win at Evian salvaged her season, but it didn't really kick-start the fantastic run I was hoping (and calling) for.  Will she bounce back to the top of the game in 2012?
11. Amy Yang: #10 money ($912.2K), #12 RR (5.56), #19 GSPI (70.44), #14 HD, #9 TJ (136.50). I think she's ready to explode--in a good way!
12. Karrie Webb: #14 money ($757.7K), #19 RR (4.62), #20 GSPI (70.52), #7 HD, #13 TJ (116.24). Even with those 2 early wins, she falls down 7 spots based on the "what have you done for me lately?" theory.
13. Angela Stanford: #7 money ($1.02M), #17 RR (4.71), #17 GSPI (70.46), #11 HD, #7 TJ (144.62). Did everything but win in 2011.
14. Anna Nordqvist: #23 money ($589.8K), #30 RR (3.63), #9 GSPI (70.18), #21 HD, #16 TJ (100.18). Up 5 spots. Will she keep rising in 2012 or plateau?


Same goes for the players with top 20s in at least 3 of the 5 systems.

15. Morgan Pressel: #13 money ($845.5K), #16 RR (4.93), #18 GSPI (70.43), #13 HD, #12 TJ (122.04). She really had a good 2011; she just got passed by those playing slightly better than she was playing in the 2nd half of the year.
16. Catriona Matthew: #16 money ($692.3K), #20 RR (4.52), #12 GSPI (70.24), #18 HD, #20 TJ (86.10). Up 7 spots!
17. Maria Hjorth: #17 money ($630.3K), #22 RR (4.33), #16 GSPI (70.36), #15 HD, #15 TJ (103.66).
18. Mika Miyazato: #22 money ($591.7K), #24 RR (4.04), #15 GSPI (70.34), #16 HD, #11 TJ (128.30).
19. Michelle Wie: #18 money ($627.9K), #18 RR (4.68), #32 GSPI (71.19), #17 HD, #19 TJ (93.72). 

The large number of players with at most 2 top 20s or at least 3 top 30s shows just how closely-packed the top players on the LPGA are.


20. Brittany Lang: #19 money ($627.7K), #33 RR (3.58), #21 GSPI (70.57), #22 HD, #18 TJ (94.46). Up another 4 spots.  Definitely out of her slump!
21. Sandra Gal: #20 money ($623.5K), #40 RR (3.09), #30 GSPI (71.14), #23 HD, #22 TJ (77.66). Her ascent is slowing.  Can she keep it going in 2012?
22. Inbee Park: #31 money ($365.2K), #23 RR (4.09), #33 GSPI (71.24), #19 HD, #24 TJ (72.72). How high would she have gone if she had played more on the LPGA in the 2nd half of the season?
23. Sun Young Yoo: #25 money ($476.7K), #44 RR (2.80), #37 GSPI (71.34), #26 HD, #21 TJ (82.36). She played solidly but not fantastically in 2011, which should give some indication of how good she is.
24. Hee Young Park: #12 money ($851.8K), #39 RR (3.15), #41 GSPI (71.51), #40 HD, #26 TJ (64.00). Her breakthrough win moves her up 17 spots!
25. Se Ri Pak: #27 money ($415.4K), #37 RR (3.28), #25 GSPI (70.84), #30 HD, #25 TJ (66.84). Good year for the Hall of Famer, but is she capable of putting together another great one again?
26. Meena Lee: #28 money ($408.1K), #57 RR (2.34), #40 GSPI (71.41), #25 HD, #27 TJ (62.44). Really good year for the underrated veteran!
27. Karen Stupples: #29 money ($397.1K), #61 RR (2.22), #29 GSPI (71.09), #29 HD, #33 TJ (46.94). Back where she belongs, but how long can this mum stay ahead of the LPGA's kids?
28. Shanshan Feng: #32 money ($362.1K), #13 RR (5.29), #22 GSPI (70.59), #32 HD, #38 TJ (38.48). Had a breakthrough year on the JLPGA, but I have to question why she didn't play more on the LPGA in the 2nd half of the season, as well as she was playing.

