Today's pairings in the 2nd sectional qualifier for LPGA Q-School aren't particularly impressive, mostly being composed of Futures Tour players who failed to qualify at Mission Hills. We'll have to see how good the scoring is this week. I don't expect anyone who can't go more than a few under par to have a decent chance for a top 40, much lass a top 20, at Q-School. There are some pretty darn good players in danger of finishing outside the top 100 on the LPGA money list this season who will be joining #6 through #15 on the Futures Tour money list and the top Mission Hills qualifiers.
But keep an eye on LET young gun Kiran Matharu (8:50 am off the 10th tee on the Bobcat course) and former can't-miss AJGA star Esther Choe (9:20 am off the 1st tee on the Bobcat course), who have not been living up either to their promise or the hype surrounding them, to see how they stack up against a much less star-studded field than at Mission Hills. Much more likely to succeed are 2007 Women's Australian Amateur champion Sunny Park, who will be going off the 1st tee at the Panther course with Futures Tour #20 player Jenny Suh at 9:40 am. Starting on the back in the group behind FT #17 player Chella Choi will be 2008 FT winner and #19-ranked Sunny Oh. And Angela Oh, who made it to the Sweet 16 at the Women's Amateur Public Links this summer and earlier had been the 3rd-low qualifer for the U.S. Women's Open at the Maryland site, will also be going off the back about an hour earlier, at 8:30 am.
[Update 1 (7:25 pm): After the 1st round, Sunny Oh is tied for the lead at -4 with Moah Chang, who I'll admit I've never heard of. Angela Oh and Chella Choi are 3 back, Jenny Suh is 4 back, and Sunny Park is 5 back, so they're in pretty good shape when it comes to making the cut. But Kiran Matharu blew up with an 82 and Esther Choe with a 78, so they'll need good rounds tomorrow just to play all 4 rounds. And yet, the one thing that characterizes players of this caliber is volatility. They're still learning how to keep their bad rounds near par and their decent ones at or under it, much less how to get used to going low. With 77 players at +3 or better, the cut could be anywhere between +6 and E. And with only 23 players under par after the 1st round, I don't expect you to have to go under par to get into the top 30 after 72 holes. If +5 was good enough at Mission Hills with a much stronger field, there's no need to panic after 1 or even 2 rounds over 75, so long as your other 2 rounds are good enough to offset them just enough. Only 4 people in the entire Mission Hills field went under par every round. So even though Leanne Bowditch's 1st round, for instance, was 9 shots worse in Venice than it was in Mission Hills, if she shoots 3 72s the rest of the way here instead of the 3 75s she shot there, she could very well give herself a chance to do better at the Final Qualifying School....]
[Update 2 (7:28 pm): OK, OK, here's something on Moah Chang.]
[Update 3 (10/1/08, 2:42 am): LPGA.com has more.]
Tuesday, September 30, 2008
Venice Tuesday: Who Will Step Up?
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The Best of the Young Guns: September 2008 Edition
Well, well, well, a lot has changed since I last ranked the LPGA's Super Sophs and Junior Mints together back at the end of April.
Simply the Best
1. Seon Hwa Lee: The Young Guns' only $3M woman and 4-time winner hasn't been doing anything all that special lately, but she has such a lead on the rest of the Junior Mints and Super Sophs that her indifferent play during the LPGA's summer vacation period isn't a huge cause for concern. But the Class of 2008 is looking really tough, with at least 7 players who look like they'll be among the LPGA's elite for a long time to come, so this is no time to be resting on herlaurels.
2. Angela Park: She's the 2nd-hottest player on tour in the 2nd half of the season, behind only Cristie Kerr in winnings in that stretch. 4 top 6s in your last 10 starts will do that for you. Just good enough to be 2nd in her generation.
3. Eun-Hee Ji: Sure, she has 4 top 8s in her last 10 starts, including her 1st career LPGA win and a T3 at the Women's British Open, racking up winnings on a faster pace than even Seon Hwa Lee, and ranked ahead of Angela Park in both systems, but Park's been outplaying her recently and at this point in her career Ji can't afford a patch of indifferent play as easily as Lee can.
4. Jee Young Lee: She's been pretty much a top 20 machine when she hasn't hiccupped with missed cuts over her last 13 events, but she has no top 10s in that stretch. She's still making a ton of birdies, despite a significantly lower GIR rate than usual in her previous 2 seasons, so there's no reason she can't turn it around. She certainly is due.
5. Morgan Pressel: After showing signs of life in mid-summer, she's been in a bit of a tailspin lately, despite the extra preparation she put into the European Swing this year. Maybe getting her wisdom teeth removed, as she did recently, will change her luck. It's not for lack of effort that her results this season have been for the most part disappointing.
6. Inbee Park: Hasn't been the same golfer since being feted as a national heroine in South Korea after her U.S. Women's Open win, so her decision to skip the Southern Swing makes a certain amount of sense. Unlike Jee Young Lee and Pressel, she qualified for the Samsung World Championship, so we'll see very soon what use she made of her time off.
The Contenders
7. Ai Miyazato: Got 3 top 6s in a 6-event stretch in late summer and seemed poised to make my prediction that her 1st LPGA win was around the corner look positively prescient until she missed 2 cuts in a row on the Northern Swing and decided to spend September in Japan. She's competing in the Japan Women's Open this week after finishing T7 in the JLPGA's previous major, so hopefully she'll regain her momentum and come back to the LPGA ready to improve on her 11th-place standing in the race to qualify for the ADT Championship.
8. In-Kyung Kim: One of the hottest golfers on the LPGA right now, with a 5-event top 20 streak going that includes a pair of top 10s. Even though she's been improving her GIR rate significantly lately, it's still not where an elite golfer's should be, but she still has the 4th-highest birdie rate among the Junior Mints and Super Sophs. If she keeps this up, she could pass Miyazato by the next ranking.
9. Song-Hee Kim: Except for a few hiccups here and there, she's been having a fantastic season. And if her stats are any indication, she's due for it to get even better. Perhaps even this week. Watch out for her!
10. Jane Park: Not quite on a Eun-Hee Ji-like pace, but getting there. Even though her recent play has been indifferent at best, she has a way of getting into contention when you least expect it.
11. Brittany Lang: With 5 missed cuts in her last 10 events and only 1 top 20 in the mix, she's been in a real tailspin lately. And just when it seemed she had finally overcome her sophomore jinx!
12. Ji Young Oh: Took a long break from the LPGA after the European Swing, but picked up right where she left off with another top 20 (her 4th in her previous 5 events and best finish since her win). You know she's hot when the GSPI ranks her 4th among all the Junior Mints and Super Sophs, but this is a career ranking, so she'll have to maintain this pace for a long time to remain in such rarefied company.
Quantum Leap Candidates
13. Sun Young Yoo: Got her 4th top 10 of the season in the midst of an otherwise indifferent stretch, but her 3rd-ranked birdie rate among the Junior Mints and Super Sophs suggests it can happen again almost any time.
14. Teresa Lu: Just as I predicted, the European Swing cooled off her game, but at least she stopped her missed cut streak at 2 this past week. Having the 2nd-lowest birdie rate among those in this ranking doesn't bode well for the rest of her season.
15. Minea Blomqvist: After winning on the LET, she hasn't impressed all that much on the LPGA, particularly with this past week's missed cut. The worst GIR rate in this ranking doesn't bode well for her the rest of the season, but she can make birdies in bunches, so could always surprise.
16. Julieta Granada: I didn't include her season stats because they're so bad. She wouldn't even be in this ranking if it weren't for her rookie season. I've heard of sophomore jinxes, but this is ridiculous!
17. Meaghan Francella: After top 30s in the Northern Swing, she missed both cuts on the Southern Swing. Looks like her game hasn't recovered from her early-season injuries. Like Granada, her win has earned her the time to play through her extended slump. Looks like she'll need all the time she can get.
18. Kristy McPherson: Followed up her top 10 at the Bell Micro with a missed cut at the Navistar. It's too bad, as her stats suggest she should have a good fall finish.
19. H.J. Choi: Has shown some real signs of life lately, but couldn't capitalize on her 65 at Evian and sandwiched a top 10 between 2 missed cuts in her last 3 events.
20. Kyeong Bae: Missed 4 straight cuts right after I proclaimed that "The birdie machine is back!" At least she's still very likely to finish in the top 80 this season. Hopefully he can work ut her ballstriking problems during the fall finish, although I don't know if she'll be invited to participate in many Asian swing events.
21. Jin Joo Hong: Needs to get out of her post-Evian funk if she wants to qualify for the Asian Swing this season. A good season could become a great one if she gets hot in the fall. But her stats are not promising.
22. Na On Min: Once a lock to keep her card, she's now on the bubble after getting MCitis this summer. But 2 near-top 20s on the Southern Swing have given her a little bit of breathing room. She's due for something to start going right for her in this sophomore-jinxed season.
For your reference--and mine--here are the stats on which I'm basing the June ranking.
2008 LPGA Money List (rank), stroke average (rank), birdies per round average (rank [in total birdies]), greens in regulation rate (rank): I focus on four key indicators of how well someone is playing this season--how much money they've made, how they've scored, how many birdies they've averaged per round, and how many greens they've hit in regulation on average per round, plus how they rank in each category (except for birdies, which LPGA.com ranks by total and not by average). I figure I can figure out how well they're hitting their irons and putting by comparing the last three figures, so I don't include putts per green in regulation here. Some of the figures Hound Dog thinks are most important I'm looking at in the career stats (below), where I think they belong. These stats are all about the present and future.
1. Inbee Park, $1.10M (#5), 71.29 (#15), 3.55 (#15), 62.8% (#88)
2. Seon Hwa Lee, $1.08M (#7), 71.26 (#14), 3.16 (#15), 67.7% (#14)
3. Eun-Hee Ji, $824.8K (#12), 71.21 (#13), 3.26 (#28), 65.4% (#55)
4. Angela Park, $812.8K (#13), 71.51 (#23), 3.48 (#11), 65.4% (#54)
5. Song-Hee Kim, $786.2K (#14), 70.91 (#9), 3.69 (#23), 69.0% (#4)
6. Jane Park, $581.5K (#19), 71.46 (#22), 3.27 (#32), 68.2% (#9)
7. Jee Young Lee, $574.6K (#20), 71.44 (#20), 3.65 (#5), 65.8% (#48)
8. Ji Young Oh, $569.0K (#21), 71.43 (#17), 3.31 (#13), 66.3% (#39)
9. Sun Young Yoo, $542.4K (#25), 71.45 (#21), 3.63 (#3), 66.2% (#40)
10. In-Kyung Kim, $500.1K (#29), 71.62 (#31), 3.59 (#20), 62.6% (#95)
11. Morgan Pressel, $452.2K (#32), 71.69 (#36), 3.26 (#44), 66.2% (#41)
12. Teresa Lu, $451.4K (#33), 72.23 (#53), 2.74 (#50), 63.6% (#74)
13. Brittany Lang, $409.2K (#38), 72.03 (#45), 2.99 (#31), 67.8% (#13)
14. Ai Miyazato, $393.8K (#39), 72.00 (#43), 2.94 (#58), 62.2% (#101)
15. Minea Blomqvist, $389.1K (#43), 72.27 (#55), 3.31 (#36), 60.2% (#130)
16. Kristy McPherson, $341.3K (#48), 71.61 (#28), 3.32 (#38), 65.9% (#46)
17. Jin Joo Hong, $306.5K (#50), 72.21 (#51), 2.90 (#76), 62.5% (#97)
18. H.J. Choi, $236.6K (#56), 72.58 (#68), 2.80 (#37), 60.9% (#119)
19. Kyeong Bae, $158.5K (#69), 72.99 (#94), 3.09 (#47), 60.8% (#120)
20. Na On Min, $142.5K (#75), 73.08 (#100), 2.71 (#57), 61.4% (#111)
Career LPGA Money List (rank), # of LPGA events entered/majors/wins/top 3s/top 10s/top 20s/cuts made (made cut rate): About the only thing these stats are useful for is comparing people who entered the LPGA in the same year (although if you count generations by 3 years, it can be interesting). Between inflation, changing purses, and length/timing of careers, it's very hard to compare and contrast winnings across generations of LPGA greats. Fortunately the Super Sophs and Junior Mints haven't been at this all too long, so the career money list is a decent stat for comparing them, even if it's a bit unfair to people who have not been exempt throughout their careers. What would really be great is if we had a world money list in inflation-adjusted dollars, with inflation- and exchange-adjusted other cash denominations added in (or just totalled up separately to avoid comparing dollars and yen), which included all each golfer earned as a professional on any tour. But even the guys don't have that, so that'll have to remain a dream for now. I include these other ways of seeing how the young guns finished relative to their competition in the tournaments they entered because they reveal a lot about how well someone is able to compete at every level, from just making cuts to grinding out top 20s and top 10s to contending for wins. So here's how they stand:
1. Seon Hwa Lee, $3.09M (#53), 81/0/4/9/21/42/77 (.951)
2. Julieta Granada, $2.13M (#81), 81/0/1/5/10/20/55 (.679)
3. Jee Young Lee, $2.12M (#82), 73/0/0/5/19/40/68 (.932)
4. Morgan Pressel, $1.89M (#94), 69/1/1/5/21/36/59 (.855)
5. Angela Park, $1.80M (#97), 49/0/0/6/14/20/45 (.918)
6. Ai Miyazato, $1.71M (#101), 66/0/0/4/17/26/53 (.803)
7. Inbee Park, $1.48M (#111), 47/1/1/3/9/15/33 (.702)
8. Brittany Lang, $1.30M (#128), 78/0/0/3/12/27/55 (.705)
9. Eun-Hee Ji, $1.07M (#155), 25/0/1/4/8/10/21 (.840)
10. In-Kyung Kim, $.95M (#179), 45/0/0/2/9/16/37 (.822)
11. Sun Young Yoo, $.90M (#189), 75/0/0/1/6/18/56 (.747)
12. Song-Hee Kim $.86M (#194), 46/0/0/3/8/15/32 (.696)
13. Kyeong Bae, $.75M (#209), 76/0/0/2/7/12/53 (.697)
14. Ji Young Oh, $.72M (#215), 44/0/1/1/4/8/30 (.682)
15. Teresa Lu, $.70M (#219), 64/0/0/1/5/14/45 (.703)
16. Jane Park, $.65M (#228), 32/0/0/3/4/8/26 (.813)
17. Meaghan Francella $.61M (#233), 52/0/1/1/4/8/29 (.558)
18. Minea Blomqvist, $.55M (#243), 55/0/0/1/3/8/34 (.618)
19. H.J. Choi, $.54M (#245), 52/0/0/0/6/11/35 (.673)
20. Jin Joo Hong, $.47M (#265), 40/0/0/0/2/6/25 (.625)
21. Na On Min, $.45M (#269), 43/0/0/1/2/5/27 (.628)
22. Kristy McPherson, $.42M (#275), 37/0/0/0/5/8/25 (.676)
Other Career Measures: Rolex Ranking (as of 9/29/08) and rank, Golfweek/Sagarin Performance Index (as of 9/28/08) and rank, International and Non-Member LPGA Wins (as of the end of the 2007 season): This is a way of seeing how those Super Sophs who sometimes or regularly or often compete on other tours stack up over the course of their careers to date (the RR includes results over the past 104 weeks on the LPGA, LET, JLPGA, KLPGA, and Futures Tour; the GSPI includes results over the past 52 weeks on all these tours except the KLPGA).
1. Seon Hwa Lee, 4.98 (#10), 70.28 (#13), 3
2. Inbee Park, 4.63 (#12), 70.75 (#26); 0
3. Eun-Hee Ji, 4.48 (#16), 70.43 (#16); 4
4. Angela Park, 4.47 (#17), 70.64 (#22); 0
5. Jee Young Lee, 4.21 (#18), 70.74 (#25), 2
6. Morgan Pressel, 3.80 (#22), 71.27 (#40), 0
7. In-Kyung Kim, 2.92 (#35), 71.09 (#35); 0
8. Ai Miyazato, 2.84 (#37), 72.07 (#74), 14
9. Song-Hee Kim, 2.75 (#41), 70.40 (#15); 0
10. Jane Park, 2.65 (#42), 70.81 (#28); 0
11. Ji Young Oh, 1.98 (#55); 70.61 (#20); 0
12. Teresa Lu, 1.93 (#56), 71.15 (#36), 0
13. Brittany Lang, 1.92 (#57), 71.43 (#43), 0
14. Minea Blomqvist, 1.88 (#59), 71.56 (#48), 5
15. Sun Young Yoo, 1.57 (#72), 71.05 (#33), 0
16. Kristy McPherson, 1.43 (#79), 71.76 (#65); 0
17. Jin Joo Hong, 1.42 (#81), 71.80 (#66); 2
18. Meaghan Francella, 1.41 (#83), 73.62 (#172), 0
19. H.J. Choi, 1.35 (#85), 72.46 (#91), 1
20. Na On Min, 1.25 (#88), 73.00 (#128); 0
21. Julieta Granada, 1.14 (#94), 73.36 (#148), 0
22. Kyeong Bae, .82 (#127), 73.05 (#130), 3
So there you have it. I'll be checking back in on these rankings on the following schedule:
February: Junior Mints
March: Super Sophs
April: both
May: Junior Mints
June: Super Sophs
July: Junior Mints
August: Super Sophs
October: Junior Mints (pre-Korea Championship)
November: Super Sophs (post-ADT)
December: all the Young Guns, including the '08 rookies (post-Q School)
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Monday, September 29, 2008
The Best off the LPGA: JLPGA, September 2008 Edition
Who are the best players on the JLPGA heading into their 3rd major of the season, the Japan Women's Open? This functionally illiterate expert will attempt to answer that question and update his July JLPGA ranking by combining the Rolex Rankings, the Golfweek/Sagarin Performance Index, the current JLPGA money list, and the final 2007 money list to identify the Best of the JLPGA.
Momoko's back--the JWO will be her 8th JLPGA event this season. But even though she's won twice in 7 tries this season, I can't justify returning this irregular to the top of the ranking just yet.
1. Mi-Jeong Jeon: #2 2008 money (¥72.67M), #33 RR (3.11) [5], #45 GSPI (71.51) [7], #3 2007 money (¥110.9M). Even though she's cooled off a bit after winning the JLPGA's 1st major for her 9th win in the past 3 seasons, she's still racked up 6 top 5s, 13 top 10s, and 16 top 20s in 2008.
2. Momoko Ueda: #16 2008 money (¥41.00M), #11 RR (4.68) [2], #19 GSPI (70.61) [2], #1 2007 money (¥166.11M). With this past weekend's victory bringing her totals to 7 wins over the past 2 seasons and 5 top 5s in 7 starts this year, March's #1-ranked player is on track to regain that status if she plays as often as I expect her to on the JLPGA the rest of the season.
3. Sakura Yokomine: #5 2008 money (¥68.21M), #25 RR (3.59) [4], #34 GSPI (71.05) [4], #2 2007 money (¥114.9M). With 6 wins in the past 3 seasons and 11 top 5s, 15 top 10s, and 17 top 20s this season, not to mention the lowest scoring average on tour this year, Yokomine's inability to seal the deal all season is the only thing keeping her this low this ranking.
4. Akiko Fukushima: #1 2008 money (¥82.89M), #39 RR (2.82) [6], #41 GSPI (71.30) [5], #11 2007 money (¥51.6M). Let's see: 6 wins the past 3 seasons and 7 top 5s, 12 top 10s, and 17 top 20s this one, as well as being the tour's 2nd repeat winner and having the 5th-lowest scoring average.... It's hard to justify ranking her this low.
5. Ji-Yai Shin: #27 2008 money (¥24.18M), #7 RR (6.26) [1], #4 GSPI (69.04) [1], n.a. 2007 money (not a member). With 3 runner-ups on the JLPGA this season to go with her non-member win, Shin will be playing in her 5th JLPGA event sometime this season, I'm sure, even if she pulled out of the Japan Women's Open in favor of the Samsung World Championship this week. With the recent struggles of the rest of the top JLPGA regulars, I can't justify putting her any lower in this ranking.
6. Miho Koga: #3 2008 money (¥72.54M), #44 RR (2.58) [7], #55 GSPI (71.64) [10], #4 2007 money (¥94.3M). With 6 wins the past 3 seasons to go with 8 top 5s, 13 top 10s, and 20 top 20s this one, she's been better than everyone behind her, despite her 2 missed cuts.
7. Yuri Fudoh: #10 2008 money (¥51.83M), #15 RR (4.52) [3], #51 GSPI (71.59) [8], #6 2007 money (¥87.1M). Somehow the 1st player to get 3 wins in 2008 and to break the billion-yen barrier in career winnings is still having problems with consistency this season. She only has 4 top 5s, 6 top 10s, and 10 top 20s against 2 missed cuts and 4 finishes outside the top 30. Still, she has 7 wins in the past 3 seasons and seems to have gotten that fire in her belly rekindled after her great performance in the Women's British Open.
Right behind these lucky 7 are another talented septet:
8. Ji-Hee Lee: #4 2008 money (¥70.74M), #50 RR (2.15) [11], #31 GSPI (70.92) [3], #38 2007 money (¥23.4M). She's been a top-10 player 5 of the last 8 seasons, so last year was something of a glitch. She's won 4 times the last 3 seasons and put herself in the mix more often than anyone else this one--11 top 5s (7 of them top 3s), 15 top 10s, and 19 top 20s. With the 2nd-best scoring average on tour, she is so due for win #2.
9. Hyun-Ju Shin: #6 2008 money (¥64.20M), #47 RR (2.31) [9], #42 GSPI (71.43) [6], #12 2007 money (¥48.5M). Her win in the JLPGA's 2nd major over Ji-Yai Shin vaulted her up these rankings. Now with a pair of wins, 6 top 5s, 10 top 10s, and 13 top 20s this season, she's definitely among the tour's best.
