I'm hoping the 4th time is the charm for me in the LPGA Prognostication Derby this year, but because I love good competition I'm going to offer some links and stats in this post to help out any newcomers.
If you're looking which rookies to put in your top 30, go no further than Hound Dog's post sizing up the Class of 2011 in light of how almost 10 years of rookies have done on the LPGA. Thomas Atkins crunches numbers for a much longer time period and notes key patterns. But what about the patterns in my consensus rankings over the last 3 seasons, on which scoring in the Derby is based? Let's see who's done how well recently, starting with those who have snagged at least 1 top 40 and getting more exclusive as we go on:
[Key: *=has no 2011 LPGA status]
Top 40s
Pettersen, Kerr, Tseng, Creamer, Choi, Stanford, SH Kim, Webb, IK Kim, Pressel, Hull, Hjorth, Yoo, JY Lee, Ueda, SH Lee, Lang, Matthew, Gustafson, Kung (2008, 2009, 2010)
Shin, A Miyazato, Nordqvist, Lincicome, McPherson, HY Park, Pak, A Yang, C Kim (2009, 2010)
IB Park, Inkster, M Lee (2008, 2010)
Ji, Alfredsson, Oh, Wright (2008, 2009)
M Miyazato, Lewis, Kang, Munoz, Icher, Pak, Hur, Feng (2010)
Gulbis, V Hurst, Ward (2009)
Diaz, A Park*, MH Kim, J Park, Prammanasudh, Castrale, Lu (2008)
Top 30s
Pettersen, Kerr, Tseng, Creamer, Choi, Stanford, SH Kim, Webb, IK Kim, Pressel, Hull, Hjorth, JY Lee (2008, 2009, 2010)
Shin, A Miyazato, Nordqvist, Yoo, Lincicome, McPherson, HY Park, Pak, A Yang, C Kim (2009, 2010)
IB Park, Inkster (2008, 2010)
Ji, SH Lee, Ueda, Alfredsson, Oh, Han, Kung (2008, 2009)
M Miyazato, Lewis, Kang, Munoz, Icher (2010)
Lang, Matthew, Gustafson, Wright, Gulbis, V Hurst, Ward (2009)
Jang, Stupples, Diaz, A Park*, MH Kim (2008)
Top 25s
Pettersen, Kerr, Tseng, Creamer, Choi, Stanford, SH Kim, Webb, IK Kim (2008, 2009, 2010)
Shin, A Miyazato, Pressel, Nordqvist, Yoo (2009, 2010)
IB Park, JY Lee, Hull (2008, 2010)
Ji, Hjorth, SH Lee (2008, 2009)
A Yang, Lincicome, M Miyazato, Lewis, Kang, Munoz, Icher (2010)
McPherson, Lang, Matthew, Gustafson, Wright, Ueda (2009)
Jang, Han, Stupples, Alfredsson, Kung, Diaz, Inkster, A Park* (2008)
Top 20s
Pettersen, Kerr, Tseng, Creamer, Choi, SH Kim, Stanford, Webb (2008, 2009, 2010)
Shin, A Miyazato, IK Kim, Wie, Pressel, Nordqvist (2009, 2010)
IB Park, JY Lee (2008, 2010)
Ji (2008, 2009)
A Yang, Hull, Lincicome, M Miyazato (2010)
McPherson, Lang, Matthew, Gustafson (2009)
SH Lee, Jang, Ji, Han, Stupples, Alfredsson, Kung, Diaz (2008)
Top 15s
Pettersen, Kerr, Tseng, Creamer, Choi (2008, 2009, 2010)
Shin, A Miyazato, IK Kim, SH Kim, Wie (2009, 2010)
IB Park (2008, 2010)
Stanford, Webb (2008, 2009)
Pressel, A Yang, Hull, Lincicome (2010)
Nordqvist, McPherson (2009)
SH Lee, Jang, Ji, Han, Stupples (2008)
Top 10s
Pettersen, Kerr, Tseng, Creamer (2008, 2009, 2010)
Shin, A Miyazato, Choi (2009, 2010)
Stanford (2008, 2009)
IK Kim, SH Kim, Wie (2010)
Nordqvist (2009)
SH Lee, Jang, Webb (2008)
Top 5s
Pettersen (2008, 2009, 2010)
Shin, Kerr (2009, 2010)
Tseng (2008, 2010)
Choi (2010)
A Miyazato (2009)
Creamer (2008)
As you can see, 13 players have appeared in the top 30 all 3 seasons we've been running the Derby, 9 in the top 25, 8 in the top 20, 5 in the top 15, 4 in the top 10, and only 1 in the top 5. Meanwhile, 4 players have more than 1 top 5, 8 have more than 1 top 10, 13 have more than 1 top 15, 17 have more than 1 top 20, 20 have more than 1 top 25, and 32 have more than 1 top 30.
Hope this helps! Please be sure to get your top 30s in by, shall we say, Valentine's Day?
4 comments:
Just to make sure I have this correct, to enter all I need to do is list the women I think will finish top 30 at the end of the 2011 LPGA season? Do they have to be in order?
Diane, actually you should try to predict who ends up #1, #2, #3, etc., all the way down to #30. The accuracy of your actual ranking of your top 30 usually ends up deciding the winner....
Sounds like fun. So you need to get as many in the correct order as possible? So if Diane and I both enter and we both get 28/30 correct but my incorrect picks were #5 and #6 and Diane's were #17 and #18, would Diane win because she got more of the top ones correct?
Dan with left handed golf equipment.
Yup!
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