The large group with at most 2 top 30s or at least 3 top 40s is the product of loads of volatility, both positive and negative. Can those rising take their games to the next level?


29. Hee Kyung Seo: #21 money ($619.4K), #35 RR (3.39), #35 GSPI (71.29), #24 HD, #31 TJ (54.78). Her Rookie of the Year season wasn't anything to write home about by recent ROY standards, but I suspect she'll have a much better 2012.
30. Azahara Munoz: #24 money ($520.3K), #40 RR (3.22), #27 GSPI (70.90), #36 HD, #32 TJ (49.78). The 2010 ROY picked up the pace in the 2nd half of 2011.  I think she'll keep it going in 2012.
31. Sophie Gustafson: #26 money ($427.6K), #48 RR (2.58), #38 GSPI (71.35), #31 HD, #29 TJ (61.12). Never count her out! She wasn't spectacular in 2011, but she was solid.
32. Song-Hee Kim: #33 money ($350.4K), #32 RR (3.59), #53 GSPI (71.73), #27 HD, #39 TJ (38.20). When will she work through the 2nd slump of her pro career?
33. Katie Futcher: #30 money ($373.6K), #67 RR (2.00), #63 GSPI (72.01), #43 HD, #23 TJ (76.40). Finally made that same quantum leap that Kristy McPherson made (before injuries slowed her down).
34. Chella Choi: #35 money ($325.3K), #71 RR (1.95), #42 GSPI (71.53), #35 HD, #34 TJ (45.52), #36 TA. In the running for biggest surprise of 2011.
35. Juli Inkster: #36 money ($298.1K), #58 RR (2.33), #88 GSPI (72.41), #38 HD, #30 TJ (58.79). Keeps on tickin', truckin', what have you!
36. Mindy Kim: #38 money ($262.1K), #83 RR (1.60), #83 GSPI (72.36), #34 HD, #35 TJ (41.50). Best. Season. Ever.  Can she top it in 2012?
37. Caroline Hedwall: #64 money ($126.8K), #36 RR (3.32), #28 GSPI (71.04), #39 HD, #88 TJ (7.80). Up 13 spots.  Can't wait to see what she does with a full schedule on the LPGA!

There's a good mix of youngsters and veterans making big moves to take at most 2 top 40s and/or at least 3 top 50s:


38. Momoko Ueda: #34 money ($333.5K), #51 RR (2.49), #68 GSPI (72.08), #49 HD, #44 TJ (25.42). Her Mizuno win bumps her up 14 spots.
39. Jimin Kang: #39 money ($255.9K), #62 RR (2.21), #55 GSPI (71.78), #42 HD, #58 TJ (17.46).
40. Candie Kung: #37 money ($287.6K), #82 RR (1.61), #58 GSPI (71.85), #45 HD, #37 TJ (39.82).
41. Tiffany Joh: #41 money ($237.7K), #86 RR (1.59), #75 GSPI (72.21), #33 HD, #61 TJ (16.40). Up 35 spots!
42. Amy Hung: #42 money ($226.6K), #94 RR (1.49), #78 GSPI (72.25), #47 HD, #48 TJ (23.84).
43. Christel Boeljon: #52 money ($170.6K), #46 RR (2.61), #36 GSPI (71.33), #51 HD, #42 TJ (28.36). Up 22 spots!  (But partly an artifact of my doing this ranking right after she won in the 2012 LET season opener last week.)
44. Hee-Won Han: #40 money ($245.3K), #90 RR (1.56), #93 GSPI (72.49), #62 HD, #43 TJ (26.62). Up 34 spots!
45. Jennifer Johnson: #63 money ($129.0K), #167 RR (.86), #56 GSPI (71.81), #37 HD, #64 TJ (13.40). Up 25 spots!  I'm curious to see what she can do with a full LPGA schedule in 2012.
46. Julieta Granada: #61 money ($137.2K), #121 RR (1.25), #102 GSPI (72.76), n.r. HD, #40 TJ (32.66). Is her long nightmare finally over?