10. Erina Hara: #7 2008 money (¥57.08M), #58 RR (1.90) [15], #58 GSPI (71.68) [13], #19 2007 money (¥39.7M). Was the hottest player on tour for the weeks leading up to her 1st win, bringing her top 5 total to 7, her top 10 total to 9, and her top 20 total to 17.
11. Yuko Mitsuka: #8 2008 money (¥54.81M), #53 RR (2.04) [14], #62 GSPI (71.74) [14], #14 2007 money (¥45.3M). She's got 6 top 5s, 10 top 10s, and 16 top 20s to go with her win this season, but she's also failed to finish 4 events (2 missed cuts and 2 WDs or DQs).
12. Shinobu Moromizato: #13 2008 money (¥46.01M), #51 RR (2.14) [12], #73 GSPI (72.07) [15], #7 2007 money (¥85.3M). No longer winless, her 5 top 5s, 13 top 10s, and 17 top 20s offset her 4 missed cuts this season.
13. Shiho Oyama: #15 2008 money (¥42.69M), #45 RR (2.50) [8], #57 GSPI (71.66) [12], #8 2007 money (¥71.7M). It's amazing that someone with 7 wins in the 2 previous seasons would still have none this one, but her 7th-ranked scoring average and excellent performance at the LPGA's Mission Hills Q-School qualifier suggest there are more in her future, as do her 6 top 5s, 9 top 10s, and 14 top 20s.
14. Ayako Uehara: #9 2008 money (¥52.15M), #84 RR (1.40) [21], #83 GSPI (72.32) [16], #25 2007 money (¥32.9M). This 2007 Lexus Cupper is definitely coming into her own in 2008, with a win, 6 top 5s, 7 top 10s, and 13 top 20s, but she's stalled of late.
The next septet are having trouble breaking through to the next level:
15. Bo-Bae Song: #12 2008 money (¥46.17M), #60 RR (1.88) [16], #52 GSPI (71.59) [9], #16 2007 money (¥44.4M). Looks to be returning to the early-season form that saw her win and rattle off a string of top 20s, now with 4 top 5s, 9 top 10s, and 14 top 20s.
16. Akane Iijima: #14 2008 money (¥44.83M), #70 RR (1.62) [18], #96 GSPI (72.53) [22], #10 2007 money (¥60.3M). Her 2nd-place finish this past week was her best since her win this season, bringing her totals to 4 top 5s, 7 top 10s, and 17 top 20s. With 4 wins in the past 3 seasons, I wouldn't be surprised at all if she made a big move up these rankings by the end of November.
17. Miki Saiki: #21 2008 money (¥36.84M), #48 RR (2.19) [10], #94 GSPI (72.50) [20], #9 2007 money (¥62.6M). Seems to be coming out of a horrible tailspin in which she missed 6 cuts in 9 events, thanks to an electrifying Mission Hills performance. But she's definitely fallen behind the JLPGA's elite, with 7 top 5s and top 10s and only 11 top 20s this season.
18. Hiromi Mogi: #18 2008 money (¥40.14M), #77 RR (1.44) [20], #54 GSPI (71.64) [11], #15 2007 money (¥44.9M). Has notched top 20s in 7 of 8 tournaments since her win, bringing her season totals to 2 top 5s, 9 top 10s, and 18 top 20s.
19. Chie Arimura: #17 2008 money (¥40.19M), #75 RR (1.49) [19], #105 GSPI (72.65) [24], #13 2007 money (¥47.6M). She's cooled off hard since a missed cut broke her streak of 8 straight top 20s (including her win and 2 other top 5s); she now has 10 top 10s and 13 top 20s on the season.
20. Eun-A Lim: #11 2008 money (¥46.18M), #69 RR (1.64) [17], #86 GSPI (72.36) [18], #86 2007 money (¥5.1M). She has 3 top 5s, 7 top 10s, and 10 top 20s in all this season to go with her win. Her winnings are a bit inflated due to her better performance in richer events than many of her peers, so with a 19th-ranked scoring average, she may have found her level on the JLPGA.
21. Yukari Baba: #19 2008 money (¥39.55M), #87 RR (1.27) [22], #126 GSPI (72.98) [28], #28 2007 money (¥27.9M). So much for that quantum leap I mentioned last ranking--she's missed 5 cuts in her last 7 events and hasn't added to her season totals of 1 win, 3 top 5s, 8 top 10s, and 13 top 20s in that span.
And here are the best of the rest:
22. Hiroko Yamaguchi: #20 2008 money (¥38.57M), #95 RR (1.13) [24], #100 GSPI (72.58) [23], #24 2007 money (¥33.1M). She has 1 win, 3 top 5s, 6 top 10s, and 11 top 20s this season.
23. Ji-Woo Lee: #22 2008 money (¥34.44M), n.r. RR, #95 GSPI (72.50) [21], #47 2007 money (¥16.7M). Still one of the hottest players on tour, having upped her season totals to 2 top 5s, 8 top 10s, and 16 top 20s. The only thing lacking is her 1st career JLPGA win....
24. Midori Yoneyama: #24 2008 money (¥29.65M), #89 RR (1.22) [23], #85 GSPI (72.35) [17], #21 2007 money (¥35.3M). 3 top 5s, 6 top 10s, and 14 top 20s put her right behind 1 Lee and right ahead of another.
25. Esther Lee: #23 2008 money (¥30.61M), n.r. RR, #159 GSPI (73.46) [32], #46 2007 money (¥17.1M). She has 5 top 5s and top 10s to go with 10 top 20s. Still, those 11 missed cuts this season (including in 5 of her last 10 events) are holding her back.
26. Rui Kitada: #25 2008 money (¥29.33M), #102 RR (1.07) [27], #141 GSPI (73.26) [29], #33 2007 money (¥26.4M). She has a win, 2 top 5s, 6 top 10s, and 10 top 20s this season.
27. Saiki Fujita: #26 2008 money (¥29.33M), #97 RR (1.12) [26], #171 GSPI (73.61) [34], #26 2007 money (¥32.3M). She has a win, 3 top 5s, 4 top 10s, and 7 top 20s this season, bringing her total to 3 wins in the past 3 seasons.
28. Na Zhang: #33 2008 money (¥18.34M), #52 RR (2.13) [13], #87 GSPI (72.41) [19], #5 2007 money (¥92.1M). Her back injuries are definitely back. But even with a limited schedule and as many missed cuts or WDs as top 20s this season, she still has the talent to rise up these rankings in a heartbeat. It's difficult to say that of anyone else on tour not in these rankings.
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On Golf and Literature: Potiki and the PGA
It just so happens that I've started teaching Patricia Grace's 1986 novel Potiki in my Novels and Tales course just in time for the 1st pro-am at the PGA's Turning Stone Resort Championship. Potiki was brought to American readers by the University of Hawaii Press as part of their series Talanoa: Contemporary Pacific Literature. The General Editor of the series, Vilsoni Hereniko, introduces Grace's novel as follows:
Potiki is a moving story that will be familiar to oppressed people everywhere whose livelihood is threatened by "Dollarmen," property speculators who speak of golf courses, highrises, shopping malls, and tourist attractions. There is a lesson for us all in this community's response to foreigners' attempts to destroy their ancestral symbols and values.
Does the fact that the Oneida Indian Nation owns and runs the Turning Stone resort complex which is hosting this week's PGA event blunt the force of Hereniko's critique? These days, it seems that certain members of the surrounding communities are trying to cast themselves as victims of the OIN's development plans, as both wikipedia and a visitor to the conservative Alexander Hamilton Institute's inaugural dinner attest in their different styles and as historian Beverly Gage analyzed in The Nation almost 8 years ago.
Seems to me both Grace's novel and the Turning Stone resort deserve to be read in all their complexity and ambiguity. What can we make of this coincidental intersection between my academic and blogging lives?
[Update 1 (9/30/08, 7:38 pm): Interesting story on South Korean sensation Danny Lee aiming to make a big splash in this $6M event. Wonder if we'll soon be reading many more stories about male golfers of Korean descent like him and Anthony Kim are changing the face of the PGA.... Still a long way to go to catch up to the LPGA in that regard.]
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Sunday, September 28, 2008
Navistar Classic Sunday: Ochoa Outlasts Kung and Kerr
One by one, Lorena Ochoa's challengers faded away during the final round of the Navistar Classic. After an eagle on the 8th hole brought her to -16, it looked like Ochoa might run away and hide from the field, but once again the back proved to be her Achilles heel, as she rattled off 8 pars around a bogey on the par-4 12th to fail to break 70 for the 1st time this week. Super Soph Song-Hee Kim pulled even with Ochoa after she made her 3rd birdie in a 6-hole stretch on the 11th hole, but a bogey on the par-3 16th dropped her back to -14, where she ended the tournament tied for 4th with rookie Shanshan Feng (who capped off her bogey-free 66 with a birdie on the 18th). Feng's classmate Louise Friberg, looking for her 2nd win of the season, was the next to fall off the pace, with bogeys on the 17th and 18th that dropped her into a tie for 6th with Ya Ni Tseng (70), Jill McGill (69), Wendy Doolan (68), and Sarah Jane Kenyon (69). And although both Cristie Kerr (66) and Candie Kung (67) birdied the 18th to force a playoff with the world #1, both made 3-putts--Kerr on the 1st playoff hole, Kung on the 2nd--that handed the win to Ochoa.
Making big moves but in the end too little, too late, were Morgan Pressel (66, -3, T54), Eun-Hee Ji (67, -5, T47), Seon Hwa Lee (65, -6, T39), Stacy Prammanasudh (66, -8, T29), and Jee Young Lee (66, -9, T22).
For more, see the LPGA.com notes and interviews page. For now, I'll sign off with congratulations to the world #1 for win #7 of the season!
[Update 1 (8:46 pm): Ah, I can't resist linking to Golf Girl's cute congrats to Lorena and Camilo (and Eduardo).]
[Update 2 (11:18 pm): Hound Dog's back!]
[Update 3 (9/29/08, 3:11 am): Brent Kelley comments on the end of Lorena's "slump."]
[Update 4 (1:02 pm): Hound Dog's epilogue makes some good points.]
[Update 5 (11:27 pm): I give the Golf Channel highlights a B+. Although they culdn't devote 10 seconds to Song-Hee Kim's and Louise Friberg's dropping out of the race for the playoff, they got a good scoop that Ochoa will play the next 3 events and skip the Asian Swing.]
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Miyagi TV Cup Dunlop Ladies Open Sunday: Ueda Outlasts Yokomine and Mitsuka
Wow, what a finish at the Miyagi TV Cup Dunlop Ladies Open today on the JLPGA! Sakura Yokomine had yet another great chance to win her 1st tournament of the year, but instead she lost another heartbreaker, this time to the LPGA's own Momoko Ueda, who notched her 2nd win in only her 7th event on tour this season.
This week represented redemption for Ueda, who passed up a great chance to win last week with a final-hole bogey that dropped her back into a playoff with eventual winner Yuri Fudoh. It didn't take long for Ueda to chase down Yokomine down today, making 4 birdies to shoot a 33 on the front and join the 2nd-round leader at -5. Yuko Mitsuka, playing in the final threesome with Yokomine, was next to get to -5 after making her 3rd birdie in 4 holes on the long par-3 11th hole. Ueda, playing in the threesome ahead of her co-leaders, had briefly taken the lead at -6 with a birdie on the very same hole, but gave it back with a bogey on the very next hole, a medium-length par 4. Ueda and Yokomine both went par-birdie-bogey over the next 3 holes while Mitsuka parred each of them to remain at -5. The 16th hole was the key turning point on the back 9, as Ueda first parred the medium-length par-4 and Yokomine and Mitsuka proceeded to bogey it. Ueda didn't let her 1-shot lead slip this time, as she parred the 17th and 18th and watched Mitsuka fail to make a birdie (and end up tied with Akane Iijima and Julie Lu, who made late charges to climb to -4) and Yokomine bogey the 18th (to slip back into a tie for 5th with Miki Saiki).
Here are the final results for the top 10 and notables:
1st/-5 Ueda (70-72-69)
T2/-4 Iijima (74-69-69), Mitsuka (71-70-71), Lu (69-71-72)
T5/-3 Saiki (72-70-71), Yokomine (70-69-74)
T7/-1 Yumiko Yoshida (72-78-65), Chieko Amanuma (74-69-72)
T9/E Shinobu Moromizato (71-76-69), Mie Nakata (70-75-71), So-Hee Kim (71-73-72)
Nice weekend by Iijima, Mitsuka, and Saiki, and a great week for Lu, Yoshida, and Amanuma. Lu, a 2-time JLPGA winner whose last victory came in 2004, made more birdies than anyone in the field this week and accounted well for herself during her 1st time in contention this season. Amanuma was only 2 shots off the lead with 4 left to play. And Yoshida only shot the low round of the week by 4 shots!
T12/+1 Shiho Oyama (74-74-69), Nikki Campbell (69-78-70), Akiko Fukushima (71-73-73), Esther Lee (74-70-73)
19th/+2 Mayu Hattori (70-74-74)
T20/+3 Saiki Fujita (72-76-71)
T30/+5 Erina Hara (76-74-71), Maiko Wakabayashi (76-74-71), Hiroko Yamaguchi (74-75-72)
T36/+6 Kaori Higo (73-76-73)
T43/+8 Ayako Uehara (76-74-74), Yukari Baba (71-79-74)
T48/+9 Tamie Durdin (73-78-75), Riko Higashio (76-74-75)
T58/+12 Chie Arimura (75-73-80)
It'll be interesting to see how Fukushima, Hara, Uehara, and Oyama in particular deal with this week's disappointing results.
Here's the new money list:
1. Akiko Fukushima ¥82.89M
2. Mi-Jeong Jeon ¥72.67M
3. Miho Koga ¥72.54M
4. Ji-Hee Lee ¥70.74M
5. Sakura Yokomine ¥68.21M
6. Hyun-Ju Shin ¥64.20M
7. Erina Hara ¥57.08M
8. Yuko Mitsuka ¥54.81M
9. Ayako Uehara ¥52.15M
10. Yuri Fudoh ¥51.83M
11. Eun-A Lim ¥46.18M
12. Bo-Bae Song ¥46.17M
13. Shinobu Moromizato ¥46.01M
14. Akane Iijima ¥44.83M
15. Shiho Oyama ¥42.69M
16. Momoko Ueda ¥41.00M
17. Chie Arimura ¥40.19M
18. Hiromi Mogi ¥40.14M
19. Yukari Baba ¥39.55M
20. Hiroko Yamaguchi ¥38.57M
21. Miki Saiki ¥36.84M
22. Ji-Woo Lee ¥34.44M
23. Esther Lee ¥30.61M
24. Midori Yoneyama ¥29.65M
25. Rui Kitada ¥29.33M
26. Saiki Fujita ¥26.65M
27. Ji-Yai Shin ¥24.18M
28. Maiko Wakabayashi ¥23.55M
29. Mayu Hattori ¥22.88M
30. Yuko Saitoh ¥21.98M
So heading into the JLPGA's 3rd major of the season, the Japan Women's Open, Momoko Ueda is one of the hottest golfers on tour, while Ji-Yai Shin, who's coming off her 2nd major victory on the KLPGA this week, is one of the hottest players on the planet. Shin is looking to win a major on every major professional tour this season (the Women's British Open covers both the LPGA and LET), while Ueda is looking to join Yuri Fudoh in the 3-time-winner-in-2008 circle. Meanwhile, the race for the money-list lead is tightening, as Akiko Fukushima has cooled off and Mi-Jeong Jeon, Miho Koga, Ji-Hee Lee, Sakura Yokomine, and Hyun-Ju Shin are rapidly making up ground on her. Ai Miyazato is looking for her 1st JLPGA win since her 14th came back in 2006, while Shiho Oyama and Miki Saiki are looking for their 1st of the season before heading to Florida in December to attempt to join Ai-chan and Momo-chan on the LPGA. And young guns like Erina Hara, Yuko Mitsuka, and Bo-Bae Song are looking to establish themselves firmly among the JLPGA's elite. Not too shabby!
[Update 1 (12:36 pm): Uh-oh! Shin's name doesn't appear on the newly-updated field list for the JWO! Looks like she'll be playing the Samsung World Championship after all.]
[Update 2 (11:15 pm): Here's the Kyodo story.]
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Saturday, September 27, 2008
Navistar Classic Saturday: It's Free-for-All Time!
Talk about taking advantage on moving day! The Navistar Classic's one and only defending champion Maria Hjorth led the way with a blistering 63, bringing her total to -9 for the tournament and her within 4 shots of co-leaders Louise Friberg (65) and Lorena Ochoa (69). Candie Kung's 65 got her to -10 for the tournament--the 10th player to reach double digits under par thus far. If Shi Hyun Ahn hadn't made 2 bogeys on the back, she would have joined that group--as it is, her 65 lifted her to -8 for the tournament. She became the 19th player to end the day within 5 shots of the lead, tied with Heather Daly-Donofrio and 1 shot behind Wendy Doolan, who both shot 66s of their own. (It was Doolan's 1st round of the tournament in which she didn't make a hole in one or a quadruple bogey!)
Higher up the leaderboard, Song-Hee Kim's 69 made her the only player to join Ochoa in shooting 3 straight sub-70 rounds. She remains 2 shots behind the world #1, along with Christina Kim (69), 2nd-round leader Janice Moodie (72), Michele Redman (70), and Ya Ni Tseng (the only player in this bunch to actually make up ground on Ochoa with her 68).
Scoring has been lower than I expected this week: most players in contention have shot at least 1 round of 67 or better. You'll definitely need to go below 70 at least 3 times to win this thing. If Ochoa and Song-Hee Kim can't bend probabilities their way, they're going to get passed by half a dozen people among the top 21 who go really low tomorrow. But who? Cristie Kerr? Katherine Hull? Jane Park? Shanshan Feng? Na On Min? Should be very very interesting on the back 9 tomorrow afternoon!
[Update 1 (7:19 pm): Check out LPGA.com's notes and interviews page when you get a chance.]
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Miyagi TV Cup Dunlop Ladies Open Saturday: Yokomine Makes a Move
Sakura Yokomine has made a bid to restore some order to the JLPGA's Miyagi TV Cup Dunlop Ladies Open today. Her 69 brought her to -5, but it took a late double bogey and a final-hole bogey by 1st-round co-leader Julie Lu to hand Yokomine the lead. There was very little movement on moving day, except in the wrong direction by Lu's former co-leaders. Yuko Saitoh and Nikki Campbell led the way with 78s, followed by Rie Murata with a 77 and Mayumi Shimomura with a 75. Still, there are 14 players within 5 shots of Yokomine heading into the final round, so her 1st win on tour this season won't be easy.
1st/-5 Yokomine (70-69)
2nd/-4 Lu (69-71)
3rd/-3 Yuko Mitsuka (71-70)
T4/-2 Miki Saiki (72-70), Momoko Ueda (70-72)
T6/-1 Akane Iijima (74-69), Chieko Amanuma (74-69), Yui Kawahara (73-70), Yui Mukaiyama (73-70)
T10/E Esther Lee (74-70), Eriko Moriyama (73-71), Akiko Fukushima (71-73), So-Hee Kim (71-73), Mayu Hattori (70-74), Shimomura (69-75)
T16/+1 Mie Nakata (70-75)
T22/+3 Campbell (69-78), Shinobu Moromizato (71-76)
T26/+4 Chie Arimura (75-73), Shiho Oyama (74-74), Saiki Fujita (72-76)
T37/+5 Hiroko Yamaguchi (74-75), Kaori Higo (73-76)
T46/+6 Ayako Uehara (76-74), Erina Hara (76-74), Maiko Wakabayashi (76-74), Riko Higashio (76-74) Tamie Durdin (73-78), Yukari Baba (71-79)
Some disappointing missed cuts:
T63/+8 Rui Yokomine (77-75), Miho Koga (76-76)
T72/+9 Yuki Ichinose (74-79)
T79/+11 Ritsuko Ryu (78-77)
Can Mitsuka, Ueda, Saiki, Iijima, or Fukushima make a charge tomorrow and deny Yokomine her 1st win of the season?
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Friday, September 26, 2008
Navistar Classic Friday: Oh, How Things Have Changed
Lorena Ochoa shot her 2nd straight 67 today at the Navistar LPGA Classic to become the 1st player to get to double digits under par. She "only" closed with a 32 on the front (2 shots worse than her opening 9 yesterday), but handled the closing 4 holes on the back much better this time around (-1 vs. +1). Early in the year, this kind of performance would have intimidated her competition and gotten them out of their comfort zones. But as I write veterans like Michele Redman (who's made 2 eagles as she's gone -7 over her 1st 11 holes today), Janice Moodie, and Jill McGill are threatening to pass her, not to mention Super Soph Ji Young Oh, who's gunning to become the 1st in her class to win twice on tour. Only 3 shots back are Cristie Kerr and Ya Ni Tseng, each of whom has gone 1 shot lower than Ochoa's best in 1 of their opening rounds. And threatening to pass them are Christina Kim and Song-Hee Kim. Even though Jane Park and Jeong Jang are struggling today, they still have a bunch of birdie holes ahead of them on the front before their days are done. So that's 10 players who could well be within 3 shots of Ochoa heading into moving day. Any wonder that the world #1 hasn't won since May?
[Update 1 (4:58 pm): And it's not just her LPGA peers catching up to Ochoa. Ji-Yai Shin just won her second major on the KLPGA this season, bringing her majors total on the year to 3 and her win total to 7. That's tops in the world this calendar year.]
[Update 2 (5:46 pm): Song-Hee Kim closed with her 2nd straight 68; Moodie's -10 with 2 birdie holes to go on the front; Redman is hanging tough on the tough closing holes, just needing a par on 18 for a bogey-free 65 that would put her 1 back of Ochoa; McGill's 1 back with a few birdie holes to go before she hits 15 through 18; Christina Kim's -6 on her round and 2 shots back of Ochoa with 17 and 18 (both of which she bogeyed yesterday) to go; Ji Young Oh bogeyed 15 for the 2nd straight day to erase her birdie on 14 and fall 2 back again; and Shanshan Feng has birdied 14 and 16 to get within 3 of the lead.]
[Update 3 (5:57 pm): While Jane Park and Jeong Jang continue to struggle, they each have 2 birdie holes to go, so could still salvage their rounds. Meanwhile, In-Kyung Kim fired a 67 today to move to -5 for the tournament, the same as Na On Min and Michelle Ellis, but 1 behind them (and Teresa Lu, Mikaela Parmlid, and Louise Friberg, who join them at -6) for the tournament. Speaking of nice moves, Morgan Pressel's 67 brought her to +1, which could end up right on the cut line, as she's T67 with fellow Junior Mints Seon Hwa Lee and Brittany Lang, who also broke 70 to give themselves a chance to keep playing on the weekend. But it's curtains for their classmate Kyeong Bae, Danielle Downey, Minea Blomqvist, H.J. Choi, Sun Young Yoo, and Meaghan Francella, as well as Nicole Castrale, Stacy Lewis, Se Ri Pak, Lindsey Wright, Laura Diaz, and Sophie Gustafson. Moira Dunn's going to need a serious miracle not to join them....]
[Update 4 (6:02 pm): OK, Moodie's 67 keeps her 1 shot ahead of Ochoa, while Redman's 65 moves her to -9. McGill's still there with 5 holes to go and Christina Kim and Ji Young Oh are playing the final holes 1 more behind.]
[Update 5 (6:26 pm): Christina Kim's 66 puts her 3 off the lead. She's one of 8 golfers to go lower than Ochoa so far this week--for 1 round. Of course, two of them--Jang and Jane Park--really blew up today. But one difference between the Ochoa of this spring and the Ochoa since then is that she hasn't been able to continue going low all 4 rounds. So far, only 4 players in the field have even broken 70 twice, with only 2 more having a realistic chance to do so still playing. Ochoa's going to have to really bend probabilities to stay under 70 all 4 rounds--and if she goes into neutral or reverse, there are plenty of players ready to zoom past her.]
[Update 6 (7:26 pm): Jill McGill did it--broke 70 and matched Ochoa over the 1st 2 rounds. Ji Young Oh ended up matching Kerr and Tseng, now 4 off the lead. And Shanshan Feng dropped back to -6, becoming the 14th player to pull within 5 shots of the leader Janice Moodie. And it looks like the folks at +1 will end up T69, leaving 81 (or so) players on the right side of the cut line.]
[Update 7 (8:54 pm): LPGA.com has all your overview and interview needs covered.]
[Update 8 (9/27/08, 7:24 pm): Even travelling, Hound Dog can run circles around the AP.]
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Miyagi TV Cup Dunlop Ladies Open Friday: Who Shot What?!
Parity is one thing, but the 1st round of the Miyagi TV Cup Dunlop Ladies Open was almost pure anarchy. What other word fits when such luminaries as Miho Koga (76), Ayako Uehara (76), Shiho Oyama (74), and Akane Iijima (74) are languishing below or near tomorrow's projected cut line while Yuko Saitoh (34-35), Nikki Campbell (33-36), Julie Lu (31-38!), Mayumi Shimomura (34-35), and Rie Murata (34-35) share the lead at -3?
OK, OK, I'm probably going too far: Momoko Ueda and Sakura Yokomine are only 1 shot back, along with Mie Nakata and Mayu Hattori, while Akiko Fukushima, Yuko Mitsuka, Shinobu Moromizato, and Yukari Baba are 2 behind and Miki Saiki is only 3 off the pace.
But look at the larger pattern of results and tell me if they aren't the slightest bit unexpected:
1st/-3 Saitoh, Campbell, Lu, Shimomura, Murata (69)
T6/-2 Ueda, Yokomine, Nakata, Hattori (70)
T10/-1 Fukushima, Mitsuka, Moromizato, Baba, So-Hee Kim, Keiko Sasaki (71)
T16/E Saiki, Saiki Fujita (72)
T23/+1 Kaori Higo, Tamie Durdin (73)
T34/+2 Oyama, Iijima, Hiroko Yamaguchi, Esther Lee, Yuki Ichinose (74)
T53/+3 Chie Arimura (75)
T60/+4 Koga, Uehara, Erina Hara, Maiko Wakabayashi, Riko Higashio (76)
T74/+5 Rui Yokomine (77)
T85/+6 Ritsuko Ryu (78)
Yup, that's former LPGAer Higashio and current LETer Yokomine (Sakura's onechan) keeping the former hottest golfer on the JLPGA company at the bottom of the leaderboard.
When only 5 players broke 70, scoring conditions must have been challenging, to say the least. Whether or not they improve, the relatively high leading scores and the compression among the top 52 players make this thing even more wide open than usual. Anarchy, anyone?
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Thursday, September 25, 2008
Navistar Classic Thursday: Back with a Bang
With 10 players going super low--including 65s by Jeong Jang, Jane Park, and Jill McGill, 66s by Cristie Kerr and Janice Moodie, and Lorena Ochoa among those lurking only 2 shots off the lead--another 11 breaking 70, and 52 in all going under par today, there's no time for rust at the Navistar LPGA Classic.
In fact, if scoring conditions remain about the same, you'll need to get or stay near even par by the end of the day tomorrow just to make the cut. So players like Karrie Webb, Hee-Won Han, and Stacy Lewis at E can't rest easy, those with Stacy Prammanasudh, Shi Hyun Ahn, and Meena Lee at +1 have to be on the ball, and those like Jee Young Lee, Laura Diaz, and Minea Blomqvist at +2 have their work cut out for them. Everyone worse--including Se Ri Pak (75), Seon Hwa Lee (76), Sun Young Yoo (77), and Morgan Pressel (78)--will need a fantastic comeback.
I begin with these cautionary tales to suggest that it's going to be very difficult for the lead pack to maintain this pace. For further evidence, you need look no further than the best rounds in the field today. Jane Park made 8 birdies in her 1st 14 holes but was +1 over her final 4. Lorena Ochoa opened with a 30, thanks to a birdie-eagle-birdie run to cap off her front 9, but could only manage a 37 on the back, also going +1 over that same closing stretch. Sure, there were some people who made a move there--among the top 20, Mi Hyun Kim lead the way with 3 birdies and no bogeys, Jeong Jang, Cristie Kerr, Janice Moodie, and Katie Futcher were -2, and Jill McGill, Ji Young Oh, Sandra Gal, Mikaela Parmlid, and Taylor Leon were -1--but for the most part, those who played well did their damage over the 1st 14 holes and hung on the rest of the way at best. If scoring conditions get any more difficult, then you can expect fewer than 10 players tomorrow to go under par on the 15th through 18th--and that fewer than half these players will be among that group.
That's the thing about Robert Trent Jones courses: if you're playing great, you can go really low, but if any problems creep into any aspect of your game, your score will reflect it. Morgan Pressel's triple bogey on the 395-yard par-4 4th, Seon Hwa Lee's triple bogey on the 517-yard par-5 5th hole, the nice pairs of double bogeys by Maria Hjorth, Brittany Lang, Meaghan Francella, and Anna Rawson, and Sophie Gustafson's 41 on the back following up a 34 on the front are all evidence of this quality of The Senator.
So right now there's no need for anyone to hit the panic button when they look at the top of the leaderboard. Breaking 70 twice if you stay around par in the other round should be good enough to put you in contention on Sunday.
[Update 1 (9/26/08, 12:13 am): Here's the LPGA.com notes and interviews page. The AP story was pretty much cobbled together from it.]
[Update 2 (1:40 pm): A death in the Hound Dog family will be limiting his blogging this week, so I'll do what I can to pick up the slack now that our own family crisis seems to be getting more manageable.]
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Navistar Classic Pairings
Sorry for the delay in my traditional pre-tournament pairings post--still dealing with that family health/work crunch confluence I mentioned last week....
But get a load of the prime-time groups going off the front in the early afternoon:
Start Time: 11:45 AM
Katherine Hull
Morgan Pressel
Karen Stupples
Start Time: 11:56 AM
Seon Hwa Lee
Yani Tseng
Lorena Ochoa
Start Time: 12:07 PM
Nicole Castrale
Cristie Kerr
Stacy Prammanasudh
Start Time: 12:18 PM
Kristy McPherson
Sophie Gustafson
Maria Hjorth
Start Time: 12:29 PM
Jimin Kang
Minea Blomqvist
Teresa Lu
Yes, that's the 2006 rookie of the year and the 2008 ROY race leader playing 2 rounds with the world #1! What could be better?
Well, no other threesome this week. But their opposite numbers going off the back in the early afternoon come the closest:
Start Time: 8:07 AM
Song-Hee Kim
Meena Lee
Angela Stanford
Start Time: 8:18 AM
Kim Hall
Katie Futcher
Laura Diaz
Start Time: 8:29 AM
Jee Young Lee
Michele Redman
Young Kim
Start Time: 8:40 AM
Christina Kim
Shanshan Feng
Se Ri Pak
Start Time: 8:51 AM
Ji Young Oh
Karrie Webb
Kyeong Bae
If Jee Young Lee had replaced Kyeong Bae, those last 2 threesomes would have been even more impressive than they already are. For Feng to be paired with a Hall of Famer and one of the best Americans in the field shows what respect the 2nd-tier rookies are getting this time of year.
Speaking of Feng's peers, check out the early afternoon pairings going off the 10th tee:
Start Time: 11:45 AM
Brittany Lang
Shi Hyun Ahn
Joo Mi Kim
Start Time: 11:56 AM
Hee-Won Han
Louise Friberg
Hee Young Park
Start Time: 12:07 PM
Candie Kung
Lorie Kane
Sung Ah Yim
Start Time: 12:18 PM
Julieta Granada
Mi Hyun Kim
Angela Park
Start Time: 12:29 PM
Becky Morgan
H.J. Choi
Giulia Sergas
Han is one of those players I'm already 2nd-guessing myself for not picking this week; for Friberg and Park to play with her is a great opportunity.
Speaking of great opportunities, check out the early morning pairings going off the 1st tee:
Start Time: 8:07 AM
Brandie Burton
Christa Johnson
Meaghan Francella
Start Time: 8:18 AM
Sun Young Yoo
In-Kyung Kim
Silvia Cavalleri
Start Time: 8:29 AM
Diana D'Alessio
Lindsey Wright
Janice Moodie
Start Time: 8:40 AM
Jane Park
Allison Fouch
Eun-Hee Ji
Start Time: 8:51 AM
Jeong Jang
Rachel Hetherington
Wendy Ward
Yup, that's Junior Mint Fouch paired with Super Sophs Ji and Park.
Outside the prime-time pairings are Stacy Lewis (getting Michelle Wie's traditional 1st off the 10th time), Moira Dunn (7:12 am off #10), Ashleigh Simon and Sandra Gal (7:56 am off the ast and 10th tees, respectively), Danielle Downey (1:13 pm off #10), Anna Rawson (1:35 pm off #1), and Na On Min (1:46 pm off #10).
Should be some very good golf today as players race to qualify for the ADT Championship, the Asian swing, and to avoid having to go back to Q-School.... Here's the live scoring link. Enjoy!
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Wednesday, September 24, 2008
Venice Q-School Field Announced
Here's the field list and LPGA.com preview. No time for a proper response, but it does strike me that most of the recognizable names come from players who tried and failed at Mission Hills....
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Tuesday, September 23, 2008
Navistar Classic Preview/Predictions
The LPGA's Southern Swing--and its late summer vacation--comes to an end this week at the Navistar Classic, which Hound Dog usefully previews. Even though there are 9 events in a row starting this week, only 3 of them are full-field tournaments, so he's also started a Card Watch, 2008 Edition series that will be worth following.
The Senator course is the first one that the LPGA has played in quite some time that I believe favors the longer hitters on tour. There are a good number of long par 3s and par 4s, along with longer-than-usual-for-the-LPGA par 5s. It's more of a links course than Sunningdale, the site of this year's Women's British Open, so I'm stacking my picks for this week's Pakpicker with players who can drive the ball well and who have been playing well of late (or whom I believe are simply due).
1. Ochoa
2. Tseng
3. Feng
4. Park Angela
5. Park Hee Young
6. Stanford
7. Lee Jee Young
8. Lee Seon Hwa
9. Blomqvist
10. Hull
11. Prammanasudh
12. Lewis
Alts: Webb, Kerr, Stupples
Having come this close to getting shut out in the last Alabama event, I'm crossing my fingers this week. I've dropped to 6th place in the season standings, so it's time to get back in gear.
Same goes for the world #1 (who must feel the top players on tour and in the world breathing down her neck), the leader in the Rookie of the Year race (who's looking to extend her lead on Na Yeon Choi), China's only LPGA player (who's looking to earn her way into the Asian Swing), NYers Moira Dunn and Danielle Downey (who are on the top 80 bubble), and Stacy Lewis (who wishes she was)....
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Monday, September 22, 2008
On the Relative Strength of Professional Tours in Women's Golf
With Yuri Fudoh and Ha-Neul Kim's 3rd victories on the JLPGA and KLPGA, respectively, and Gwladys Nocera's 4th on the LET, overshadowed, to say the least, by a sudden and unexpected onset of Ryder Cup Madness in the golf world, I want to revisit an issue Hound Dog raised earlier this summer: who can boast the second-strongest tour in women's golf? When HD ranked the KLPGA and JLPGA earlier this year, he was struck by the significantly lower world rankings of the top players in the former tour than the latter. While part of this was simply due to the preeminence of rookies and young guns on the KLPGA at the time, it's worth revisiting this question from a variety of angles (not least because I'll be updating my own Best of the JLPGA ranking next week, in the run-up to their 3rd major of the season).
First, consider who has the most worldwide wins this calendar year and their positions in the Rolex Rankings and Golfweek/Sagarin Performance Index:
Lorena Ochoa 6 [1, 1]
Ji-Yai Shin 6 [7, 4]
Gwladys Nocera 4 [96, 60]
Annika Sorenstam 3 [2, 5]
Paula Creamer 3 [5, 2]
Yuri Fudoh 3 [17, 47]
Ha-Neul Kim 3 [92, n.r.]
Hee Kyung Seo 3 [122, n.r.]
Lotta Wahlin 3 [167, 138]
Suzann Pettersen 2 [3, 3]
Seon Hwa Lee 2 [10, 13]
Mi-Jeong Jeon 2 [32, 49]
Akiko Fukushima 2 [39, 40]
Miho Koga 2 [42, 45]
Hyun-Ju Shin 2 [46, 48]
Amy Yang 2 [93, 64]
Martina Eberl 2 [131, 74]
Ran Hong 2 [148, n.r.]
Rebecca Hudson 2 [162, 155]
Before we jump in, let's acknowledge that the GSPI is skewed by the fact that their system doesn't take into account KLPGA events. In fact, the GSPI doesn't even take wins or final finishes into account, as far as I can tell, instead ranking players by their respective finishes in each round they play. The RR is skewed in its own way by taking into account the last 2 years' worth of results around the world, twice as many weeks as the 52 the GSPI looks at.
Clearly, good play and multiple wins matter most on the LPGA--even Pettersen, whose 2 wins have come in Europe this season, is ranked so high because of her incandescent play on the LPGA in 2007. Even Amy Yang, who's barely played in LPGA events as a non-exempt rookie this season--and played much worse there than she has on the LET--is virtually the top-ranked LET regular, even though Nocera has twice as many wins as she does. The next-best tour seems to be the JLPGA, where the players with more than 1 win this season seem guaranteed top 50 rankings. It's worth noting that Shiho Oyama and Miki Saiki are also top 50 players in at least 1 system, even though they are only #14 and #21 on the current JLPGA money list, yet both got top 5 finishes in sectional qualifying at Mission Hills last week, so they seem close to being in Ai Miyazato's and Momoko Ueda's league.
But hold on a second. Look again at who's won on the KLPGA multiple times. Sun-Ju Ahn, the Mission Hills medalist, isn't even on this list, even though for a long time in 2007 she was Ji-Yai Shin's top rival. When international players come to the KLPGA--including LPGA Rookie of the Year #2 Na Yeon Choi, U.S. Women's Open winner Inbee Park, last year's #2 KLPGA star Eun-Hee Ji, and multiple Hall of Famer Se Ri Pak--they haven't dominated like their LPGA status might have led you to expect. Shin, the Women's British Open winner and winner on the JLPGA, just got outduelled by Kim, last season's KLPGA Rookie of the Year, for her 3rd straight runner-up finish after she had been stopped on the JLPGA by Hyun-Ju Shin and Saiki Fujita the previous 2 weeks. So the KLPGA actually seems quite similar to the JLPGA, where Momoko Ueda has only won once in multiple tries and Ai Miyazato struggled for a top 10 in the year's second major (she'll try again in 2 weeks).
That leaves the LET getting the short end of the stick. I know it rubs their top regulars the wrong way, but when an amateur (Anna Nordqvist) outdoes a multiple winner (Eberl) at Mission Hills and one of their top players (Becky Brewerton) fails to advance, it makes sense that even someone who went as low as Nocera (-29 last weekend, breaking an LET record!) can't crack the top 50 in either ranking system. Just look at how many "outsiders" have won on the LET this season--Shin, Pettersen, Karrie Webb, Helen Alfreddson, Laura Davies, and Minea Blomqvist--and you can see why multiple wins over weaker fields just don't cut it.
I don't have time to back this up, but my guess is the JLPGA's top 20 and the KLPGA's top 10 could thrive on the LPGA. But when last year's LET Rookie of the Year Louise Stahle has "journeywoman" status at best on the LPGA, when 5 of their top 30 have played in 7 or fewer events (as opposed to 2 who have done so on the JLPGA list), and when even multiple LPGA winners from Europe in recent years like Sorenstam and Pettersen have been struggling to add to their totals, I have to wonder how many LET players could thrive on the LPGA.
What do you all think? Is Vicky Hurst better than Nocera? Is Mindy Kim as good as Wahlin? They have the same number of wins, after all. How much deeper than the Futures Tour's is the talent pool of regulars on the LET?
[Update 1 (10/3/08, 2:19 am): The conversation continues over at Waggle Room.]
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Sunday, September 21, 2008
Munsingwear Ladies Tokai Classic Sunday: Ueda/Fudoh/Arasaki Showdown
The final 2 threesomes in the Munsingwear Ladies Tokai Classic have opened the door and Momoko Ueda and Yuri Fudoh have charged right on through. Fudoh's made 5 birdies and no bogeys through 17 holes to get to -8 for the tournament, while Ueda has also played bogey-free golf and caught the leader with a birdie on the 13th. 2nd-round leader Yayoi Arasaki had gotten to -10 with birdies on the 2nd and 3rd holes, but a pair of bogeys and a costly double bogey on the par-4 10th dropped her out of the lead. She's stabilized the ship with a birdie on the par-5 12th to pull a shot ahead of a pair of golfers in the penultimate group, Shinobu Moromizato and Aki Takamura, as well as Bo-Bae Song, who's picked up where she left off yesterday with 4 birdies and only 1 bogey in 16 holes. But all Song's heroics of the past 2 days will be for naught if she can't join Fudoh as leader in the clubhouse.
At least she has a chance: Ji-Hee Lee (+1) and Namika Omata (+4), playing with Arasaki in the final pairing, have fallen off the pace; Lee, at least, still has a ghost of a chance, as anything can happen over 5 holes, but 4 shots is a lot to make up in that time. Amateur Asako Fujimoto is in the same boat, having bogeyed the par-4 13th minutes before Lee to also fall back to -4, tied with playing partner Yuko Saitoh.
Well, well, well, the scoreboard just updated! Fudoh didn't birdie the 18th and Song didn't catch her at -8, even though she did what the leader in the clubhouse couldn't. Ueda was the next golfer to have a chance to match or surpass Fudoh, and things were looking great for her after a birdie on the par-4 17th lifted her into the lead at -9. But a final-hole bogey dropped her back into a tie with the JLPGA's living legend. Joining them in a playoff will be Arasaki, who showed plenty of guts in fighting back to even-par on her final round after her birdie on the par-5 15th and parring in from there. If Ueda could have managed a birdie on either back-9 par 5, the tournament would have been hers, but Arasaki and Fudoh's birdies on both holes kept them in the game.
While I search for playoff results, here are the top 10 and notables:
T1/-8 Fudoh (71-70-67), Ueda (70-70-68), Arasaki (69-67-72)
4th/-7 Song (76-65-68)
T5/-5 Hiroko Yamaguchi (69-72-70), Saitoh (72-69-70), Aki Takamura (71-69-71), Fujimoto (71-69-71), Shinobu Moromizato (68-71-72)
T10/-4 Miho Koga (70-71-1), Ji-Hee Lee (69-70-73)
T12/-3 Akane Iijima (73-70-70)
T15/-2 Ayako Uehara (72-72-70)
T17/-1 Mi-Jeong Jeon (72-74-69), Tamie Durdin (74-70-71), Mie Nakata (72-72-71), Hiromi Mogi (76-67-72), Sakura Yokomine (68-74-73), Ji-Woo Lee (72-70-73), Yuki Sakurai (72-70-73), Yuko Mitsuka (71-70-74)
T28/E Erina Hara (71-73-72)
T30/+1 Midori Yoneyama (72-72-73)
T38/+3 Mayu Hattori (72-69-78)
T49/+6 Kaori Higo (74-72-76)
[Update 1 (4:54 am): I should have noted that Aki Takamura got it to -7 with 3 holes to play, but fell out of the picture with bogeys on the 16th and 18th. And I should have checked the official leaderboard, which reveals that Yuri Fudoh won the playoff for her JLPGA-leading 3rd win of the season!]