An interesting mix of golfers have at most 2 top 50s and/or at least 3 top 60s. I'm curious to see who among them can arrest their falls or keep rising.

47. Beatriz Recari: #43 money ($223.1K), #74 RR (1.89), #72 GSPI (72.14), #41 HD, #53 TJ (19.56). Down 7 spots.
48. Pornanong Phatlum: #57 money ($149.7K), #96 RR (1.47), #49 GSPI (71.67), #44 HD, #55 TJ (18.24).
49. Jenny Shin: #55 money ($160.6K), #149 RR (1.01), #97 GSPI (72.66), #56 HD, #46 TJ (24.44). Debut!
50. Ryann O'Toole: #46 money ($192.7K), #118 RR (1.26), #111 GSPI (72.93), #52 HD, #41 TJ (30.14).
51. Paige Mackenzie: #47 money ($184.3K), #134 RR (1.11), #79 GSPI (72.30), #57 HD, #51 TJ (19.90). Down 7 spots.
52. Mina Harigae: #49 money ($178.7K), #115 RR (1.29), #91 GSPI (72.49), #59 HD, #60 TJ (16.62).
53. Stacy Prammanasudh: #59 money ($143.9K), #146 RR (1.03), #57 GSPI (71.81), #55 HD, #77 TJ (10.20). Down 10 spots.
54. Katherine Hull: #60 money ($137.9K), #54 RR (2.40), #120 GSPI (73.06), #53 HD, #66 TJ (12.84). Down 15.
55. Pat Hurst: #50 money ($177.3K), #128 RR (1.16), #116 GSPI (73.00), #66 HD, #49 TJ (23.36).
56. Vicky Hurst: #45 money ($201.4K), #93 RR (1.51), #98 GSPI (72.67), #58 HD, #63 TJ (14.36).
57. Wendy Ward: #44 money ($204.2K), #110 RR (1.34), #61 GSPI (72.00), #61 HD, #52 TJ (19.90).
58. Natalie Gulbis: #51 money ($176.3K), #123 RR (1.25), #62 GSPI (72.00), #50 HD, #72 TJ (10.98). Down 11 spots.
59. Kristy McPherson: #56 money ($157.0K), #101 RR (1.41), #71 GSPI (72.11), #46 HD, #106 TJ (2.72). Down 6.
60. Eun-Hee Ji: #48 money ($181.7), #111 RR (1.34), #52 GSPI (71.71), #48 HD, #118 TJ (1.24). Down 24.  Probably the biggest flame-out among my long-shot picks in 2011.

A handful of golfers have at most 2 top 60s and/or at least 3 top 70s:

61. Karine Icher: #87 money ($55.4K), #85 RR (1.59), n.r. GSPI [not enough events in database] (71.83), #54 HD, #107 TJ (2.64). Down 15 spots.
62. Dewi Claire Schreefel: #62 money ($136.1K), #178 RR (.81), #108 GSPI (72.84), #69 HD, #54 TJ (18.68).
63. Cindy LaCrosse: #65 money ($114.8K), #169 RR (.89), #112 GSPI (72.96), #63 HD, #57 TJ (17.70). Down 7 spots.
64. Kyeong Bae: #66 money ($109.1K), #144 RR (1.05), #129 GSPI (73.62), n.r. HD, #56 TJ (18.22). Down 6 spots.
65. Gerina Mendoza Piller: #68 money ($103.3K), #218 RR (.63), #147 GSR (73.37), #64 HD, #70 TJ (11.38). Debut!
66. Amanda Blumenherst: #52 money ($164.9K), #127 RR (1.17), #87 GSPI (72.40), n.r. HD, #59 TJ (16.92).
67. Christina Kim: #58 money ($149.8K), #88 RR (1.57), #109 GSPI (72.89), n.r. HD, #71 TJ (11.20).