[Update 2 (5:07 am): So edit the above leaderboard to put Ueda and Arasaki at T2 and check out the new money list while I search for what just happened!
1. Akiko Fukushima ¥82.05M
2. Mi-Jeong Jeon ¥72.67M
3. Miho Koga ¥72.54M
4. Ji-Hee Lee ¥70.74M
5. Sakura Yokomine ¥65.51M
6. Hyun-Ju Shin ¥64.20M
7. Erina Hara ¥56.69M
8. Ayako Uehara ¥51.88M
9. Yuri Fudoh ¥51.83M
10. Yuko Mitsuka ¥50.44M
11. Eun-A Lim ¥46.18M
12. Bo-Bae Song ¥46.17M
13. Shinobu Moromizato ¥44.75M
14. Shiho Oyama ¥41.85M
15. Akane Iijima ¥40.52M
16. Hiromi Mogi ¥40.14M
17. Chie Arimura ¥40.00M
18. Yukari Baba ¥39.28M
19. Hiroko Yamaguchi ¥38.18M
20. Ji-Woo Lee ¥34.44M
21. Miki Saiki ¥34.14M
22. Momoko Ueda ¥30.20M
23. Esther Lee ¥29.77M
24. Midori Yoneyama ¥29.65M
25. Rui Kitada ¥29.33M
26. Saiki Fujita ¥26.14M
27. Ji-Yai Shin ¥24.18M
28. Maiko Wakabayashi ¥23.16M
29. Mayu Hattori ¥22.28M
30. Yuko Saitoh ¥21.48M
Fudoh jumps from 18th to 9th, Iijima leapfrogs up a few spots, and Ueda is now breathing down Saiki's neck.]
[Update 3 (6:46 am): Kyodo News finally came through with the story. Some good details, including the fact that a thunderstorm delayed play and amateur Fujimoto is a high school student. But here's the key part:
Fudo came back from five shots behind with a final-round 67 and then holed a curling 25-footer in the playoff....
Fudo, the all-time earnings leader on the Japan LPGA tour, completed a flawless day after Ueda and Arasaki failed to convert birdie attempts of their own from shorter distances and said luck was on her side at the very end of a long day.
"I thought playoff chances were becoming slimmer and was preparing to go home when Ueda-san was moving up on the board," said Fudo, who had to endure a two-hour wait at the clubhouse and on the practice green before walking up to the tee for the playoff. "But I just tried to go out there and show everything I have once I got in the playoff."
Congratulations to Yuri Fudoh!]
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Saturday, September 20, 2008
Munsingwear Ladies Tokai Classic Saturday: Will the Big Names Please Step Up?
Parity has been the watchword on the JLPGA this year. Yuri Fudoh has 2 wins, but little else to show this season (outside of a fantastic Women's British Open). Sakura Yokomine and Shiho Oyama have yet to win. Clearly, fields are getting stronger and the gap between the tour's best and the rest is shrinking fast. Nothing exemplifies this more than the leaderboard as the 2nd round of the Munsingwear Ladies Tokai Classic comes to a close. 1st-round co-leader Yokomine picked up where her final-hole bogey yesterday left off; she's 1-over on each side and with 1 hole to play has carded only 1 birdie all day today. At +2, she's now 6 shots behind leader Yayoi Arasaki, who birdied 5 of her last 10 holes for a sizzling 67 (behind only Bo-Bae Song's 65, which started off with a 30 on the back, and Kaori Aoyama's 66). Who is Arasaki? Well, she's a 6th-year pro having one of her best seasons on the JLPGA, but she currently sits at #68 on the money list, as a result of missing 13 cuts and only garnering 2 top 20s. But she has 18 holes to put all that behind her. Who can say for sure that the big names chasing her will be able to step up tomorrow?
[Update 1 (2:42 am): Take a look at the top 10 and notables for further evidence of a sea change in process on the JLPGA:
1st/-8 Arasaki (69-67)
2nd/-6 Namika Omata (69-69)
T3/-5 Ji-Hee Lee (69-70), Shinobu Moromizato (68-71)
T5/-4 Aki Takamura (71-69), Asako Fujimoto (71-69), Momoko Ueda (70-70)
T8/-3 Song (76-65), Eun-Hye Lee (73-68), Mayu Hattori (72-69), Yuko Saitoh (72-69), Ah-Reum Hwang (72-69), Yuko Mitsuka (71-70), Fudoh (71-70), Miho Koga (70-71), Hiroko Yamaguchi (69-72)
T17/-2 Ji-Woo Lee (72-70), Yuki Sakurai (72-70), Yokomine (68-74)
T20/-1 Hiromi Mogi (76-67), Akane Iijima (73-70)
T28/E Tamie Durdin (74-70), Ayako Uehara (72-72), Mie Nakata (72-72), Midori Yoneyama (72-72), Erina Hara (71-73)
T45/+2 Kaori Higo (74-72), Mi-Jeong Jeon (72-74)
Also striking is how many top 30 players missed the cut this week:
T62/+4 Yuki Ichinose (78-70), Rui Kitada (76-72), Yukari Baba (75-73)
T74/+5 Maiko Wakabayashi (76-73), Esther Lee (75-74)
T82/+6 Yun-Jye Wei (80-70)
T91/+9 Chie Arimura (76-77)
T101/+12 Ritsuko Ryu (78-78)
Tomorrow represents a golden opportunity for Ji-Hee Lee and Momoko Ueda to make a charge. We'll see if they--or anyone else in the top 30--can do it!]
[Update 2 (2:51 am): Lee would be in a lot better position if she hadn't suffered a double bogey on the par-4 14th in the midst of a birdie barrage. Koga also came back to the field after getting to -5 at one point on the back. With Jeon struggling and Akiko Fukushima, Hyun-Ju Shin, and Eun-A Lim not in the field, not to mention Yokomine, Hara, and Uehara dawdling, Mitsuka has a great chance to make up some ground on most of the rest of the top 10, and Moromizato and Song have as good a one to break back into it.]
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Friday, September 19, 2008
Munsingwear Ladies Tokai Classic Friday: Game On!
Sakura Yokomine bogeyed her final hole and Shinobu Moromizato birdied her last 3 to end up in a tie for the lead after the 1st round of the Munsingwear Ladies Tokai Classic. But at -4, their lead is tenuous at best, when you take into account who's chasing them: Ji-Hee Lee and Hiroko Yamaguchi shot bogey-free 69s, Miho Koga and Momoko Ueda made 4 birdies each on their way to 70s, Erina Hara, Yuko Mitsuka, and Yuri Fudoh shot 71s, and Mi-Jeong Jeon and Ayako Uehara opened up with even-par 72s. And that's just the best of the players within easy reach of the lead heading into the weekend:
T1/-4 Yokomine, Moromizato (68)
T3/-3 Lee, Yamaguchi, Namika Omata, Yayoi Arasaki (69)
T7/-2 Koga, Ueda (70)
T9/-1 Hara, Mitsuka, Fudoh, Nobuko Kizawa, Yoko Inoue, Aki Takamura, Asako Fujimoto (71)
Yokomine's 33 was the lowest 9-hole score in the field, by the way.
T16/E Jeon, Uehara, Mie Nakata, Mayu Hattori, Midori Yoneyama, Ji-Woo Lee, Yuki Sakurai (72)
T30/+1 Akane Iijima (73)
T43/+2 Kaori Higo, Tamie Durdin (74)
T57/+3 Yukari Baba, Esther Lee (75)
Scoring was high for the rest of the JLPGA's top players:
T70/+4 Bo-Bae Song, Chie Arimura, Hiromi Mogi, Rui Kitada, Maiko Wakabayashi (76)
T91/+6 Ritsuko Ryu, Yuki Ichinose (78)
T99/+8 Yun-Jye Wei (80)
With Akiko Fukushima, Ai Miyazato, Hyun-Ju Shin, Eun-A Lim, and Na Zhang taking the week off and Miki Saiki and Shiho Oyama rocking Mission Hills and making it to the finals of LPGA Q-School, this week represents a great opportunity for those near the top of the leaderboard. Who will take advantage?
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Mission Hills Friday: Let the Stomach-Churning Begin!
I'll tell you, not being able to follow hole-by-hole live scoring at the Mission Hills sectional qualifier for LPGA Q-School makes this event even more anxiety-producing! If it's that bad for me, how must it feel right now to be Dewi Claire Schreefel, whose 2nd-straight 71 just brought her to +4--and 32nd place--with half the field still on the course? Or Maru Martinez, whose 73 puts her 1 stroke back? Or 47-year-old Caryn Wilson, who went 81-74 over the weekend to fall to +6 for the event?
For some players, of course, the anxiety is over--in a bad way. The LET's Becky Brewerton is out after a 78 dropped her all the way to +9. Aimee Cho's 77-81 weekend brought her hopes crashing down. Will it be on to Venice for these and the other non-qualifiers this week? We'll just have to wait and see.
In the meantime, congratulations to Alison Walshe, whose 69 brought her back to E for the event--and T17 with few behind her in striking range.
More soon!
[Update 1 (4:31 pm): While you're waiting for more scores to post, check out Hound Dog's analysis of the current LPGA players on the bubble--between #70 and #150 on the money list. Good stuff there, especially as #81-#100 will get about equal status with the top 20 Q-School qualifiers in December, and #101-#125 will get lower status. He also helpfully notes the players having a bad 2008 who nevertheless will get high status in 2009 because of their good 2007s (the last time this rule will be in effect.) It's good stuff.]
[Update 2 (7:42 pm): Wow, Martinez squeaked through on the dot! Not so fortunate were Wilson, Natalie Tucker (71, +6, T33), Chella Choi (75, +7, T43), Jenny Suh (74, +10, T58), Samantha Richdale (75, +10, T58), Pornanong Phatlum (75, +11, T63), Gina Umeck (78, +14, T69), Sara Brown (79, +15, T72), and Christina Lecuyer (76, +16, T76). But just making it into the field for the Final Qualifying School means little. Sure, 11 players went under par and 17 shot par or better, but the top 20 is what everyone--including all the LPGA players at #101 on the money list or higher who choose to enter by the end of October, #6 through #15 on the Futures Tour money list, and the Venice qualifiers--will be shooting for there. By that standard, only Sun-Ju Ahn (-16), Anna Nordqvist (-14), Miki Saiki (-12), and Shiho Oyama, Michelle Wie, and Stacy Lewis (-8) should take much satisfaction from this week. Walshe, Melissa Reid (71, -2, T10), Tania Elosegui (73, E, T12), Mika Miyazato (75, +2, T23), and Misun Cho (72, +2, T23) will really have to play a lot better to have a chance in December (although the 21st- through 40th-place finishers will have limited LPGA status in 2009). At least everyone in the top 30 at Mission Hills only have 5 more-pressure-packed rounds to get their cards--those who didn't make it this week and don't decide to give up before the Venice qualifier have 9 to go....]
[Update 3 (9/20/08, 1:27 am): Here's the LPGA's final-round recap.]
[Update 4 (1:48 am): And here's Golf Channel's highlights and Wie interview.]
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Thursday, September 18, 2008
Pink Vader
Check it out, and quake in fear. On the other hand, I figure this should put fear in the heart of any monsters lurking about.
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Mission Hills Thursday: Redemption Time?
Yeah, yeah, yeah, it's only the 3rd round of sectional qualifiers for the LPGA's Q-School in December. But after the 1st two rounds at Mission Hills, some compelling stories are emerging, particularly among those in the final pairings:
9:35 am
Stacy Lewis (The Woodlands, TX) 141
Briana Vega (Andover, MA) 140
Shiho Oyama (Japan) 140
9:45 am
Martina Eberl (Munich, Germany) 140
Caryn Wilson (Rancho Mirage, CA) 139
Miki Saiki (Hiroshima, Japan) 137
9:55 am
Anna Nordqvist [a] (Eskilstuna, Sweden) 137
Michelle Wie (Honolulu, HI) 135
Sun-Ju Ahn (Gyeonggi-do, South Korea) 132
Wie's and Lewis's recoveries from health problems have been plastered all over the headlines, but less-well-known are the struggles that Ahn has been having on the KLPGA and Saiki and Oyama on the JLPGA. Ahn, one of the KLPGA's Big 3 last season, only has 1 win there this season; she finds herself chasing young guns Hee Kyung Seo, Ha Neul Kim, He Yong Choi, and So Yeon Ryu, all of whom are just as close to catching Ji-Yai Shin as she is, if not closer. Saiki notched 6 top 5s in her 1st 11 JLPGA events this season after placing in the top 10 on their money list in her rookie season last year, but lately has been having trouble breaking 75 in Japan, missing 6 of her last 9 cuts and dropping to #20 on the money list, well behind such fellow young guns as Erina Hara, Yuko Mitsuka, Bo-Bae Song, and Chie Arimura. And Oyama was my pre-season pick to contend for #1 on the JLPGA with Momoko Ueda having left for the LPGA, but she's one of the few elite players on that tour still searching for a win this season and has dropped almost 20 spots in the Rolex Rankings since late March. The 2006 money-list leader has had plenty of good finishes, and she's got the 6th-best scoring average on tour this season, but if she wants to get her 5th top 10 finish on the money list in her last 6 seasons there, she'd better build some serious momentum here at Mission Hills so she can make a move from her current #13 position.
The top European professionals in the field are also on the comeback trail. Eberl left competitive golf for most of 2005 while suffering an eating disorder, but now sits #3 on the LET money list, having won twice already this season. Becky Brewerton (145, 8:35 am off the 1st tee), meanwhile, is looking for her 1st career top 10 finish on the LET money list this year, having been a regular in the top 20 in her 1st 4 seasons on tour. Melissa Reid (146, 8:05 am off the 1st tee, with Japan's amateur sensation Mika Miyazato) failed to qualify for membership in the LET in their Q-School last season, but she's gotten into enough events this year to rank 9th on their money list and lead the Rookie of the Year race. Arizona State's Nordqvist, the low amateur at the Women's British Open this year, is only dealing with the pressure of being tagged as Europe's Next Big Thing in women's golf.
So let's see how these players play today and tomorrow. And let's see who among the less-heralded players who made the cut can stay or move into the top 30 by Friday.
[Update 1 (9/19/08, 10:49 am): Sorry, folks, a combination of work crunch and family crisis will limit posting today, so here's Hound Dog's squib on the 3rd round!]
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Wednesday, September 17, 2008
Mission Hills Wednesday Pairings and Scoreboard
The Wednesday pairings at the Mission Hills sectional qualifier for LPGA Q-School preserve the same groups as yesterday's, but in addition to the different courses and earliness/lateness of starting times, today's page also includes yesterday's scores. One interesting non-competition is over which pairing will have the lowest total score. Right now, the Eberl-Lewis-Bates threesome is outperforming the Wie-Brewerton-Oyama and Walshe-Umeck-Lecuyer ones.
For those who prefer the traditional scoreboard, the LPGA has you covered.
Is it so wrong to be more excited about this event than the Ryder Cup?
[Update 1 (8:48 pm): Hound Dog has the best-known notables covered. Looking further down the leaderboard, Alison Walshe (74, +1), Melissa Reid (72, +2), Mika Miyazato (73, +2), and Sara Brown (72, +2) had better get it in gear if they want to guarantee they'll stay inside the top 30, for Misun Cho (72, +3), Maru Martinez (75, +4), Chella Choi (72, +5), Jenny Suh (74, +5), Samantha Richdale (75, +5), Dewi Claire Schreefel (73, +6), and Pornanong Phatlum (72, +6) are unlikely to keep struggling.]
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Tuesday, September 16, 2008
Mission Hills Tuesday Pairings
The Mission Hills sectional qualifier for the LPGA's Q-School begins in just a few hours. Here are the premier pairings:
Dinah Shore Course
#10 pairing. 10th tee, 8:25 am: Michelle Wie (Honolulu, HI); Becky Brewerton (Kinmel Bay, UK), Shiho Oyama (Japan)
#22 pairing. 10th tee, 9:25 am: Susan Nam (Edmonton, Alberta, Canada); Jeehae Lee (Seoul, South Korea); Sun-Ju Ahn (Gyeonggi-do, South Korea)
#6 pairing. 10th tee, 8:05 am: Miki Saiki (Hiroshima, Japan); Caroline Park (Seoul, South Korea); Selanee Henderson (Temecula, CA)
#13 pairing. 1st tee, 8:45 am: Hoi Ning Eva Yoe (Hong Kong, China); Whitney Wade (Glasgow, KY); Melissa Reid (Derby, UK)
#28 pairing. 10th tee, 9:55 am: Anna Nordqvist [a] (Eskilstuna, Sweden); Kiran Matharu (Leeds, UK); Jeannine Fiorito (Las Vegas, NV)
#12 pairing. 10th tee, 8:35 am: Masayo Yonamine [a] (Japan); Eileen Vargas (Ibague, Colombia); Mika Miyazato [a] (Japan)
Arnold Palmer Course
#49 pairing. 1st tee, 9:25 am: Martina Eberl (Munich, Germany); Stacy Lewis (The Woodlands, TX); Dana Bates (Thousand Palms, CA)
#36 pairing. 10th tee, 8:15 am: Alison Walshe [a] (Westford, MA); Gina Umeck (Redlands, CA); Christina Lecuyer (Edmonton, Canada)
Don't know how I missed that Walshe and Nordqvist are in the field! Sorry about that.
[Update 1 (12:13 pm): Brent Kelley IDs a few more in the field.]
[Update 2 (12:15 pm): Courtesy of Brent, here's the link to the old-fashioned scoreboard (it only updates once a player's round is complete.]
[Update 3 (12:16 am): Hound Dog's ready for your comments.]
[Update 4 (7:27 pm): Well, 34 players shot par or better, and 82 players shot 75 or better. In that top 34 are most of the usual suspects (with Sun-Ju Ahn leading the way at -6), as well as surprises like amateurs Leanne Bowditch and Garrett Phillips (69s). But dealing with the cut line tomorrow will be Becky Brewerton (73), Mika Miyazato (73), Maru Martinez (73), Ashley Prange (73), Christina Lecuyer (73), Melissa Reid (74), Samantha Richdale (74), Sara Brown (74), Chella Choi (75), Jenny Suh (75), Misun Cho (75), Rebecca Kim (75), Esther Choe (76), Dewi Claire Schreefel (77), Kiran Matharu (77), and Pornanong Phatlum (78). Here's the LPGA's overview.]
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Monday, September 15, 2008
LPGA 2009 Schedule Update
Here's why you should always be checking out the local media for an LPGA event and skipping the AP stories. Tommy Hicks found out the southern swing will be moving to early October 2009, if all goes as planned. He also teamed up with Mike Herndon for some great tournament notes, including an Anna Rawson wardrobe malfunction and how happy Bell Micro is with the event.
[Update 1 (4:14 pm): Hound Dog lists all 16 events known to be on the schedule thus far.]
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Ai Miyazato Schedule Update
I know for sure Ai Miyazato is committed to the Japan Women's Open, which is being played opposite the LPGA's Samsung Championship. Which makes me wonder if she'll be hanging with Momoko Ueda between now and then, playing in the 2 tune-up events before the JWO. And how she'll set her schedule for the rest of October. Looking over the rest of the JLPGA schedule, it strikes me that there are a heck of a lot of yen on the table in October and November. Of course, there's a lot at stake in the ADT Championship, as well, and Ai-chan's about to be on the bubble for it after next week's event's results knock her out of the top 10 of the second-half money list. Conceivably, she could wait for the LPGA to come to Asia before leaving the JLPGA, but that sure puts a lot of pressure on her to qualify for the ADT in a limited amount of time.
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Momoko Ueda Schedule Update
Looks like Momoko Ueda is committing to the JLPGA for the rest of September and into October. She's listed in both this week's Munsingwear Ladies Tokai Classic and next week's Miyagi TV Cup Dunlop Ladies Classic, the tune-up events heading into the JLPGA's 3rd major of the season, the Japan Women's Open. Which raises the question of when she'll return to the LPGA. Will she fly all the way back to California for the final playing of the Longs Drugs Challenge (at least under that name), to Hawaii for the Kapalua LPGA Classic, or to Hainan Island for the Grand China Air LPGA event? It's highly unlikely she'll drop out of the top 51 on the LPGA money list by skipping the last leg of the LPGA's southern swing next week....
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Sunday, September 14, 2008
Bell Micro Sunday: Way to Go, Angela!
No time now for a post on the final round of the Bell Micro LPGA Classic, so I'll send you over to Hound Dog for a great play-by-play of just how close this ended up being. Congratulations to Angela Stanford for holding it together just well enough to hold off Shanshan Feng, Kim Hall, and Katherine Hull.
[Update 1 (9/15/08, 3:48 am): And, for that matter, congratulations to Feng, Hall, Hull, Hee Young Park, Danielle Downey, Mollie Fankhauser, and Irene Cho for their great finishes. Nice job by LPGA.com spreading the love. Feng is now in the thick of the race for the top 50 and she and Park are in great position to qualify for the ADT Championship. Hull is definitely one of the hottest players on tour, despite her disapppointing Sunday. Hall's 3rd-place finish gives the Stanford Junior Mint that one good finish she needed to secure her card yet again (for the second straight year). Downey is now is Moira Dunn territory on the top 80 bubble, which means I now have 2 NYers to agonize over this fall (Cho got off it with her top 20 this week). And Fankhauser joins Michelle Ellis in getting new life on the race for the top 100, at least (although the weekend was not kind to Ellis, who lost ground to Reilley Rankin).
Didn't see the kinds of moves I was hoping for from Seon Hwa Lee, Angela Park, Paula Creamer, Jeong Jang, or Stacy Lewis today. With Song-Hee Kim's and Sun Young Yoo's coming too little, too late, I came in last in this week's Pakpicker! Bad weekend and all, it was Cristie Kerr who saved me from getting shut out. Ouch. Better luck in 2 weeks, eh?]
[Update 2 (10:14 am): Hound Dog's epilogue puts the peak performances this week in perspective.]
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Konica Minolta Cup Sunday: Hyun-Ju Shin Holds On
With Typhoon Sinlaku affecting most of the east Asian coastline and islands, playing conditions must have been incredibly difficult in the final round of the Konica Minolta Cup, but--incredibly--they finished all 72 holes in the JLPGA's 2nd major of the year. And the winner is...Hyun-Ju Shin. It's her 2nd win of the season, 4th of her career, and her 1st major.
She made it interesting for everyone, however, with bogeys on 3rd and 4th holes to fall back to -8 and a tie with Ji-Yai Shin, who had begun the day with birdies on the 1st and 2nd. But then the Women's British Open champion started making bogeys of her own--on the 6th, 8th, and 9th--to fall 3 back. With Sakura Yokomine bogeying the 3rd and doubling the par-5 9th to drop all the way back to -2, the tournament was Shin's to lose. On the back, however, Ji-Yai Shin made par after par to remain at -5 and Yokomine made back-to-back birdies on the 14th and 15th to get back to -4. Meanwhile, Hyun-Ju Shin made bogeys of her own on the 10th...and 13th...and 15th to fall back to -5. The threesome stayed this way until the 18th, when Ji-Yai Shin blinked first, bogeying the tough par 4, while Hyun-Ju Shin matched Yokomine's par.
The Saturday Kyodo News story reports that Ji-Yai Shin finds this course tugheer than the U.S. Women's Open and that she plans to play on the LPGA regularly, but I haven't found a Sunday game story just yet. I'll post that when I do.
In the meantime, here are the top 10 and notables:
1st/-5 Hyun-Ju Shin (67-71-68-77)
T2/-4 Sakura Yokomine (73-71-67-73), Ji-Yai Shin (72-70-68-74)
T4/+1 Esther Lee (70-71-76-71), Momoko Ueda (68-78-69-74)
6th/+2 Maiko Wakabayashi (73-75-72-70)
T7/+3 Miho Koga (73-75-72-71), Mi-Jeong Jeon (74-75-70-72), Ai Miyazato (74-73-71-73), Midori Yoneyama (72-74-72-73), Ji-Woo Lee (73-72-71-75)
T12/+4 Kaori Higo (74-76-71-71), Mayu Hattori (75-73-70-74)
T15/+5 Ayako Uehara (77-70-73-73), Akane Iijima (75-72-72-74), Erina Hara (69-73-75-76)
19th/+7 Nikki Campbell (73-72-76-74)
T20/+8 Rui Kitada (73-73-78-72), Hiromi Mogi (71-75-77-73), Hiroko Yamaguchi (70-74-76-76), Yuko Mitsuka (72-73-71-80)
T25/+9 Tamie Durdin (73-73-75-76),
T30/+10 Yun-Jye Wei (74-77-76-71)
T34/+11 Yuri Fudoh (76-75-76-72), Bo-Bae Song (77-72-77-73), Akiko Fukushima (78-74-73-74), Chie Arimura (72-76-74-77)
T56/+16 Ritsuko Ryu (78-71-75-80)
A few notable details about other rounds than the final threesome's: Mitsuka eagled the 1st to get to -2 for the tournament, but took an 11 on the par-4 8th hole; Arimura also made an eagle on the way to her 77; Jeon made 4 birdies in a row on the back but sandwiched them between an earlier double and bogey and a final-hole bogey; Lee and Ueda made a late bogey and a late double, respectively, to fall back over par; Wakabayashi and Yuko Saitoh's 70s were the low rounds of the day.
With the money list leader mired in the middle of the pack, the race for the top spot is tightening:
1. Akiko Fukushima ¥82.05M
2. Mi-Jeong Jeon ¥71.94M
3. Miho Koga ¥70.96M
4. Ji-Hee Lee ¥69.16M
5. Sakura Yokomine ¥64.78M
6. Hyun-Ju Shin ¥64.20M
7. Erina Hara ¥56.10M
8. Ayako Uehara ¥50.80M
9. Yuko Mitsuka ¥49.72M
10. Eun-A Lim ¥46.18M
11. Shinobu Moromizato ¥42.04M
12. Bo-Bae Song ¥41.97M
13. Shiho Oyama ¥41.85M
14. Chie Arimura ¥40.00M
15. Hiromi Mogi ¥39.41M
16. Yukari Baba ¥39.28M
17. Akane Iijima ¥39.27M
18. Yuri Fudoh ¥39.23M
19. Hiroko Yamaguchi ¥35.47M
20. Miki Saiki ¥34.14M
21. Ji-Woo Lee ¥33.71M
22. Esther Lee ¥29.77M
23. Rui Kitada ¥29.33M
24. Midori Yoneyama ¥29.10M
25. Saiki Fujita ¥26.14M
26. Momoko Ueda ¥24.67M
27. Ji-Yai Shin ¥24.18M
28. Maiko Wakabayashi ¥23.16M
29. Mayu Hattori ¥21.85M
30. Mie Nakata ¥19.29M
Check out the bunching between #2 and #4 and between #11 and #18. Wonder how long Ai-chan (debuting at #94) and Momo-chan will decide to stay in Japan?
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Saturday, September 13, 2008
Way to Go, Hee Kyung!
Eric at Seoul Sisters.com reports that Hee Kyung Seo has won her 3rd straight KLPGA event, this one in Shanghai. The Player of the Year race is heating up there, as Ji-Yai Shin has 4 wins, Seo has 3, Ran Hong and Ha-Neul Kim have 2 each, and Sun-Ju Ahn, So Yeon Ryu, and He Yong Choi 1 each. I'd tell you how their money list stands, but even though they have an English-language site, they hardly ever update it.
[Update 1 (9/15/08, 10:18 am): Eric helpfully posted key KLPGA season stats on the above discussion thread.]
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Bell Micro Saturday: Young Guns Gone Wild
What a difference moving day can make. 2nd-round leader Cristie Kerr has gone from can't miss to can't do anything right, rebounding from -10 after 2 to -4 after 15 in the Bell Micro LPGA Classic and opening the door for a bevy of LPGA young guns to barrel through. Danielle Downey led the way with a bogey-free 64 that included a 30 on the back. Fellow Junior Mints Kim Hall, H.J. Choi, and Brittany Lang responded with 67s of their own, good enough to tie Downey at -5--except Lang, who's tied at -4 with classmate Seon Hwa Lee, whose bogey on 18 turned her 67 into a 68. The Super Sophs went on birdie barrages, as well, led by Kristy McPherson, who finished birdie-eagle-birdie-birdie-birdie for her 67 that also vaulted her to -5 for the tournament. In-Kyung Kim, meanwhile, "only" birdied 3 in a row on the back and had to settle for a 68 that brought her even with Lee. And even a final-hole bogey couldn't stop Angela Park from vaulting to the head of her class with a 69 that brought her to -6, even with rookie Shanshan Feng, whose 2nd eagle on the 16th this week helped her recover from a bad start to get back to -2 on the day with 1 hole left to play.
Unfortunately for the young guns clustered between -4 and -6, 2 more seasoned players have pulled away from the chase pack. Katherine Hull is making a bid to be the hottest player on tour, as she's made 7 birdies, an eagle, and 3 bogeys to get to -10 with 1 hole to go. But it's Angela Stanford who's playing bogey-free golf on the back and has made 4 birdies in her 1st 6 holes on it to take the lead at -11.
Stanford and Hull are looking to make irrelevant the great comebacks by Stacy Lewis (67 to get to -3) and Paula Creamer (67 to get to -2). Let's see how they close this thing out!
[Update 1 (5:47 pm): Ouch! A Hull double bogey on the 18th hole drops her down to a mere 68 today and back to -8 for the tournament. She's now 4 shots behind the leader, thanks to Stanford's 4th-straight birdie on the back on the par-5 16th.]
[Update 2 (5:51 pm): Kerr also birdied 16 to get back to -5 and knock everyone at -4 out of the top 10. If she can finish hot and Stanford unexpectedly falters, she could still chase the leader down tomorrow.]
[Update 3 (5:57 pm): Those Robert Trent Jones courses can really get you if you start going bad. Ya Ni Tseng was -6 through her 1st 24 holes and is now near the bottom of the pile after going +16 since then, with only 1 birdie in those 30 holes. Yikes!]
[Update 4 (5:59 pm): Speaking of rookies, Hee Young Park is sitting pretty at -5 after a roller-coaster 70 today. Only 5 of the top 16--and 8 of the top 20--have more than 3 years of experience on the LPGA!]
[Update 5 (6:04 pm): We'll see how Angela Stanford's experience helps her tomorrow. She hasn't won since 2003, but she has a 4-shot lead heading into the final round.]
[Update 6 (9/14/08, 6:18 am): Note to Golf Channel: I can understand if you want to stick to your "no Asian faces in your highlights" policy, but at least show Hull's double bogey that handed Stanford such a large lead.]
[Update 7 (9:43 am): Hound Dog's 3rd-round recap is a thing of beauty.]
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Konica Minolta Cup Saturday: Shin v. Shin Seoul Sisters Showdown
Playing together today in the 3rd round of the JLPGA's 2nd major, the Konica Minolta Cup, Hyun-Ju Shin and Ji-Yai Shin put on a clinic. The JLPGA's Shin and the KLPGA's Shin each made 6 birdies and shot 68s to jump out to -10 and -6, respectively. Only Sakura Yokomine, who shot the best round of the day, a 6-birdie 67, is really within striking distance of the lead, at -5 for the tournament. It should be a great final threesome to watch tomorrow!
Here are the top 10 and notables:
1st/-10 Hyun-Ju Shin (67-71-68)
2nd/-6 Ji-Yai Shin (72-70-68)
3rd/-5 Sakura Yokomine (73-71-67)
4th/-1 Momoko Ueda (68-78-69)
T5/E Yuko Mitsuka (72-73-71), Ji-Woo Lee (73-72-71)
7th/+1 Erina Hara (69-73-75)
T8/+2 Yuka Irie (76-73-69), Mayu Hattori (75-73-70), Ai Miyazato (74-73-71), Midori Yoneyama (72-74-72), Itsumi Okada (71-72-75), Esther Lee (70-71-76)
As you can see, most of the field is struggling to go under par just once this tournament. Only Hyun-Ju Shin and Ueda have broken 70 twice thus far this week, while the Shins are the only players to shoot par or better all 3 rounds. If they should fall to earth on Sunday, great rounds from Miyazato, Hara, Mitsuka, and Ueda can still launch them into contention. If any of them can post an early number, it would put even more pressure on the final threesome.
T14/+3 Mi-Jeong Jeon (74-75-70), Akane Iijima (75-72-72)
T21/+4 Miho Koga (73-75-72), Maiko Wakabayashi (73-75-72), Ayako Uehara (77-70-73), Hiroko Yamaguchi (70-74-76)
T25/+5 Kaori Higo (74-76-71), Tamie Durdin (73-73-75), Nikki Campbell (73-72-76)
T28/+6 Chie Arimura (72-76-74)
T32/+7 Hiromi Mogi (71-75-77)
T36/+8 Ritsuko Ryu (78-71-75), Rui Kitada (73-73-78)
T41/+9 Akiko Fukushima (78-74-73)
T46/+10 Bo-Bae Song (77-72-77)
T54/+11 Yuri Fudoh (76-75-76), Yun-Jye Wei (74-77-76)
Everyone else is just playing for position and pride. With Ji-Hee Lee sitting this one out and Fukushima struggling, it's a great opportunity for the top-ranked Jeon 4th-ranked Koga to make up some serious ground on the other JLPGA money leaders.
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Bell Micro Friday: Kerr Leads an American Charge
Cristie Kerr 66
Angela Stanford 67
Laura Diaz 68
Paula Creamer 69
Reilley Rankin 69
Heather Daly-Donofrio 69
Mollie Fankhauser 69
Allison Hanna-Williams 69
Not every sub-70 round yesterday at the Bell Micro LPGA Classic was by an American, but it sure seemed that way. To be sure, Aussies Katherine Hull and Sarah-Jane Kenyon continued their fine play of late with fine 69s. And Jin Joo Hong was the lone Korean player to join them. Not every American played well, of course, but these kinds of performances should soothe fears of an "Asian invasion" or "foreign takeover" of the LPGA just a little bit, at least for those who need such soothing.
These scores were even more impressive when you take the overall scoring trends into account and consider how many really excellent players struggled with the course and conditions. Creamer's Thursday 78 makes a lot more sense in light of Stacy Prammanasudh's Friday 80, Candie Kung's 79, Teresa Lu's 79, Meena Lee's 78, Jane Park's 78, Ya Ni Tseng's 76, and Stacy Lewis's 76 (only the last 3 made the cut). That's golf: even great players having good to great years "nod," as someone once said of Homer. (No, not Homer Simpson!)
So heading into the weekend Kerr has a 2-shot lead on Rawson, a 3-shot lead on Michelle Ellis, and a 4-shot lead on Rankin. Let's see how she handles the pressure of her own and others' expectations. And let's see how Shanshan Feng, Angela Park, and Song-Hee Kim, who all shot disappointing but not fatal 73s, bounce back on moving day. With only 32 players at par or better and only Kerr to go below 70 both rounds, the odds are against this being a walk in the park for the leader, but the size of the chase pack is at least likely to be fairly small come the back 9 Sunday. Back-to-back wins would be an amazing feat, especially separated by a 2-week break. But there's a lot of golf left to be played.
[Update 1 (2:32 am): Here's a great example of the national media submitting a blah game story and cmpletely missing the opportunity to introduce some drama into the leaderboard. You have Kerr going for her 2nd win in a row after a 2 week break, Stanford looking for redemption after dropping out of the top 10 earlier this season, and Ellis playing for her dad, who has terminal cancer, as well as for her card (she's #105 on the money list right now)--and that's just the top 3. Yet another top 5 for Hull is well within reach. Irene Cho is #74 on the money list, so this week means quite a lot to her future on tour. Fankhauser, Daly-Donofrio, and Hanna-Williams have that "out of the blue" quality to their rounds today, while Kenyon joins a resurgent Aussie contingent (who even knew Ellis is also Australian?). You basically have to go to the local media for any of these stories. Why is that?]
[Update 2 (9/13/08, 7:54 am): Stacy Lewis got hit with a 2-stroke penalty for slow play, according to the local media. Welcome to the LPGA! Ask Angela Park how to bounce back from those things.]
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Friday, September 12, 2008
Konica Minolta Cup Friday: Can Shin Extend Her Lead?
There have been a lot of eagles and doubles out there today in the JLPGA's 2nd major, the Konica Minolta Cup. Hyun-Ju Shin is playing solid golf, with 1 birdie in her 1st 8 holes on the back, to extend her 1st-round lead to 2 over Erina Hara and 3 over Esther Lee (who shot a roller-coaster 71). Momoko Ueda just doubled the 18th to fall back to -2 and a tie with Ji-Yai Shin, who birdied holes 2 through 4 but bogeyed the 18th to fall back to a 70 today--still one of the best rounds of the day, as nobody has yet scored in the 60s and most scores are well over par. The next couple of hours will tell, but it looks like the lead pack is achieving some separation from the field and the cut could be as high as +8. More later!
[Update 1 (2:52 am): Just noticed that Sakura Yokomine shot a bogey-free 32 on the front but followed it up with a birdieless 39 on the back. Still, at E for the tournament, she's now tied for 7th with Ueda, who's bogeyed the 3rd and 4th holes, and only 5 behind leader Hyun-Ju Shin, who bogeyed the 18th. Ayako Uehara also faltered down the stretch, going 32-38 to only get back to +3 for the tournament. The way other leaders are faltering, Ai Miyazato, who shot an indifferent 73 today, may find herself in the top 20 with Uehara at +3. The cut could be as high as +9....]
[Update 2 (4:32 am): As the number of players under par kept shrinking, Hyun-Ju Shin's solid play kept looking better and better. She closed with a bogey-free 35 on the front to answer my title question in the affirmative. Shin did get some help from her closest pursuers. Hiroko Yamaguchi was cruising on her last 9 on that same side until she came to the final 2 holes, when she proceeded to finish double bogey-bogey. Not too long after that, Erina Hara bogeyed 2 of her last 5 holes on the front to fall off the pace, as well. If they could only have had Yuko Mitsuka's birdie-birdie finish on those tough 8th and 9th holes....
Here are the top 10 and notables:
1st/-6 Hyun-Ju Shin (67-71)
2nd/-3 Esther Lee (70-71)
T3/-2 Ji-Yai Shin (72-70), Erina Hara (69-73)
5th/-1 Itsumi Okada (71-72)
T6/E Sakura Yokomine (73-71), Namika Omata (73-71), Hiroko Yamaguchi (70-74)
T9/+1 Junko Omote (74-71), Ji-Woo Lee (73-72), Nikki Campbell (73-72), Yuko Mitsuka (72-73), Ah-Reum Hwang (72-73)
Only 4 players have shot par or better both opening rounds--this course and the scoring conditions are tough!
T14/+2 Rui Kitada (73-73), Tamie Durdin (73-73), Midori Yoneyama (72-74), Hiromi Mogi (71-75), Momoko Ueda (68-78)
T21/+3 Ayako Uehara (77-70), Akane Iijima (75-72), Ai Miyazato (74-73)
T29/+4 Mayu Hattori (75-73), Miho Koga (73-75), Maiko Wakabayashi (73-75), Chie Arimura (72-76)
T34/+5 Ritsuko Ryu (78-71), Bo-Bae Song (77-72), Mi-Jeong Jeon (74-75)
T46/+6 Kaori Higo (74-76)
T49/+7 Yuri Fudoh (76-75), Yun-Jye Wei (74-77)
T55/+8 Akiko Fukushima (78-74), Mie Nakata (76-76)
T63/+9 Yuki Ichinose (77-76), Yukari Baba (75-78)
Huge final-hole birdie on the 9th by Ichinose to make the cut on the dot, along with an impressive comeback by Ryu to move up the leaderboard.
T69/+10 Eun-A Lim (77-77)
T80/+11 Ai-Yu Tu (76-79)
T93/+12 Shinobu Moromizato (80-76)
WD/-- Saiki Fujita (76-WD)
Here's the crazy thing: the way scores have been trending, career money-list leader Fudoh and 2008 money-list leader Fukushima could shoot 69s tomorrow and find themselves in the top 15. When a player of Ueda's caliber can do 10 shots worse from Thursday to Friday, nobody's out of this thing just yet (except those who missed the cut or WDed). Tomorrow's moving day should be quite a sight!]
[Update 2 (5:18 am): I thought it was top 65 and ties who made the cut, but it's only top 60. So scratch what I wrote above about how awesome Ichinose's birdie was. With the cut line at +8, that birdie is now officially "too little too late!"]
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Bell Micro Thursday: Better Late Than Never
No, no, I'm not talking about my timing for getting this post out. I'm talking about the play of rookies Shanshan Feng and Anna Rawson in the 1st round of the Bell Micro LPGA Classic. Rawson rode a bogey-free 32 on the back (her 1st 9) and Feng a birdie-eagle-birdie-birdie finish on the same side (also her opening 9) for a field-leading 31 to post rounds of -5. For that matter, my title also refers to the play of late bloomers this season in a tie for 3rd so far at -4: Angela Park (who barely averaged 205 yards off the tee but only needed 24 putts) and Nicole Castrale (who matched Feng's 31 on the back and got it to -6 before bogeying 2 of her last 5 holes). Both have been making charges during the second half of this season (the former 4 top 6s in her last 7 events and the latter 5 top 12s since the Sybase in May) as impressive as Jeong Jang's at the end of 2007.
Speaking of Jang, she made a charge of her own--4 birdies over her last 6 holes of the day on the front--to post a 69 and join Ya Ni Tseng, Cristie Kerr, Song-Hee Kim, and Junior Mints Katie Futcher and Danielle Downey (Auburn grad by way of Rochester, NY) in a tie for 7th. While all of them left shots out on the course--Kerr a double bogey on the par-5 16th hole, Downey a double on her 1st hole (the 10th) and a bogey on her last (the 9th), and Futcher a double on the par-3 17th, to name a few--they're all in far far better shape than quasi-defending champion Paula Creamer (78), 56-year-old Jan Stephenson (78), Junior Mint Jee Young Lee (77), NYer Moira Dunn (75), Hall of Famer Se Ri Pak (74), recent winners (on the LET and Futures Tour, respectively) Minea Blomqvist and Sarah-Jane Kenyon (73), and favorites Seon Hwa Lee, Suzann Pettersen, and Stacy Prammanasudh (73).
When you check out the LPGA's notes and interviews page and the unbylined AP story, you can get a sense of just how tough the afternoon scoring conditions were from player comments here and there, what with the wind coming up from the late morning on. Still, plenty of players handled the weather just fine and remain within striking distance of the lead, including Jane Park, Stacy Lewis, Sun Young Yoo, and Angela Stanford (-2), Christina Kim, Katherine Hull, and Hee Young Park, and Lorie Kane (-1), and Teresa Lu, Brittany Lang, Laura Diaz, and Karen Stupples (E). With 37 players going under par but only 12 breaking 70 and nearly 50 failing to break 75, it's very unlikely the winner will shoot 4 sub-70 rounds as Paula Creamer did last season here in the Tournament of Champions. So 1 round of 67 or better this week should be good enough to get you in the hunt if your other 3 are pretty decent.