A pair of players round out the ranking with at most 2 top 70s and/or at least 3 top 80s:


68. Belen Mozo: #67 money ($104.3K), #175 RR (.82), #115 GSPI (72.99), n.r. HD, #65 TJ (12.96). Debut!
69. Heather Bowie Young: #70 money ($97.6K), #165 RR (.88), #131 GSPI (73.23), n.r. HD, #75 TJ (10.88). Down 10 spots.

Friday, February 10, 2012

ISPS Handa Women's Australian Open Thursday and Friday: So Yeon Ryu Keeps Right on Rolling

Royal Melbourne has been the big winner over the 1st 2 rounds of the ISPS Handa Women's Australian Open in the LPGA's 2012 debut.  Sure, my pick for Rookie of the Year, So Yeon Ryu, got it to -7 through 33 holes, breakout '09er Stacy Lewis outdid her by getting to -7 through 31 holes, last year's ROY Hee Kyung Seo made 7 birdies on the back 9 today, Jessica Korda has been bombing her way around the course with 7 birdies and and eagle in 36 holes, resurgent '06er Julieta Granada outdid her with 8 birdies and an eagle in the same span, and LET star Melissa Reid has been averaging a birdie every 4 holes.  But for all their fireworks, the top of the leaderboard looks like this at the halfway point of the tournament:

1st/-6 Ryu (71-69)
2nd/-5 Seo (75-66)
T3/-4 Korda (72-70), Reid (71-71), Granada (70-72), Lewis (69-73)

What happened?  Ryu went +1 over her last 3 holes, Lewis closed out today's round with a roller-coaster triple bogey-bogey-bogey-eagle-par finish, Granada has made 7 bogeys thus far this week, and Reid and Korda have made 5.  The only one among the leader to really keep her mistakes to a minimum today was Seo, as she made 3 more birdies on the front (her back) to help her offset her 2 bogeys on the day.  But yesterday was a different story, as she suffered through a birdie-less round with 4 bogeys that were partially offset by a lone (and quite welcome) eagle on the par-5 8th.

If the golfers playing really well had all this misfortune, what about the rest of the field?  #1 of everything Ya Ni Tseng got off to a good start, as Ruthless Mike noted, but after going -5 over her 1st 21 holes, the wheels came off late on the front today, as she went bogey-par-quad-bogey-bogey to close out the front.  Yes, she bounced back with a bogey-free 35 on the back to claw her way back to E, but she's got a lot of ground to make up on the weekend.  As does the player many of us would be dominating the LPGA by now, Ji-Yai Shin, who's offset her 7 birdies with 5 bogeys and a double, along with the Blonde Bomber Brittany Lincicome (averaging close to 320 yards off the tee today!!), who's offset her 8 birdies with 2 doubles in a row on the par-3 5th and 3 other bogeys, not to mention the player who denied Shin her best chance for an LPGA win in 2011, Sandra Gal, who was -5 through 22 holes, but made 3 bogeys and a double in a 10-hole stretch and needed a late birdie to join Lincicome and veteran Lorie Kane at -1.  Here's how the next tier of players looks:

T7/-1 Kane (72-73), Gal (71-74), Lincicome (70-75)
T10/E Katie Futcher (74-72), Cydney Clanton (74-72), Shin (72-74), Nikki Campbel (72-74), Jenny Shin (72-74), Sophie Giquel-Bettan (72-74), Tseng (70-76)

9 players under par and 16 at par or better is no great shakes, but the true measure of how tough Royal Melbourne has been playing is the number of notable golfers (well) over par.  Here's a sampling:

+1 Sandra Changkija, Victoria Tanco
+2 Lexi Thompson, Ha-Neul Kim, Gwladys Nocera, Beatriz Recari, Jennifer Johnson
+3 Angela Stanford, Lee-Anne Pace, Belen Mozo
+4 Karrie Webb, Morgan Pressel, Caroline Hedwall, Mina Harigae, Lydia Ko
+5 Suzann Pettersen, Azahara Munoz, Brittany Lang, Eun-Hee Ji, Ryann O'Toole, Kristy McPherson, Danielle Kang, Cindy LaCrosse
+6 Amanda Blumenherst, Tiffany Joh, Kyeong Bae, Jodi Ewart
+7 Cristie Kerr, Hee-Won Han, Anna Nordqvist, Katherine Hull, Guilia Sergas, Lindsey Wright, Jennifer Song, Ashleigh Simon, Chella Choi