But with an unpredictable major hurricane like Ike in the Gulf, who knows whether they'll get 3 more rounds in, much less complete them on Friday and Saturday? Best to play like each hole could be your last of the tournament. Perhaps with another gap in the LPGA schedule coming up next week, the tournament organizers will take my title to heart and finally agree to a Monday finish if the weather forces their hand....
[Update 1 (3:09 am): Not a bad job by Golf Central, except for their only-non-Asians policy when it comes to highlights and notables. Sure, it's news that Se Ri Pak shot a 74, but to leave Ya Ni Tseng and Jeong Jang, much less co-leader Shanshan Feng, off their highlights, is positively criminal in light of the media's criticism of the LPGA's language policy in previous weeks.]
[Update 2 (10:33 am): Here's Hound Dog's 1st-round recap.]
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Thursday, September 11, 2008
Konica Minolta Cup Thursday: Hyun-Ju Shin Takes the Lead
It's been 4 months since the JLPGA's 1st major of the year, where Akiko Fukushima outlasted the KLPGA's Ji-Yai Shin in a long playoff. Well, a different Shin has jumped out to the first-round lead in the Konica Minolta Cup--and she's been riding a 6-tournament top-10 streak coming into the JLPGA's 2nd major. It's JLPGA regular Hyun-Ju Shin, who knocked down 7 birdies on her way to a 67 that put her a shot ahead of Momoko Ueda, 2 ahead of Erina Hara, 5 ahead of Ji-Yai Shin, 6 ahead of Sakura Yokomine, and 7 ahead of Ai Miyazato.
Here are the top 10 and notables:
1st/-5 Hyun-Ju Shin (67)
2nd/-4 Ueda (68)
3rd/-3 Hara (69)
T4/-2 Esther Lee, Hiroko Yamaguchi (70)
T6/-1 Hiromi Mogi, Yukiyo Haga, Isumi Okada, Chiaki Yoshizaki (71)
T10/E Ji-Yai Shin, Yuko Mitsuka, Chie Arimura, Midori Yoneyama, and 3 others (72)
Apparently Ueda's lost fingernail isn't hindering her swing; she matched Shin and Hara's closing 33s to tie for the best back-9 score in the field. Arimura stayed at E despite making the only double-bogey among those in the top 10, by the way.
No need to panic for the following group, as this is a 72-hole event, but they can't be happy with their starts:
T17/+1 Yokomine, Miho Koga, Ji-Woo Lee, Maiko Wakabayashi, Tamie Durdin, Nikki Campbell (73)
T30/+2 Miyazato, Mi-Jeong Jeon, Kaori Higo, Yun-Jye Wei (74)
T42/+3 Yukari Baba, Akane Iijima, Mayu Hattori (75)
T49/+4 Yuri Fudoh, Saiki Fujita, Mie Nakata, Ai-Yu Tu (76)
Yokomine and Fudoh made 5 bogeys, Jeon and Koga made 4, and Miyazato 3 (only a birdie on the 18th saved her from doing even worse).
There are some huge names who will need a great round tomorrow just to continue playing into the weekend:
T69/+5 Ayako Uehara, Eun-A Lim, Bo-Bae Song, Yuki Ichinose (77)
T88/+6 Akiko Fukushima, Ritsuko Ryu (78)
T108/+8 Shinobu Moromizato (80)
Time to get it in gear, y'all!
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Wednesday, September 10, 2008
Big Names at Mission Hills Qualifier
The LPGA has released the final field for its Mission Hills qualifier. Here are some of the names that leap out at me:
Sun Ju Ahn (KLPGA)
Becky Brewerton (LET)
Esther Choe (Futures Tour can't-miss prospect gone MIA)
Martina Eberl (LET)
Stacy Lewis (U.S.)
Kiran Matharu (LET)
Mika Miyazato (Japan)
Shiho Oyama (JLPGA)
Melissa Reid (LET)
Miki Saiki (JLPGA)
Michelle Wie (U.S.)
along with a host of Futures Tour players I won't bother listing here.
Who am I missing?
[Update 1 (9/11/08, 9:49 am): Eric at Seoul Sisters.com answers.]
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Bell Micro LPGA Classic Preview/Predictions/Pairings
Finally...the LPGA is back! The Bell Micro LPGA Classic starts tomorrow, assuming storm season allows it. Hound Dog has the preview covered from every angle, so I'll just jump right in with my predictions:
1. Creamer
2. Lee Seon Hwa
3. Park Angela
4. Kerr
5. Park Jane
6. Kim Song-Hee
7. Lewis
8. Kung
9. Jang Jeong
10. Prammanasudh
11. Yoo Sun Young
12. Pak Se Ri
Alts: Kim In-Kyung, Tseng Ya Ni, Lu Teresa
Yup, that's Stacy Lewis. She still has a chance to avoid Q-School with good finishes in her remaining LPGA events. She's working hard to get those 5th and 6th sponsors' exemptions between this week and the Hawaii one she already has lined up. I wonder if she sent in her application to Sectional Qualifiers as a back-up, just in case the sponsors don't bite? In any case, she's getting the Michelle Wie treatment, a bright and early starting time as the 1st off the 10th tee. Too bad the tournament organizers didn't pair her with Leah Wigger, who came off a disappointing Futures Tour performance in Albany last week that guaranteed she'll be going back to Q-School unless she too can make over $100K in her last LPGA events this season, as well as a long flight from LaGuardia Airport, to come in second in the Monday qualifier. The UVA and FT standout is going off the 1st tee at 7:11 am.
But let's turn our attention to the headliners, shall we? The biggest names are clustered in the late-morning front-side quadrant:
Start Time: 11:40 AM
Angela Park
Suzann Pettersen
Paula Creamer
Start Time: 11:51 AM
Cristie Kerr
Brittany Lincicome
Seon Hwa Lee
Start Time: 12:02 PM
Kristy McPherson
Louise Friberg
Sandra Gal
Start Time: 12:13 PM
Stacy Prammanasudh
Brandie Burton
Katie Futcher
Start Time: 12:24 PM
Jimin Kang
Maria Hjorth
Diana D'Alessio
Creamer, Kerr, and Park are the players to beat--unless the 2-week break has cooled off their hot streaks. If uneven players this season like Lee, Pettersen, Hjorth, Prammanasudh, and Kang figured something out during their time off, watch out for them. Even young guns McPherson, Futcher, Friberg, and Gal could make some real noise this week. It'll all come down to how they handle the Robert Trent Jones course's elevated greens.
Going off opposite them in the late-morning back-side quadrant are the 2nd-best group of golfers in the field:
Start Time: 11:40 AM
Liselotte Neumann
Song-Hee Kim
Becky Morgan
Start Time: 11:51 AM
Julieta Granada
H.J. Choi
Sung Ah Yim
Start Time: 12:02 PM
Pat Hurst
Christa Johnson
Jee Young Lee
Start Time: 12:13 PM
Karine Icher
Giulia Sergas
In-Kyung Kim
Start Time: 12:24 PM
Jeong Jang
Rachel Hetherington
Minea Blomqvist
That said, despite Blomqvist's recent LET win, the immense talents of Jang, Lee, and In-Kyung Kim, and the ability of Hurst, Hetherington, and Neumann to recapture their glory days any given week, the only player in this quadrant whom I'm totally confident in is Song-Hee Kim (and even she has gone through stretches this season where 1 bad round does her in).
Close behind them are their peers going off the back earlier in the morning:
Start Time: 8:06 AM
Ya Ni Tseng
Katherine Hull
Christina Kim
Start Time: 8:17 AM
Laura Diaz
Se Ri Pak
Leta Lindley
Start Time: 8:28 AM
Karen Stupples
Nicole Castrale
Jill McGill
Start Time: 8:39 AM
Brittany Lang
Michele Redman
Shanshan Feng
Start Time: 8:50 AM
Wendy Ward
Meena Lee
Candie Kung
I'm curious to see if Hull can keep up her fantastic ballstriking, Kim can snap out of her late doldrums, how Tseng handles a RTJ design, and whether the veterans in those 2nd and final pairings up there can contend.
Last, and least, are the players going off the front early in the morning:
Start Time: 8:06 AM
Jane Park
Allison Fouch
Lorie Kane
Start Time: 8:17 AM
Soo-Yun Kang
Angela Stanford
Lindsey Wright
Start Time: 8:28 AM
Heather Young
Sun Young Yoo
Jin Joo Hong
Start Time: 8:39 AM
Janice Moodie
Catriona Matthew
Joo Mi Kim
Start Time: 8:50 AM
Teresa Lu
Meaghan Francella
Hee Young Park
Sure, Stanford, Matthew, Wright, Kane, and Moodie are dangerous any week (even if they've been wildly inconsistent this season), but this crop of young guns (Jane Park, Yoo, Lu, Hong, Fouch, Hee Young Park, and Francella) doesn't inspire in me as much confidence as those in other quadrants (except maybe for the 1st 3 on that list).
I'm glad to see Moira Dunn getting a break and actually starting a tournament in the afternoon for once (1:08 pm off #10); she's paired with Sarah Lee, who was one of the best players in the world for a time in the second half of 2007, and Violeta Retamoza, who's played about the worst of anyone on tour this season. I'm rooting for Sarah-Jane Kenyon (12:35 pm off #1) to pick up where she left off last week in Albany, when she not only won the tournament but also earned a high priority status LPGA card. And I'm hoping Na On Min (12:46 pm off #10) finally starts playing to her potential and beats Jan Stephenson by 18 shots over the 1st 2 rounds. That said, I'd love to see Linda Wessberg, Anna Rawson, and Liz Janangelo (7:11 am off #1) play like they're capable of this week on the LPGA--the former 2 seem to save their best weeks for the LET (and, in Rawson's case, the KLPGA), while the latter could tell Stacy Lewis a story or 2 about how hard it is for the latest can't-miss NCAA star to make it in the big leagues.
As usual at this point in the season, I'll be keeping one eye on the top of the leaderboard and another on various cut-off points on the money list (top 11 in the season's 2nd half to get into the ADT Championship, top 50 to qualify for the Asian swing, top 80 to keep high priority status on tour, and top 100 to be on equal footing with Q-School grads). Stay tuned!
[Update 1 (9/11/08, 3:33 pm): Tommy Hicks reports that Natalie Gulbis is out with a back injury and Morgan Pressel had wisdom teeth out during her summer break. And he does a good job with the tournament preview.]
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Tuesday, September 9, 2008
Wegmans Responds (Belatedly)
From an email I just got from a customer service rep at Wegmans:
We want to assure you that we were not involved with the LPGA’s decision about language barriers, nor were we informed of the decision. Frankly, we are glad the commission[er] decided to rescind the proposal.
Wonder what Wegmans communicated to the LPGA office behind the scenes!
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Game On!
Steve Elling reports that Michelle Wie has sent in her Q-School entry. I'm a little more excited than Hound Dog sounds: assuming Stacy Lewis has done the same thing, the Class of 2009 is likely to have an even better race for Rookie of the Year than the Class of 2008 has. We know 4-time Futures Tour winner Vicky Hurst, 3-time winner Mindy Kim, and M.J. Hur are fairly battle-tested, we already know Women's British Open champion Ji-Yai Shin is the best player on the KLPGA and perhaps already the JLPGA (having finished 1-2-2 in her 3 starts there this season), so Wie and Lewis will have to bring their A-game to the LPGA next season. And who knows who else will step up and join these players?
What? You think Wie and Lewis won't cruise through Q-School? Really?
[Update 1 (7:20 pm): Here's Daniel Wexler's response to the news.]
[Update 2 (8:52 pm): Here's Average Golfer's assessment.]
[Update 3 (9:11 pm): Speaking of Stacy Lewis, she's featured in this week's pre-tournament interviews (along with Susie Redman, who's coming out of retirement so her 80-year-old dad can watch her play one last time).]
[Update 4 (9/10/08, 10:44 am): Here's Wie's competition at Mission Hills.]
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Monday, September 8, 2008
Who Let the Dog Out?
Check out Hound Dog's new digs when you get a chance. Congrats to Hound Dog LPGA for breaking a gender barrier over at SBNation!
[Update 1 (7:50 pm): Wow, today is certainly a different kind of moving day than I'm used to covering! Now Ryan Ballengee is announcing that he'll do all his blogging at Waggle Room and close up shop at the GNN Blog.]
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Beautiful Life
Our first post-Labor Day Monday won't dawn all that happily for everyone on the PGA Tour not named Vijay Singh (who's guaranteed the $10M FedEx Cup prize just by finishing the Tour Championship when it's finally played after the Ryder Cup), everyone on the Futures Tour who finished outside the top 5 of its money list (Vicky Hurst, Mindy Kim, Sarah-Jane Kenyon, M.J. Hur, and Jin Young Pak snagged the available high priority status LPGA cards), and, well, everyone in the LPGA office.
So this barely-watched youtube clip of a toddler watching Inai Inai Ba! is for them:
Just keep that "Guru Guru Dokkan" song in your head today and everything will be fine!
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Labels: apropos of nothing, cuteness, golf, kawaii, music, pure nonsense, the funny, theme songs, tv, youtube
Sunday, September 7, 2008
Futures Tour Sunday: Hey, Stop Bogarting the Top 10!
The final round of the ILOVENY Championship is following a familiar storyline to Futures Tour fans. The top 4 on the money list are near the head of their class yet again, chasing leader Sarah-Jane Kenyon (who herself is already #8 on the list!), which means there's not that much money left to go around for those players hoping to break into the top 20 (and get a free pass to the LPGA's Final Qualifying School), top 10 (and get low-priority status as an LPGA member in 2009), and top 5 (and get that coveted high-priority status). In fact, only 2 players in the top 10 have offered any help to their competitors this week. Let's review:
#1 Vicky Hurst: +1 through 14, -3, T5
#2 Mindy Kim: -5 through 15, -7, 2nd
#3 M.J. Hur: -1 through 15, -2, T7
#4 Jin Young Pak: E through 14, -4, T3
#5 Song Yi Choi: 74, +8, T41
With Choi adding little to her $37,263 for the season, she's going to get passed by Kenyon, barring a late collapse:
#6 Jessica Shepley: 73, +6, T29
#7 Leah Wigger: 73, +5, T26
#8 Sarah-Jane Kenyon: -3 through 14, -10, 1st
#9 Kim Welch: MC
#10 Haeji Kang: +1 through 16, +1, T11
Can anyone knock Welch ($33,768) out of the top 10?
#11 Mo Martin: +1 through 12, +8, T41
#12 Sophia Sheridan: -2 through 14, -4, T3
#13 Lisa Ferrero: 80, +14, 71st
#14 Gerina Mendoza: 73, +7, T35
#15 Kristina Tucker: 73, +4, T20
#16 Stephanie Otteson: 79, +13, T66
#17 Samantha Richdale: MC
#18 Chella Choi: -2 through 16, -2, T7
#19 Sunny Oh: +1 through 14, -3, T5
#20 Sara Brown: 71, +6, T29
With Richdale stuck at $22,491, the door is slightly ajar for a couple of players still on the course:
#21 Caroline Larsson: +4 through 15, +10, T54
#22 Ashley Prange: 79, +13, T66
#23 Briana Vega: 70, +2, T13
#24 Maru Martinez: +4 through 16, +3, T17
#25 Danah Ford: 72, +7, T34
#26 Jenny Suh, +1 through 14, -2, T7
More when the final round is complete!
[Update 1 (6:16 pm): Here are the final results: 6 of the top 10 were already in the top 10 of the money list. Looks to me like Kenyon jumped to #3, Sheridan vaulted into the top 10, Choi fell back into it, and Kang couldn't make enough to knock Welch out.]
[Update 2 (9/8/08, 2:50 am): Here's the FT story on Kenyon's win and a brief interview with the top 5. But the Futures Tour press release surprised me: only #6 through #15 on their money list get a free pass to the LPGA's Final Qualifying School. That, frankly, is b.s. It makes a mockery of the notion that 10 players get LPGA cards this year. If you're going to give #6 to #10 such low priority status that they'll have to go to Q-School anyway, at least give #16 through #20 their ticket to Q-School's 90-hole finale!]
[Update 3 (9/9/08, 9:01 pm): Here are Brent Kelley and Hound Dog on the FT grads.]
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Golf 5 Ladies Sunday: Can Saiki Fujita Do It?
Yesterday I predicted a Ji-Yai Shin/Erina Hara shootout in the final round of the Golf 5 Ladies--and, as a fallback, suggested that Midori Yoneyama would be the player to watch if the 2nd-round leaders had as much trouble sustaining their momentum as the 1st-round leaders had. Well, Shin has followed up each of her 2 birdies in her 1st 12 holes with a bogey, the most recent coming on the par-3 12th, to remain at -10. And Yoneyama has charged past her to -11 for the tournament on the strength of 4 birdies between the 6th and 13th holes. Hara has been unable to find her 1st-round rhythm, but remains 2 shots back at -9.
But 2 players who went super-low yesterday are doing it again today. Amateur Kumiko Kaneda shot a 31 on the front to tie Shin at -10, but has reeled off 5 straight pars on the back to remain there. It's Saiki Fujita who's gone even further: a pair of birdies to start her round and another pair at the turn gave her the lead at -12. Her birdie on the par-3 12th triggered a 2-shot swing with Shin, enabling Fujita to extend her lead to 3 on the Women's British Open champion and 2 on Yoneyama as they entered the home stretch. Neither Fujita's career record--2 consecutive wins at the Promise Ladies in 2006 and 2007, which helped her to become a top 30 player in her sophomore and junior years on the JLPGA--nor her current-year results (2 WDs, 3 top 10s, 4 missed cuts, and 5 rounds in the 80s) suggest that she'll be able to hold on, but this is the year of parity on the JLPGA and that 2nd win has been difficult for most players to achieve.
In the race at the bottom of the leaderboard among those on the top of the money list, Akiko Fukushima continues to be stuck in neutral, E today and +1 for the tournament with only the 9th left to play. But Ji-Hee Lee is her only pursuer to have taken advantage today, firing a 69 that gets her to -5 and a likely top-20 finish. Miho Koga is +1 through 15 (-3 for the tournament) and Mi-Jeong Jeon could only manage a 72 to stay at -1 and give herself a chance for a top 30 finish.
More when the JLPGA lifts its web blackout!
[Update 1 (4:57 am): Fujita did it! A bogey-free 67 gave her a 2-shot victory over Ji-Yai Shin and Kumiko Kaneda. Here are the final results:
1st/-13 Fujita (70-66-67)
T2/-11 Kaneda (74-65-66), Shin (70-64-71)
T4/-9 Midori Yoneyama (69-68-70), Erina Hara (66-70-71)
T5/-8 Eun-Hye Lee (73-68-67), Hyun-Ju Shin (73-67-68), Mayu Hattori (69-70-69)
9th/-7 Hiromi Takesue (69-72-68)
T10/-6 Shinobu Moromizato (70-70-70), Bo-Bae Song (70-70-70), Rui Kitada (72-68-70), Hiromi Mogi (68-71-71), Eun-A Lim (71-64-75)
T15/-5 Ji-Hee Lee (74-68-69)
T18/-4 Shiho Oyama (70-72-70)
T20/-3 Akane Iijima (69-74-70)
T25/-2 Maiko Wakabayashi (71-73-70), Yun-Jye Wei (73-69-72)
T29/-1 Mi-Jeong Jeon (73-70-72), Yukari Baba (72-68-75)
T34/E Nikki Campbell (75-68-73), Miho Koga (71-69-76), Ji-Woo Lee (69-71-76)
T46/+3 Akiko Fukushima (73-72-74), Na Zhang (70-73-76)
Congratulations to Saiki Fujita on her 3rd career JLPGA victory!]
[Update 2 (5:10 am): And here's the new money list:
1. Akiko Fukushima ¥81.52M
2. Mi-Jeong Jeon ¥69.40M
3. Ji-Hee Lee ¥69.16M
4. Miho Koga ¥68.41M
5. Sakura Yokomine ¥56.88M
6. Erina Hara ¥54.82M
7. Ayako Uehara ¥49.52M
8. Yuko Mitsuka ¥48.88M
9. Hyun-Ju Shin ¥46.20M
10. Eun-A Lim ¥46.18M
11. Shinobu Moromizato ¥42.04M
12. Shiho Oyama ¥41.85M
13. Bo-Bae Song ¥41.34M
14. Chie Arimura ¥39.47M
15. Yukari Baba ¥39.28M
16. Yuri Fudoh ¥38.70M
17. Hiromi Mogi ¥38.57M
18. Akane Iijima ¥37.99M
19. Hiroko Yamaguchi ¥34.63M
20. Miki Saiki ¥34.14M
21. Ji-Woo Lee ¥31.15M
22. Rui Kitada ¥28.49M
23. Midori Yoneyama ¥26.54M
24. Saiki Fujita ¥26.14M
25. Esther Lee ¥24.27M
26. Mayu Hattori ¥20.27M
27. Momoko Ueda ¥19.17M
28. Maiko Wakabayashi ¥19.16M
29. Mie Nakata ¥18.85M
30. Na Zhang ¥18.34M
Ji-Yai Shin is #34, not counting her non-member winnings from the victory that earned her immediate JLPGA membership.]
[Update 3 (9/9/08, 12:52 pm): Courtesy of amaebirah at Seoul Sisters.com, here are some highlights from TV Tokyo.]
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Saturday, September 6, 2008
Futures Tour Saturday: The Waiting Is the Hardest Part
A rain-soaked Albany, NY, golf course gave up a lot of birdies before play was eventually called this afternoon in the midst of the 2nd round of the ILOVENY Championship. Sunny Oh (-5 through 9 holes) and Jin Young Pak (-2 through 7 holes) pulled within 1 stroke of 1st-round leader Sarah-Jane Kenyon, whose 1st birdie of the day on the 7th hole moved her to -8 just before the round was suspended. Rather than give you the leaderboard itself, though, I'll give you the money list and how players on it stand this week (top 10s in bold):
#1 Vicky Hurst: E through 7, -3, T6
#2 Mindy Kim: E through 9, -2, T9
#3 M.J. Hur: -2 through 12, -1, T12
4 Jin Young Pak: -2 through 7, -7, T2
#5 Song Yi Choi: +1 through 11, +3, T29
Fighting for a (high-priority status) card:
#6 Jessica Shepley: +1 through 13, +3, T29
#7 Leah Wigger: 68, +3, T29
#8 Sarah-Jane Kenyon: -1 through 7, -8, 1st
#9 Kim Welch: 70, +8, T83
#10 Haeji Kang: -1 through 7, -4, 5th
Fighting for a (low-priority status) card:
#11 Mo Martin: 70, +7, T74
#12 Sophia Sheridan: -1 through 9, -3, T6
#13 Lisa Ferrero: +3 through 6, +6, T58
#14 Gerina Mendoza: +1 through 12, +3, T29
#15 Kristina Tucker: 69, +2, T23
#16 Stephanie Otteson: +1 through 11, +3, T29
#17 Samantha Richdale: 72, +12, T100
#18 Chella Choi: E through 10, -1, T12
#19 Sunny Oh: -5 through 9, -7, T2
#20 Sara Brown: 70, +6, T58
Fighting for a free pass to Final Qualifying School:
#21 Caroline Larsson: -1 through 7, +2, T23
#22 Ashley Prange: +2 through 11, +4, T40
#23 Briana Vega: 69, +3, T29
#24 Maru Martinez: +2 through 9, E, T17
#25 Danah Ford: 72, +6, T58
#26 Jenny Suh, -3 through 9, -5, 4th
They're supposed to go off bright and early tomorrow morning. We'll see who can keep their momentum going and who can take advantage of the delay to turn around their tournaments!
[Update 1 (9/7/08, 4:04 pm): Here are the 2nd-round results. As you can see, Oh, Suh, Kang, and Pak stumbled around the course this morning, Hur kept up her good play, and the other highly-ranked players in the top 10 last night held steady. But most of the field had trouble: +3 is now T24. That's 27 players within 10 shots of Kenyon, so really, who knows what can happen this afternoon?]
[Update 2 (4:08 pm): The 2nd-round recap has some good details. But they were too nice to note that the highest-ranked player to miss the cut was #9 Kim Welch.]
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Golf 5 Ladies Saturday: Move Over, Erina!
I can just picture Ji-Yai Shin, Eun-A Lim, and Kumiko Kaneda thinking to themselves last night after the 1st round of the Golf 5 Ladies, "What's so great about a 66?" The amateur Kaneda was the 1st to answer the question, making 6 straight birdies as she made the turn from the back to the front to post a bogey-free 65 and move to -5 for the tournament. Meanwhile, Lim opened with a 33 and only then caught fire, making birdies on 5 of her final 9 holes for a 64 that vaulted her all the way to -9. Shin, too, got hot on the back following an opening 33: she went eagle-birdie to start it and got another pair on the par-4 14th and par-5 16th to take the lead at -10 with 2 holes left to play.
Saiki Fujita has gone on a run of her own on the back to get to -6 on the day and -8 for the tournament with the 18th left to play. Erina Hara, meanwhile, has let birdie opportunities on the 10th and 11th slip by and sits at -7 after a 35 on the front. Kuniko Maeda continues to keep pace with her and Midori Yoneyama has pulled within a shot of her.
There's also a lot of action near the cut line. Money-list leader Akiko Fukushima could only manage an even-par 72 today to remain at +1 for the tournament; she sits precariously in a tie for 47th right now.
More when the 2nd round is complete.
[Update 1 (4:45 am): Here are the key 2nd-round results:
1st/-10 Ji-Yai Shin (70-64)
2nd/-9 Eun-A Lim (71-64)
T3/-8 Saiki Fujita (70-66), Erina Hara (66-70)
5th/-7 Midori Yoneyama (69-68)
6th/-6 Kuniko Maeda (66-72)
T7/-5 Kumiko Kaneda (74-65), Nachiyo Ohtani (72-67), So-Hee Kim (71-68), Mayu Hattori (69-70), Hiromi Mogi (68-71)
T12/-4 Hyun-Ju Shin (73-67), Yukari Baba (72-68), Rui Kitada (72-68), Miho Koga (71-69), Shinobu Moromizato (70-70), Bo-Bae Song (70-70), Ji-Woo Lee (69-71)
T25/-2 Ji-Hee Lee (74-68), Yun-Jye Wei (73-69), Shiho Oyama (70-72)
T34/-1 Nikki Campbell (75-68), Mi-Jeong Jeon (73-70), Na Zhang (70-73), Akane Iijima (69-74)
T42/E Maiko Wakabayashi (71-73)
T45/+1 Akiko Fukushima (73-72)
A 38 on the back almost did Fukushima in--that's 7 lost strokes to Shin, Lim, and Fujita in 9 holes, barely better than Iijima's disastrous 40.
T56/+2 Esther Lee (76-70), Kaori Higo (74-72)
T64/+3 Ritsuko Ryu (72-75), Michiko Hattori (72-75)
T73/+4 Tamie Durdin (74-74)
T98/+10 Yuki Ichinose (78-76)
Once again, young guns and vets struggle. There's always next week!
But tomorrow is what interests me. If the 2nd-round leaders find it as hard to follow up on their low scores as the 1st-round leaders did, watch out for Yoneyama: she's the only player in the field with a chance to put together a trio of sub-70 scores. But actually I expect Shin and Hara to be duelling it out down the stretch. Can the JLPGA's hottest player succeed where Yuri Fudoh and Ai Miyazato failed?]
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Friday, September 5, 2008
Futures Tour Friday: It All Comes Down to This
Even though 10 players from the Futures Tour will get LPGA cards in 2009, the difference between #5 and #6 on their money list after this week's event in Albany, NY, is so great that LPGA Q-School is likely to be in the cards for everyone outside the top 5. We'll know who 3 more members of the Class of 2009 will be by this coming Sunday.
Playing in only her 10th FT event of the season and sitting in 8th place on the FT money list, Sarah-Jane Kenyon just made a huge move to get into that top 5, firing a scintillating 64. The Australian's rookie season on the LPGA came in 2006, but as a non-exempt member of the LPGA this season, she's only gotten into 9 events and made just under $10K less than she has on the FT. But two more good rounds could vault her ahead of current #3 M.J. Hur, who opened with a one-over-par 72. As she's ranked 3rd in scoring average and 2nd in percentage of rounds under par and greens in regulation, she's going to be hard for even #1 Vicky Hurst (68) and #2 Mindy Kim (69) to catch.
But there are some players near the top of the leaderboard with even greater motivation to chase her down. #10 Haeji Kang (68) absolutely needs her 2nd win of the season to have a chance to get to #5, while #4 Jin Young Pak (-2 through 12) needs a good finish to secure her #4 position.
Meanwhile, with #5 Song-Yi Choi +3 with 3 holes on the front left to play, #6 Jessica Shepley opening with a two-over-par 73, and #7 Leah Wigger and #9 Kim Welch +4 through 9, the door is opened for some players to sneak into the top 10 and at least get some kind of guaranteed (low) priority status on the LPGA next season. #12 Sophia Sheridan (69) has put herself into the best position thus far through the 1st round.
More after the round is complete.
[Update 1 (9/6/08, 12:24 am): Jin Young Pak responded to Kenyon's challenge with a fantastic finish to pull within 2 of the leader. Here's the Futures Tour's 1st-round recap that focuses on the pair at the head of the pack. Song-Yi Choi hung in there and finished with a 73, so she's tied with Shepley for 30th right now. Leah Wigger ballooned to a 77 and Kim Welch to an 80, so they'll have the added pressure of just trying to make the cut tomorrow. Fortunately for them, #11 Mo Martin (79) and #13 Lisa Ferrero (74) will also have to be thinking about the cut line tomorrow, and everyone lower on the money list than they are is also over par.
On a side note, it's good to see 16-year-old Hannah Yun deciding to return to college:
Rookie Hannah Yun of Bradenton, Fla., made headlines when she enrolled last year at the University of Florida as a 15-year old freshman. After leaving the Gators to compete on the Duramed FUTURES Tour as an amateur, Yun made headlines again at The Gettysburg Championship after she announced she would be going back to Gainesville for her sophomore season.
Yun returned to the UF campus after The Gettysburg Championship to start classes, but is finishing out the Tour schedule this weekend in Albany.
She took a page from college teammate and Tour member Jessica Yadloczky of Casselberry, Fla. Yun joined the Tour in May for the Aurora Health Care Championship. Yadloczky played the 2007 Tour season as an amateur and became a freshman All-American with Yun at Florida.
“I still have to maintain my focus and play like a pro,” said the 16-year old Yun. “I’ve really watched how the girls have handled themselves this year. It’s so much different out here from junior golf and even college golf.”
While UF is competing in its first tournament of the season this weekend at The Duramed Preview Invitational in Owing Mills, Md., Yun was granted a leave of absence to finish the Tour’s last regular-season event.
Yun said playing on the Duramed FUTURES Tour has helped her game and prepared her for another college season.
“I decided that going back to school for another year was going to help me because there is still a lot to learn,” Yun said. “No matter how mature I think I am, I’m still just 16.”
Smart choice, Hannah!]
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Yay for the LPGA!
They've announced that they're not going to make playing privileges dependent on language acquisition skills. Here's a statement attributed to Commissioner Bivens:
DAYTONA BEACH, Fla., Sept. 5, 2008 -- The LPGA has received valuable feedback from a variety of constituents regarding the recently announced penalties attached to our effective communications policy. We have decided to rescind those penalty provisions.
After hearing the concerns, we believe there are other ways to achieve our shared objective of supporting and enhancing the business opportunities for every Tour player. In that spirit, we will continue communicating with our diverse Tour players to develop a better alternative. The LPGA will announce a revised approach, absent playing penalties, by the end of 2008.
During that time we will continue to provide support under the three-year-old Kolon-LPGA Cross Cultural Program. This popular program provides all LPGA members with the best cross-cultural training in the form of tutors, translators, Rosetta Stone®, the official language-learning system of the LPGA, as well as assistance from LPGA staff and consultants.
Ryan Ballengee has more good news on the old Safeway International in Phoenix.
[Update 1 (4:16 pm): Always fun to see how Hound Dog, Brent Kelley, Ryan Ballengee, Geoff Shackelford, and the Seoul Sisters.com crew react to the news.]
[Update 2 (9/6/08, 12:36 am): More interesting feedback from Bill Jempty, Average Golfer, Golf Girl, Ron Sirak, and Eric Adelson.]
[Update 3 (2:41 am): Ken Carpenter proposes hiring players like the FT's Sarah-Jane Kenyon (who's put herself in great position to earn her '09 LPGA card with a 1st-round 64 in Albany, NY) to act as the "corporate face" of the LPGA at pro-ams. To me, setting up a two-way cross-cultural mentoring program on the model of the Ayako Okamoto-Patti Rizzo friendship, letting the buddies play together in pro-ams, and filling out the fields by inviting alternates and failed Monday qualifiers in the program to stick around for an extra couple of days is a better solution.]
[Update 4 (2:52 am): The Agon wonders what caused the LPGA's reversal. And what it suggests.]
[Update 5 (9/8/08, 2:28 am): Brian Hewitt handles the post-mortem.]
[Update 6 (10:32 am): Uh oh! Bill Jempty has come out of heart surgery fighting. Guess who was his Knucklehead of the Day yesterday?]
[Update 7 (10/5/08, 9:14 am): Anyone who doubts the wisdom of the LPGA's decision to rethink the penalty portion of their evolving language policy should read Gwen Knapp's story on an encounter with Eun-Hee Ji at the putting green in the Samsung World Championship and its larger implications.]
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Golf 5 Ladies: Erina Hara Is the Hottest Golfer on the JLPGA
Erina Hara has been shooting up the JLPGA money list this season and her opening 66 at the Golf 5 Ladies suggests that she's not satisfied with simply being in the top 10. Sure, Kuniko Maeda started out hotter, making 6 birdies in her 1st 11 holes, but as she lost steam, parring out the rest of her round, Hara got hot, making birdies on the 13th, 16th, and 18th holes. With the quality of the chase pack--which includes KLPGA star and Women's British Open champion Ji-Yai Shin--it's way too soon to suggest this tournament is Hara's to lose. But she's certainly the player to beat. Here are the top 10 and notables trying to do just that:
T1/-6 Hara, Maeda (66)
T3/-4 Hiromi Mogi, Tomoko Kusakabe, Megumi Simokawa (68)
T6/-3 Akane Iijima, Midori Yoneyama, Ji-Woo Lee, Mayu Hattori, and 5 others (69)
T15/-2 Ji-Yai Shin, Shinobu Moromizato, Shiho Oyama, Bo-Bae Song, Na Zhang (70)
T25/-1 Miho Koga, Eun-A Lim, Maiko Wakabayashi (71)
T37/E Yukari Baba, Rui Kitada, Michiko Hattori, Ritsuko Ryu (72)
With Sakura Yokomine, Yuri Fudoh, Ayako Uehara, Yuko Mitsuka, Chie Arimura, Hiroko Yamaguchi, Miki Saiki, and Mie Nakata apparently deciding that rest was more important than a final tune-up before the JLPGA's second major (the Konica Minolta Cup or JLPGA Championship), it's a golden opportunity for Shin, Oyama, or Koga to make a real statement if Hara should falter. And Mogi, Iijima, Song, Zhang, Moromizato, Lim, and Kitada could separate themselves from the pack of 1-time winners by chasing down the hottest player on the JLPGA. If anyone else is due to break through, it's Lee, but that 1 bad round has torpedoed her hopes in recent weeks. Still her 32 on the back was beat only by Kaori Harada, who went 39-31 (recovering from a snow man on the front!).
Fighting just to make the cut are a number of very talented players, including 3 of the 4 leading money winners on tour:
T51/+1 Mi-Jeong Jeon, Akiko Fukushima, Hyun-Ju Shin, Yun-Jye Wei (73)
T69/+2 Ji-Hee Lee, Kaori Higo, Tamie Durdin, Kumiko Kaneda (74)
T80/+3 Nikki Campbell (75)
T86/+4 Esther Lee (76)
T103/+6 Yuki Ichinose (78)
We'll see what kind of charge Jeon, Fukushima, and Ji-Hee Lee can mount over the weekend. And how Hara handles being the frontrunner--again.
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Thursday, September 4, 2008
Smart Move by the LET
They're holding their Q-School in January 2009. So any player not happy with her LPGA priority status, dissatisfied with the LPGA's language policy, or just wanting to diversify her income streams has plenty of time to decide whether to attempt to jump ship or hold dual membership (like so many European players already do). If the JLPGA and KLPGA are smart, they'll hold theirs between the LPGA's and LET's.
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The Patti Rizzo Story
Randall Mell has highlighted the relevance of Patti Rizzo's story for those who continue to ponder the LPGA's English proficiency requirement for membership after 2 years on tour. During her eventual Rookie of the Year season in 1982, Rizzo struck up a friendship with Japanese superstar Ayako Okamoto that blossomed into a 9-win career for her on the JLPGA--and superstar standing in Japan--in the 1980s and 1990s. A 2003 Futures Tour newsletter adds a bit more to the story, but the bottom line is that a well-planned cross-cultural mentoring program--in which an American and an international player help each other, among other things, develop their non-dominant language--could open doors and extend careers for everyone involved. Of course, not every pairing would turn out to be as meaningful or successful as the Rizzo-Okamoto friendship (for background, see the interview and ceremony for Okamoto's 2005 induction into the World Golf Hall of Fame), but if even one were to, the program would be a huge success.
When will the monolingual Americans on tour realize that it's to their economic benefit to be learning other languages? When you compare the JLPGA and JGTO money lists and tournament schedules, for instance, you'll find that there are far greater opportunities for American women than men in Japan. American players should be pressuring the LPGA to do far more to attract more Japanese and other top JLPGA players to the States. Unless they roll out the welcome mat to their international peers, the LPGA's standing as the best women's tour in the world could be in jeopardy over the next decade, particularly if their tour's language policy provides incentives for the next great Asian players to make like Yuri Fudoh or Ok Hee Ku instead of Ayako Okamoto or Se Ri Pak.
[Update 1 (2:52 am): Eric Adelson shows why this kind of proposal makes a lot more sense than the LPGA's emphasis on high-stakes testing and high-risk penalties. I've excerpted other suggestions I made in an email to Lisa Mickey in an update to my last attempt to be constructive here.]
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Labels: globalization, golf, money money money money, transnationalism
Wednesday, September 3, 2008
Way to Go, Ryo!
16-year-old Ryo Ishikawa has been struggling a bit in his first season as a professional on the Japan Tour, but he just won the Kansai Open. Although it's not an official JGTO event, his victory there in late August gives him entry into the prestigious Japan Open that'll be taking place in Fukuoka right around my birthday this year.
The Full Metal Archivist informs me that SMAP's Kimutaku struck up a friendship with the "Shy Prince." And he may be getting hooked on golf as a result. She saw a clip on youtube where he confessed that the most pressure he's felt recently came on the golf course, when several groups of middle-aged men were watching him tee off. He said his heart was pounding worse than before any concert he's ever performed in. If that clip--or the one where he outdoes Ai Miyazato--ever gets subtitled in English, I'll post it here!
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Tuesday, September 2, 2008
Paging Carolyn Bivens
Thanks to Geoff Shackelford and Ryan Ballengee for calling my attention to the Carolyn Bivens interview with Beth Ann Baldry and the Ron Sirak story that contains quotes from the Commissioner on the new and as yet unformed English proficiency requirement for LPGA membership. I thought I was done writing about this when I closed out my little trilogy on the subject. But I should have known better. A blog named after a Douglas Adams novel is probably doomed to stretch the meaning of the word "trilogy." (Guess I've got another post on this coming, then.)
You see, Bivens made this personal with this western New York blogger when her office leaked that the straw that broke the camel's back came (according to Sirak) "when Eun-Hee Ji won the Wegmans LPGA in June and was unable to deliver the victory speech in English." I'm assuming we'll soon be hearing angry denials from both Wegmans and the tournament organizers--who have secured professors and students from the University of Rochester's Simon School as translators, footed the bill for tournament webcasts and made a huge deal about their Asian viewership, and generally welcomed international players with open arms--that they had anything to do with the policy. Ji herself is taking one for the team, saying to the Korean media, "At the time, I spoke Korean in the interview. I experienced pricks of conscience as I felt if the latest decision targets me. I'll pay more attention to improving my English." But why should the top player in the LPGA's Class of 2007 feel guilty?
With apologies to Adams fans everywhere, I offer the following Hitchhiker's Guide to the LPGA's defense of its language policy.
1. It's good for the tour's bottom line.
The Commissioner mentions that "The more the audience knows about the business model of the LPGA, the more likely they are to be in agreement." Really? Let's review the reasoning. Futures Tour communications guru Lisa Mickey breaks it down for us:
Sponsors and pro-am participants pay money for personal encounters with professionals on the golf course. For sponsors, golf tournaments are an advertising tool and a corporate entertainment tool. The LPGA’s Kraft Nabisco Championship, for example, is a well-established way for food and grocery vendors to network against the backdrop of a professional golf tournament alongside top women golf pros.
Plenty of corporate sponsors align themselves with the NBA and NFL, but that doesn’t necessarily mean they will go one-on-one with Kobe or run downfield for a bomb from Brett Favre. Golf is unique and personal and when people are spending money in this environment, they do it for the chance to spend five or so hours on a golf course with a real playing professional. At the end of the day, if that pro hasn’t been able to utter a single “Nice shot,” then the odds are pretty high that the amateur spending substantial dollars won’t be back next year. Too much of that hurts the tournament. Enough of that hurts the tour.
The LPGA certainly has embraced its global membership and its global membership has made it a much more interesting tour, but while professional golf may be fun and games to the public, it is still, at the end of the day, a business. And, as mentioned before, this business depends solely on the personal satisfaction of check writers based on their experiences with the pros. If the pros can’t communicate, the experience is not a valid return on investment for those individuals sponsoring events and playing in pro-ams. Pro-ams and sponsorships secure tournament purses. Without the purses, there are no tournaments. And without tournaments, there are no tours.
Sounds good. Never mind that the reason some pros may not utter a single "nice shot" in an entire pro-am round may have more to do with the quality of their playing partners' games than their own language abilities. Never mind that a certain number of pro-am participants may actually know other languages than English. Never mind that there are no threats of suspensions for the English-speaking pros who may happen to be introverted, misanthropic, or just having a bad day. Consider the following major problems with Mickey's logic:
a) "this business depends solely on the personal satisfaction of check writers based on their experiences with the pros": if true, this is an alarming admission, but it's most likely an overstatement. That "solely" there implies that the LPGA isn't making a significant amount of money from its Korean and Japanese TV deals, which is either untrue or suggests that the LPGA isn't counting on any decent American TV deal to sweeten their pot from check writers who base their decisions on projected ratings and advertising revenues, not on their "personal satisfaction" with pros.