MC: Sun Young Yoo, Diana Luna, Kristie Smith, Dewi Claire Schreefel, Harukyo Nomura, Inbee Park, Na On Min, Haeji Kang, Hannah Yun, Jane Rah, Sophie Gustafson, Christel Boeljon, Marianne Skarpnord, Junthima Gulyanamitta, Hee Young Park, Christina Kim, Jane Park, Karine Icher, Frances Bondad, Song-Hee Kim, Candie Kung, Laura Diaz, Tamie Durdin, Pernilla Lindberg, Laura Davies, Minea Blomqvist, Kathleen Ekey, Sydnee Michaels, Cathryn Bristow, Vicky Hurst, Irene Cho, Linda Wessberg, Pornanong Phatlum, Stephanie Kono

Given all this, and how roller-coastery a ride it's been even for those playing well, who knows what we'll be seeing this weekend?  Me, I have a beef with my DVR, as it failed to tape the 1st round for me.  Given that I'll be too busy at work to catch the 2nd round for a long while and I'll be at my girls' Japanese School while the 3rd round is being shown on Golf Channel Saturday morning, don't be surprised if I'm not back here until Sunday afternoon!

Thursday, February 9, 2012

My Top 30 LPGA Golfers for 2012

I'm a tiny bit late but here are my entries for the derby.

1 Tseng
2 Shin JY
3 Choi NY
4 Pettersen
5 Kim IK
6 Lincicome
Can't ever forget Boom Boom making me look like a genius in 2009. I predicted her to be Comeback Player of the Year for the year and all she does is go out and win the Kraft Nabisco
7 Creamer
8 Yang
9 Lewis
10 Miyazato A
11 Gal
12 Kerr
13 Seo
14 Thompson
15 Wie
16 Pressel
17 Joh
18 Miyazato M
19 Lang
Brittany breaks through and wins for the first time on the LPGA Tour finally breaking the Duke jinx
20 Feng
21 Munoz
22 Kim SH
23 Nordqvist
24 Webb
25 Ryu
26 Park HY
27 Yoo
28 Stanford
29 Matthew
30 Pak
Se Ri wins at Toledo for the 6th time

Major Championship winners- Tseng, Pettersen, IK Kim, A Miyazato
Comeback player of the Year- SH Kim. 2nd choice- JY Lee

Now I will put my crystal ball away for the rest of 2012.

[Update 1 (11:35 am):  The Constructivist here, noting that Jamie posted his top 30 on his blog, and that Verdant Garden did at Seoul Sisters.com, as well.  Hope to find some time this weekend to tabulate the 2011 LPGA Prognostication Derby picks!]

[Update 2 (2/10/12, 5:05 am):  Here are WoolsMe's picks!

1-Yani Tseng
2-Suzann Pettersen
3-Na Yeon Choi
4-Cristie Kerr
5-Brittany Lincicome
6-Ai Miyazato
7-Stacy Lewis
8-Paula Creamer
9-I.K. Kim
10-Hee Kyung Seo
11-So Yeon Ryu
12-Morgan Pressel
13-Lexi Thompson
14-Azahara Munoz
15-Jiyai Shin
16-Karrie Webb
17-Amy Yang
18-Michelle Wie
19-Anna Nordqvist
20-Hee Young Park
21-Sandra Gal
22-Angela Stanford
23-Brittany Lang
24-Mika Miyazato
25-Katie Futcher
26-Maria Hjorth
27-Meena Lee
28-Inbee Park
29-Shanshan Feng
30-Ryann O'Toole
Think that's all of them for 2012....]