But even if Mickey meant "primarily," there are still serious problems with her logic. Consider the LPGA's range of possible responses to sponsors who have problems with the language abilities of a certain small percentage of pros on tour.
i) "We have excellent English instruction programs in place and our players are embracing them. We guarantee this problem will go away. In the meantime, we'll ask the player(s) in question to offer you their personal apologies."
ii) "We're teaming up with with our tournament organizers to fund a team of interpreters from neighboring colleges and universities for every event on tour so that this kind of isolated incident remains one."
iii) "We're sorry your employees and clients have such a problem with some of our international players. Perhaps we can recommend some diversity management training that we've benefitted from ourselves."
iv) "We're sorry you no longer wish to sponsor this tournament. We're sure there will be no negative local, regional, national, or international backlash against your brand if we had to answer questions from the media about why you've withdrawn your sponsorship."
Sure, sticking to your guns and defending all your players might cause you to lose a sponsorship or 2. But you don't need a Ph.D. to recognize that you can offset those losses with new tournaments in places with potential sponsors, pro-am participants, and fans who would be excited to be associated with a young, hot, and global professional golf tour. There must be some companies that want to get their brands better known in Asia and Latin America somewhere in the United States. At the very least, you might consult the latest census for concentrations of Latin American and Asian immigrant and ethnic American populations. You know, places where non-U.S.-based multinationals and transnationals might want to expand their markets? And where tournament organizers may see increased ticket sales?
b) "If the pros can’t communicate, the experience is not a valid return on investment for those individuals sponsoring events and playing in pro-ams": If this is true of events in predominantly English-speaking areas of the United States, then it must be equally true of events in Quebec, Mexico, France, Japan, Korea, Singapore, the Philippines, and China. So when will we see monolingual American players being asked--no, wait, required--to sacrifice their time and effort for the tour's bottom line? As I wrote earlier, "Being able to get by in 2 or more languages is the norm the world over. In reality, it's the monolingual English speakers who need the carrot and stick to venture outside our little world. If we're not willing to legislate it for ourselves, why not leave learning English to economic forces and individual choices like we do with almost everything else?"
But why wouldn't the LPGA be willing to require a minimal level of proficiency in at least one non-English language? Are they perhaps worried that such a policy might be controversial with the public, unpopular with the players, difficult to enact or enforce, risk defections to and fewer Q-School applications from those on other tours, and even open up a competitive advantage for others who might take the opportunity to challenge their monopoly?
Why would they be? After all...
2. It's good for the players.
Mickey dangles the carrot:
I doubt that anyone would argue that it is to the [dis]advantage of any player to learn the language of the land where she intends to play. When New Yorker Jean Bartholomew decided to play golf on the Japan LPGA (JLPGA) before she was a U.S.-based LPGA member, she knew part of the equation to her success--and survival--was learning to speak Japanese. Jean learned Japanese and can still converse in the language. The same has been true of such LPGA players as Lorena Ochoa of Mexico, France’s Patricia Meunier-Lebouc, Sweden’s Annika Sorenstam, Paraguay’s Julieta Granada and South Korea’s Jeong Jang. Each learned English and has been able to communicate effectively as LPGA members.... The goal is for every player on the LPGA to easily converse with pro-am partners and tournament sponsors, to effectively communicate basic thoughts about their rounds to media, and to have the ability to express their thoughts and thanks during tournament award ceremonies. What, I ask, is unfair about that?
Bivens wields the stick:
"If these players don't take this step [and learn English], their ability to earn a living is reduced. They will be cut out of corporate and endorsement opportunities. I can't imagine that someone who has thought this through does not realize that in opposing this measure they are penalizing the very people they are trying to help."
Never mind that Mickey has never read Multilingual America, much less figured out that the U.S. has no official language. Or that there's nothing unfair about the goal as she describes it--so long as it really applies to all players in any LPGA event. Or that there's a difference between opposing the goal and opposing the penalty. Or that Bivens's hiking the penalty for non-compliance does more to reduce international players' ability to earn their living on the LPGA than any lack of corporate or sponsorship opportunities (the substantial ones of which so far seem to be heading mostly to players named Wie, Gulbis, and Creamer, anyway--and took even Annika many years to earn).
No, the basic problem is with forcing players to do what's good for them. It was Annika and Lorena who set the bar on fitness, not Carolyn Bivens. And it should be Se Ri Pak who sets the bar for the South Koreans who followed her to the LPGA when it comes to English. If you don't trust Se Ri, why not get out of the business of evaluating English proficiency by making LPGA and Futures Tour Q-Schools open only to graduates of U.S. colleges and universities? Isn't a college education good for everyone? And doesn't the U.S. have the best higher education system in the world?
Don't like this solution? Ah, enjoy wading through the USCIS website to figure out whether golfers should be held to the same standards as health professionals or physical therapists.
First drug testing, now language testing. What's next? Don't get me wrong: I'm in favor of drug testing done right. Not only can it help prevent harm to players, but it also helps level the playing field and head off a bodily enhancement arms race (so to speak). The only harm to players for not being multilingual is to their pocketbooks, not their bodies, while the only competitive disadvantage that could possibly come from not knowing English depends on it being the only language golf balls understand.
But don't mind me. After all...
3. People who don't like the policy are overreacting out of ignorance or political bias.
Wait a second: who was it who decided to tell only the Korean players on tour about a policy that hadn't then even been fully formulated--and won't be until December? Who was it who's been offering weak justifications for it--and then mostly through back channels?
As for suggestions from the LPGA office that opinions have been split along Red State/Blue State lines and that the tour will become a political football for Fox News and the New York Times, that dog just won't hunt: language politics cuts across party lines and divides parties. But hey, way to lend credence to your critics' worst fears: not only that you can't figure out how to market the LPGA's international talent to all Americans (taking advantage of "land of opportunity," "model minority," "diversity," and "globalization" scripts, not to mention the higher percentage of devout Christians among the Korean contingent), but more important that you really are reaching out to the English-only movement, that you really do see nativists as a priority demographic to target, and that you're desperate enough to hope this half-baked scheme will help your TV contract negotiations.
The irony in all this is that I still believe the LPGA will tweak its policy by December to address the widespread concerns over its implementation and penalties, so I'm still reserving judgment on its final form. The tragedy is that they've shown themselves more liable to direct friendly fire toward the messenger than to actually engage in that dialogue they say they want.
[Update 1 (3:33 pm): Here's LPGA.com's announcement from Commissioner Bivens and Geoff Shackelford's response to an accompanying memo from Bivens. What do you all think now?]
[Update 2 (3:39 pm): Here's Ryan Ballengee's response to the Sirak story. Hound Dog's comments can be found on the Inside the LPGA podcast.]
[Update 3 (9/3/08, 1:36 am): Too much work to do to listen to HD's podcast for awhile yet (much less Ryan Ballengee's), but his latest post goes out of the way to be fair to the LPGA brass. Too bad the Bivens offensive hasn't gone over so well with State Farm. Still waiting to hear something from Wegmans.]
[Update 4 (2:24 am): From what I've seen on the web, the Golf Channel coverage has been quite fair to the LPGA. For all the hints of sensationalization, PC, and "liberal media" coming out of the LPGA office, the questions and concerns raised sound pretty sensible to me.]
[Update 5 (9/4/08, 11:52 am): Geoff Shackelford connects the dots.]
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The Best of the Young Guns: Top Super Sophs, August 2008
A lot has changed since our last Super Soph ranking, so let's jump right in!
Simply the Best
1. Eun-Hee Ji: Sure, she doesn't have a major like Inbee Park and is not the leading money winner in her class like Angela Park, but cut the kid some slack--she's only played in half as many LPGA events as they have. In that brief time, she's already got a win and made a million dollars. Yes, I know I ranked Inbee Park ahead of her in my latest Best of the LPGA ranking, but Ji has been outplaying her since June, which is enough to give her a better--if shorter--career. There's a reason I said in that post that she reminds me of Seon Hwa Lee.
2. Angela Park: She's jumped from #26 to #15 in the Best of the LPGA ranking, regained the top spot on the career money list, and has become one of the hottest players on tour in the second half of the season. If she can just start closing the deal when she's in contention, she'll be back in the top spot faster than you could say "best swing on the LPGA."
3. Inbee Park: Sorry, Inbee, but a post-Open hangover is not the way to consolidate your #1 spot. Hopefully your runner-up finish this past weekend in Korea is a sign of better things to come. Focus on hitting greens and the rest will follow. I await the results of this latest effort to invoke the Mostly Harmless reverse jinx.
The Contenders
4. In-Kyung Kim: Strange decision to skip the Safeway Classic when she had been riding a 3-tournament top 20 streak and had 2 top 10s in her last 6 events. If she needed a late-summer break, why go play in Korea? If she starts hitting some more greens, watch out for her in the last third of the season. But if she plays like she did in Korea, she'll be passed very soon by the rest of the contenders.
5. Song-Hee Kim: T4 at the Canadian Women's Open and a top 20 at the Safeway Classic--not to mention a top 10 in Korea this past week--show that this season's stats leader in her class is not done just yet. Waiting to see how good she can get.
6. Jane Park: She's finally starting to make more birdies, but the European and Northern swings were real disappointments, even if they show that she's getting a bit less inconsistent. Has the talent to close out the season in style. But will she?
7. Ji Young Oh: So much for that "tendency to blow up on Sundays" that I complained about last Super Soph ranking. You'd think a playoff victory over Ya Ni Tseng would get her more respect in my book, but that missed-cut rate sticks out like a sore thumb (as it does for Inbee Park and Song-Hee Kim).
8. Kristy McPherson: Right on cue, she started playing great in July. Even though she lost some momentum up North, expect her to come out swinging down South.
Quantum Leap Candidates
9. Jin Joo Hong: Talk about good timing! She had her best finish of the season in the season's richest event--a solo 4th at the Evian Masters. It's a good thing she did it, as she withdrew from the Canadian Women's Open and didn't start the Safeway Classic. Hope she's not hurt.
10. Na On Min: Did I say last time that she was a lock to win her card? Well, don't look down, Ms. Min! Forget that you're #80 on the money list, focus on hitting greens, and the rest will follow. That's the same advice as I'm giving Inbee Park and In-Kyung Kim, so you're in good company.
11. Irene Cho: Slipped to #74 on the money list for the same reason that Min is on the bubble. Is she still a lock to get her card?
12. Charlotte Mayorkas: Needs to go on a birdie barrage in the last third of the season to even get near the bubble, although a top 100 finish is certainly within easy reach for a player of her talents.
On the Bottom Looking Up
13. Paige Mackenzie: Another non-exempt player making a bit of a run lately, but will it be enough ro get her in the top 100, much less the top 80?
14. Sophie Giquel: Remains in extreme danger of losing her card.
15. Seo-Jae Lee: Has improved her ball-striking considerably since the last ranking, making 5 cuts in a row. But she still has a long way to go to get out of the woods..
16. Becky Lucidi: In a tailspin lately, lending truth to that old cliche about driving and putting.
17. Su A Kim: Also in a tailspin, but without Lucidi's length.
On the Outside Looking In
18. Sarah Lynn Sargent: Not sure why she hasn't focused more on the Futures Tour, as there's a huge difference between finishing #5 on the money list there and #6.
19. Cindy Pasechnik: A lock for Q-School.
20. Jeanne Cho-Hunicke: Ditto.
For your reference--and mine--here are the stats on which I'm basing the June ranking.
2008 LPGA Money List (rank), stroke average (rank), birdies per round average (rank [in total birdies]), greens in regulation rate (rank): I focus on four key indicators of how well someone is playing this season--how much money they've made, how they've scored, how many birdies they've averaged per round, and how many greens they've hit in regulation on average per round, plus how they rank in each category (except for birdies, which LPGA.com ranks by total and not by average). I figure I can figure out how well they're hitting their irons and putting by comparing the last three figures, so I don't include putts per green in regulation here. Some of the figures Hound Dog thinks are most important I'm looking at in the career stats (below), where I think they belong. These stats are all about the present and future.
1. Inbee Park, $1.10M (#5), 71.29 (#15), 3.55 (#9), 62.8% (#85)
2. Eun-Hee Ji, $819.8K (#12), 71.23 (#13), 3.23 (#22), 64.7% (#57)
3. Angela Park, $784.9K (#13), 71.61 (#26), 3.38 (#18), 64.6% (#58)
4. Song-Hee Kim, $710.0K (#15), 71.02 (#11), 3.61 (#29), 68.2% (#7)
5. Jane Park, $560.9K (#18), 71.44 (#20), 3.24 (#37), 67.6% (#11)
6. Ji Young Oh, $545.6K (#21), 71.55 (#25), 3.24 (#13), 65.1% (#50)
7. In-Kyung Kim, $446.9K (#30), 71.84 (#39), 3.51 (#33), 61.1% (#106)
8. Kristy McPherson, $306.1K (#48), 71.63 (#27), 3.30 (#42), 65.7% (#37)
9. Jin Joo Hong, $300.4K (#50), 72.12 (#49), 2.93 (#67), 62.6% (#90)
10. Irene Cho, $135.2K (#74), 72.98 (#93), 3.23 (#79), 61.7% (#97)
11. Na On Min, $114.7K (#80), 73.39 (#114), 2.64 (#65), 59.5% (#134)
12. Paige Mackenzie, $76.0K (#106), 72.77 (#75), 3.03 (#119), 61.3% (#104)
13. Charlotte Mayorkas, $75.2K (#107), 73.07 (#96), 2.43 (#104), 62.2% (#94)
14. Sophie Giquel, $67.5K (#113), 73.47 (#121), 2.62 (#115), 63.4% (#74)
15. Becky Lucidi, $65.2K (#115), 73.41 (#115), 2.85 (#122), 66.7% (#22)
16. Seo-Jae Lee, $59.3K (#119), 73.12 (#99), 2.73 (#101), 56.9% (#151)
17. Su A Kim, $48.8K (#132), 73.47 (#121), 2.68 (#114), 57.2% (#149)
18. Cindy Pasechnik, $16.6K (#157), 74.77 (#154), 2.04 (#157), 53.2% (#160)
19. Sarah Lynn Sargent, $12.9K (#160), 74.28 (n.r.), ?, ?
20. Jeanne Cho-Hunicke, $2.5K (#185), 76.73 (n.r.), ?, ?
Career LPGA Money List (rank), # of LPGA events entered/majors/wins/top 3s/top 10s/top 20s/cuts made (made cut rate): About the only thing these stats are useful for is comparing people who entered the LPGA in the same year (although if you count generations by 3 years, it can be interesting). Between inflation, changing purses, and length/timing of careers, it's very hard to compare and contrast winnings across generations of LPGA greats. Fortunately the Super Sophs haven't been at this all too long, so the career money list is a decent stat for comparing them, even if it's a bit unfair to people who have not been exempt both years. What would really be great is if we had a world money list in inflation-adjusted dollars, with inflation- and exchange-adjusted other cash denominations added in (or just totalled up separately to avoid comparing dollars and yen), which included all each golfer earned as a professional on any tour. But even the guys don't have that, so that'll have to remain a dream for now. I include these other ways of seeing how the Super Sophs finished relative to their competition in the tournaments they entered because they reveal a lot about how well someone is able to compete at every level, from just making cuts to grinding out top 20s and top 10s to contending for wins. So here's how they stand:
1. Angela Park, $1.77M (#97), 47/0/0/6/14/19/43 (.915)
2. Inbee Park, $1.48M (#111), 47/1/1/3/9/15/33 (.702)
3. Eun-Hee Ji, $1.07M (#154), 24/0/1/4/8/10/20 (.833)
4. In-Kyung Kim, $.90M (#188), 43/0/0/2/8/14/35 (.814)
5. Song-Hee Kim $.79M (#203), 44/0/0/3/7/14/30 (.682)
6. Ji Young Oh, $.69M (#220), 43/0/1/1/4/7/29 (.674)
7. Jane Park, $.63M (#232), 30/0/0/3/4/7/24 (.800)
8. Jin Joo Hong, $.46M (#267), 39/0/0/0/2/6/24 (.615)
9. Na On Min, $.42M (#272), 41/0/0/1/2/5/25 (.610)
10. Kristy McPherson, $.39M (#283), 35/0/0/0/4/7/24 (.686)
11. Charlotte Mayorkas, $.23M (#356), 39/0/0/0/0/3/26 (.667)
12. Irene Cho, $.20M (#375), 35/0/0/0/2/2/19 (.543)
13. Paige Mackenzie, $.13M (#426), 33/0/0/0/0/1/16 (.485)
14. Sophie Giquel, $.09M (#457), 23/0/0/0/0/0/11 (.478)
15. Becky Lucidi $.07M (#491), 18/0/0/0/0/1/6 (.333)
16. Seo-Jae Lee, $.07M (#492), 21/0/0/0/0/0/9 (.429)
17. Su A Kim, $.06M (#499), 22/0/0/0/0/0/10 (.455)
18. Sarah Lynn Sargent, $.05M (#529), 26/0/0/0/0/0/12 (.462)
19. Jeanne Cho-Hunicke, $.02M (#594), 18/0/0/0/0/1/2 (.111)
20. Cindy Pasechnik, $.02M (#606), 18/0/0/0/0/0/5 (.278)
Other Career Measures: Rolex Ranking (as of 8/25/08) and rank, Golfweek/Sagarin Performance Index (as of 8/24/08) and rank, International and Non-Member LPGA Wins (as of the end of the 2007 season): This is a way of seeing how those Super Sophs who sometimes or regularly or often compete on other tours stack up over the course of their careers to date (the RR includes results over the past 104 weeks on the LPGA, LET, JLPGA, KLPGA, and Futures Tour; the GSPI includes results over the past 52 weeks on all these tours except the KLPGA).
1. Inbee Park, 4.74 (#12), 71.02 (#33); 0
2. Angela Park, 4.68 (#13), 70.60 (#17); 0
3. Eun-Hee Ji, 4.57 (#15), 70.46 (#15); 4
4. In-Kyung Kim, 2.99 (#38), 71.57 (#47); 0
5. Jane Park, 2.78 (#40), 71.20 (#36); 0
6. Song-Hee Kim, 2.56 (#44), 70.94 (#29); 0
7. Ji Young Oh, 2.02 (#54); 70.95 (#30); 0
8. Jin Joo Hong, 1.45 (#77), 71.80 (#62); 2
9. Kristy McPherson, 1.33 (#85), 71.83 (#64); 0
10. Na On Min, 1.29 (#87), 73.17 (#128); 0
11. Irene Cho, .87 (#120), 73.14 (#125); 0
12. Charlotte Mayorkas, .76 (#137), 73.47 (#137); 0
13. Sophie Giquel, .62 (#164), 73.61 (#170); 1
14. Paige Mackenzie, .42 (#214), 73.58 (#166); 0
15. Becky Lucidi, .29 (#259), 74.01 (#204); 0
16. Seo-Jae Lee, .24 (#288), 73.75 (#181); 0
17. Su A Kim, .24 (#292), 73.73 (#179); 0
18. Sarah Lynn Sargent, .05 (#501), 75.13 (#294); 0
19. Jeanne Cho-Hunicke, .05 (#503), 76.74 (#426); 0
20. Cindy Pasechnik, .02 (#685), 75.18 (#300); 0
So there you have it. I'll be checking back in on these rankings on the following schedule:
February: Junior Mints
March: Super Sophs
April: both
May: Junior Mints
June: Super Sophs
July: Junior Mints
September: both (post-Navistar)
October: Junior Mints (pre-Korea Championship)
November: Super Sophs (post-ADT)
December: all the Young Guns (post-Q School)
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The Constructivist
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12:36 AM
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Labels: golf, money money money money, quantum mechanics, rocket science
Monday, September 1, 2008
Way to Go, Minea!
Big win for Minea Blomqvist on her home turf on the LET this past weekend. She withstood a great charge from her friend and countrywoman Ursula Wikstrom, who birdied 4 of her final 5 holes for a 66 that nevertheless ended up being 1 shot too much, thanks to Blomquist's back-to-back closing birdies. Should be interesting to see if Blomqvist (and Anna Rawson, who snagged a top 10) brings some momentum back to the LPGA. She's fallen to #41 on the LPGA money list, with her best recent finish coming at the Women's British Open (T17). Let's go, Minea!
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The Constructivist
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10:37 AM
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Criteria for Success on the LPGA
Let's say you're a top international player considering sending in an LPGA Q-School application this week. What--besides communication skills--should you be looking at to determine whether going for the LPGA represents a viable investment of your time and effort? Just ask yourself the following questions:
Is your scoring average around 72 or better? Right now Ai Miyazato and Leta Lindley are T43 in scoring average at 72 on the dot. That would have been good enough for 22nd in 2007, 38th in 2006, 27th in 2005, and 53rd in 2004.
Are you going under par at least a third of your rounds? Doing so would put you in the top 80 this season, the top 50 in 2007, the top 90 in 2006, the top 50 in 2005, and the top 70 in 2004.
Are you averaging 3 or more birdies per round? It's too bad the LPGA doesn't have a birdie rate ranking, but by my count doing this would put you within or at least around the top 80 this season, the top 40 in 2007, the top 60 in 2006, the top 50 in 2005, and the top 50 in 2004.
Are you hitting at least 2/3 of your greens in regulation? Doing so would put you within the top 25 this season, the top 15 in 2007, the top 60 in 2006, the top 60 in 2005, and the top 70 in 2004.
Are you averaging 1.80 putts per green in regulation or less? Doing so would put you in the top 50 this season, the top 25 in 2007, the top 45 in 2006, the top 30 in 2005, and the top 45 in 2004.
If you can answer yes to 3 of the 5 questions, then Q-School is for you. You have what it takes to be among the top 40 on the LPGA.
Posted by
The Constructivist
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12:18 AM
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